The price of Bitcoin steeply pulled back yesterday, on February 23. Following the major 17% correction, investors and fund managers remain generally optimistic.
What’s behind the optimism towards Bitcoin?
Typically, after such a large sell-off, the market sentiment often dwindles. However, in the case of Bitcoin in the last 24 hours, the market sentiment has improved significantly.
Kelvin Koh, a partner at the Spartan Group, an advisory and one of Asia’s biggest DeFi-focused funds, outlined four silver lining to the recent correction.
Silver lining to the latest selloff:
1. Tether FUD played out
2. Leveraged wiped
3. Weak hands shaken out
4. Technicals looking the best in a few months— Kelvin Koh (@SpartanBlack_1) February 24, 2021
Shortly before the Bitcoin recovery, Bitfinex settled with the New York Attorney’s office regarding a lawsuit against the exchange and Tether. The official press release from the Attorney’s office read:
“An agreement with iFinex, Tether, and their related entities will require them to cease any further trading activity with New Yorkers, as well as force the companies to pay $18.5 million in penalties, in addition to requiring a number of steps to increase transparency.”
The settlement gave crypto a much needed closure around Tether, which accounts for a large portion of Bitcoin’s daily trading volume.
Many traders rely on Tether, a stablecoin backed by the value of the U.S. dollar, to trade cryptocurrencies across major exchanges.
Hence, clarity around Tether and its legitimacy is a catalyst for the crypto market in that it removes one of the existential threats against the market.
Where does BTC go from here?
If the price of Bitcoin remains stable above $50,000 and establishes it as a support area, the potential for an extended upside could increase.
There is little resistance between $50,000 and $56,000, and then to the all-time high at $58,000.
One positive factor is that the funding rate of the futures market has completely reset to 0.01%. Before the correction, the funding rate was hovering at around 0.15%.
It is now 15 times lower than where it was several days ago, which is indicative that the market is much less overheated and overcrowded.
When the market is less crowded, the likelihood of a long squeeze decreases, which makes severe drops like the one on February 22 less probable.
Still, there is a risk of a deeper drop if Bitcoin fails to stabilize above $50,000 and drops below $48,000 once again.
So far, the $48,000 support area has served well as the final line of defense before BTC becomes at risk of falling below into the bear zone.