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Bitcoin Demand Still Absorbing Sales – However Risk Of Growing Supply Remains High

Bitcoin Demand Still Absorbing Sales – However Risk Of Growing Supply Remains High

Sebastian Villafuerte
by Sebastian Villafuerte
9 months ago
·
Posted in Bitcoin News
Trusted Editorial content, reviewed by leading industry experts and seasoned editors. Ad Disclosure

Bitcoin has seen unpredictable and volatile activity recently, with price action testing both psychological and technical boundaries. The cryptocurrency failed to break above the coveted $100,000 mark while showing resilience by holding firmly above the $90,000 level. This tight range has left traders and investors on edge, watching closely for a decisive move.

Related Reading: BTC Sets Record In Weekly Realized Profits – Data Supports Strong Demand

Amid this volatility, the broader crypto market is experiencing unprecedented demand, signaling a bullish outlook that could keep the “BTC party” alive in the coming months.

However, challenges remain, as key data from CryptoQuant indicates elevated risks of coin sales by current holders. This suggests potential headwinds, even as demand drives the market forward.

As Bitcoin consolidates, the market appears poised for its next major move. Whether BTC can break above $100K or face a deeper retracement below $90K will depend on how these dynamics play out. The coming weeks will be critical as participants navigate this volatile phase and assess BTC’s capacity to lead the market to new heights.

 Bitcoin Showing Selling Signals: What’s Different This Time?

Bitcoin has been on an impressive upward trajectory since November 5, surging by 50% as it approached key psychological levels, including the $100K mark. However, after reaching this monumental rally, BTC retraced over 8%, testing critical demand levels. Despite this pullback, the price remains exceptionally strong, supported by a solid base of new market participants.

According to CryptoQuant analyst Axel Adler, while there is a high risk of coin sales by holders—particularly those in the market for the long haul—the dynamics are different compared to similar situations in March.

Bitcoin Sell-side risk rario
Bitcoin Sell-side risk ratio | Source: Axel Adler on X

At that time, the selling pressure from long-term holders outpaced demand, causing BTC’s price to retreat. Currently, however, the demand from new participants is effectively absorbing the sales of long-term holders, mitigating downward pressure and helping sustain the uptrend.

This suggests that BTC has the potential to push further, with analysts targeting $100K to sub-$110K levels in the short term. However, as prices rise, the likelihood of increased selling pressure grows, which could eventually trigger a significant correction.

Related Reading: XRP Experiencing A Leverage-Driven Rally – What This Means To Price

In this cycle, it’s not a question of “if” but “when” Bitcoin will face its first major pullback. The combination of strong demand and mounting pressure from holders looking to cash out will likely result in a healthy correction, which could serve as a buying opportunity for those looking to capitalize on Bitcoin’s long-term potential. The key will be monitoring how demand continues to absorb these sell-offs.

Testing Demand Before A Breakout

Bitcoin is currently testing a key demand level around $95,000, which needs to hold in the coming days for BTC to continue its push toward the $100,000 mark. This price level has proven to be significant for short-term strength, and if it holds, Bitcoin could break above $100,000, signaling a continuation of the bullish trend.

BTC testing demand around $95K
BTC testing demand around $95K | Source: BTCUSDT Chart on TradingView

The $95,000 level acts as a crucial support on the 4-hour chart, and maintaining it would suggest that there is enough buying pressure to propel Bitcoin to new highs. However, if Bitcoin fails to hold this level, the price could see further downward pressure, potentially testing demand around $90,700 or even $87,602. The latter price range aligns with the 4-hour 200 exponential moving average (EMA), a key technical indicator that often signals areas of support during pullbacks.

Related Reading: On-Chain Data Reveals Bitcoin Whales Aren’t Selling – Investors See Long-Term Potential

In the next few hours, all eyes will be on this support level, as a break below $95,000 would shift the momentum to the downside. On the other hand, holding above this level could pave the way for Bitcoin to surge past $100,000, continuing its impressive bull run. The price action around $95,000 will be critical in determining Bitcoin’s next move.

Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView

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Sebastian Villafuerte

Sebastian Villafuerte

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Sebastian's journey into the world of crypto began four years ago, driven by a fascination with the potential of blockchain technology to revolutionize financial systems. His initial exploration focused on understanding the intricacies of various crypto projects, particularly those focused on building innovative financial solutions. Through countless hours of research and learning, Sebastian developed a deep understanding of the underlying technologies, market dynamics, and potential applications of cryptocurrencies. As his knowledge grew, Sebastian felt compelled to share his insights with others. He began actively contributing to online discussions on platforms like X and LinkedIn, focusing on fintech and crypto-related content. His goal was to expose valuable trends and insights to a wider audience, fostering a deeper understanding of the rapidly evolving crypto landscape. Sebastian's contributions quickly gained recognition, and he became a trusted voice in the online crypto community. To further enhance his expertise, Sebastian pursued a UC Berkeley Fintech: Frameworks, Applications, and Strategies certification. This rigorous program equipped him with valuable skills and knowledge regarding Financial Technology, bridging the gap between traditional finance (TradFi) and decentralized finance (DeFi). The certification deepened his understanding of the broader financial landscape and its intersection with blockchain technology. Sebastian's passion for finance and writing is evident in his work. He enjoys delving into financial research, analyzing market trends, and exploring the latest developments in the crypto space. In his spare time, Sebastian can often be found immersed in charts, studying 10-K forms, or engaging in thought-provoking discussions about the future of finance. Sebastian's journey as a crypto analyst and investor has been marked by a relentless pursuit of knowledge and a dedication to sharing his insights. His ability to navigate the complex world of crypto, combined with his passion for financial research and communication, makes him a valuable asset to the industry. As the crypto landscape continues to evolve, Sebastian remains at the forefront, providing valuable insights and contributing to the growth of this revolutionary technology.

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