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A $40,000 Bitcoin Likely as Price Breaks Critical Support Zone

Yashu Gola by Yashu Gola
2 years ago
in Bitcoin
0
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A relief bounce in the Bitcoin market Thursday did little in offsetting its prevailing correction bias as its price slipped inside a critical support area.

The BTC/USD exchange rate touched an intraday low of $45,000 during the early Asian trading session Friday, down by up to 22.90 percent from its record high established earlier this week. Traders held on to $45,000 and the levels around it as support, given the range’s historically-verified capability of capping downside corrections.

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Bitcoin Support Confluence

Nonetheless, the latest downside move appeared much stronger, raising possibilities that bitcoin would extend its decline further lower.

“[I’m] keeping an eye on the $44ks — tested once, but a break below there likely sends price back down to $40k,” alarmed Josh Rager, the co-founder of BlockRoots.com. “And if price makes way to $40k — you know it’s going to wick in the mid to upper $30ks. [It] could bounce here — but going to take it level by level/day by day.”

Bitcoin, cryptocurrency, BTCUSD, BTCUSDT
Bitcoin is down over 22 percent from its record high. Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com

Mr. Rager’s downside target at $40,000 converged well with the blue wave in the chart above.

It represents the 50-period simple moving average (50-SMA) on Bitcoin’s daily chart. The wave has underpinned the cryptocurrency’s uptrend throughout 2020. Many instances showed the price breaking below the 50-SMA but only to reclaim the wave later to confirm the market’s bullish bias.

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Analyst Willy Woo’s floor model—which has zero evidence of turning false—also alerts about hard price support near $39,000. Mr. Rager agreed that Bitcoin could fall to $40,000 in the coming sessions while forming a wick towards $38,000-39,000. The cryptocurrency may resume its uptrend at a later stage.

Psychological Price Floors

Bitcoin rallied by almost 100 percent in 2021 to hit an all-time high above $58,000. Its gains appeared on growing institutional adoption, led by Tesla’s $1.5 billion investment into the cryptocurrency and its intentions to use the decentralized token as a form of payment for its services and products.

This week, mobile payment app Square announced that it had also upped its Bitcoin reserves by investing another $170 million into the cryptocurrency. The Jack Dorsey-headed firm had added $50 million worth of bitcoins to its balance sheet late last year.

Nasdaq-listed business intelligence firm MicroStrategy also took a similar but heightened call to increase its bitcoin exposure. It put $1.06 billion to purchase another stash of the digital assets, pushing its total reserves from around 71,000 BTC to above $90,500 BTC.

Square has 5% of their balance sheet in bitcoin.

Tesla has 8% of their balance sheet in bitcoin.

Microstrategy has 95%+ of their balance sheet in bitcoin.

Who is next?

— Pomp ? (@APompliano) February 24, 2021

All the firms revealed the average rates at which they purchased Bitcoin. For Tesla, it was between $35,000-$40,000. MicroStrategy’s latest investment into the Bitcoin market arrived when it was trading above $52,000. Meanwhile, Square stated that it purchased the cryptocurrency at a mean price of a little over $51,000.

That also increased Bitcoin’s ability to reclaim levels above $50,000 in the coming sessions, given the corporates’ high-profile exposure in the cryptocurrency above the said levels.

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Yashu Gola

Yashu Gola

Globetrotter Yashu Gola has been working as a financial/crypto market journalist since 2013. He is an information technology graduate, a cryptography junkie, a filmmaking enthusiast, and an avid reader of Jon Erickson, Agatha Christie, JK Rowling, and Isaac Asimov.

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