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Bitcoin Estimated Leverage Ratio Signals Lower Market Speculation – Details

Bitcoin Estimated Leverage Ratio Signals Lower Market Speculation – Details

Sebastian Villafuerte
by Sebastian Villafuerte
6 months ago
·
Posted in Bitcoin News
Trusted Editorial content, reviewed by leading industry experts and seasoned editors. Ad Disclosure

Bitcoin is at a critical juncture after experiencing an 18% price collapse in less than a week. The market is facing extreme fear and uncertainty, with many investors speculating about whether BTC’s bull cycle is over. However, despite the sharp decline, bulls have managed to hold key levels above $80K, preventing further downside for now.

Related Reading: Bitcoin Coinbase Premium Turns Negative – Spot Selling, ETF Outflows Weigh On Price Action

As traders closely monitor Bitcoin’s next move, leverage in the futures market remains under control. Key metrics from CryptoQuant reveal that the Estimated Leverage Ratio (ELR) on major futures exchanges does not indicate a significant buildup of high-leverage positions. This suggests that speculative trader activity has cooled off, reducing the chances of sudden liquidations and extreme price swings.

With Bitcoin stabilizing above $80K, all eyes are on whether bulls can push the price back above $90K or if another wave of selling pressure will take BTC into lower demand levels. Market participants are preparing for high volatility, as BTC enters a crucial phase that will determine the short-term trend. The coming days will be critical in deciding whether BTC can recover or if further downside is inevitable.

Bitcoin Faces Risk Of Further Selling Pressure

Bitcoin has been caught in a downward spiral, with continued selling pressure and uncertainty dominating the market. After dropping over 18% in less than a week, BTC now struggles to find strong buying support as analysts remain divided on its next move. Some predict further declines, while others believe that once Bitcoin reclaims the $90K level, a fast recovery rally could take shape.

Amid the uncertainty, analyst Axel Adler shared key insights on X, revealing that the Estimated Leverage Ratio (ELR) on major futures exchanges does not show a significant buildup of high-leverage positions. This suggests that speculative traders have stepped away, lowering the risk of sudden liquidations and extreme volatility.

Bitcoin High Risk Of Squeeze | Source: Axel Adler on X
Bitcoin High Risk Of Squeeze | Source: Axel Adler on X

Another key factor to consider is market activity during the weekends, which historically sees lower trading volumes. This further reduces the chances of major price swings, allowing the market to stabilize before determining its next direction. However, if BTC fails to hold the $80K support level, another wave of selling pressure could take Bitcoin into lower demand zones.

Related Reading: Bitcoin Supply In Profit Drops During Price Correction – 4.4 Million Bitcoin Now Held At A Loss

The coming days will be crucial, as traders await confirmation on whether Bitcoin can recover or if another drop is inevitable.

BTC Price Struggles Below $90K

Bitcoin is currently trading at $86,000 after enduring several days of intense selling pressure. The price has failed to reclaim key resistance levels, leaving investors uncertain about BTC’s next move. Bulls must push BTC above $90K to confirm a recovery rally, but holding above $85K is crucial to maintaining short-term strength.

BTC testing demand below $90K | Source: BTCUSDT chart on TradingView
BTC testing demand below $90K | Source: BTCUSDT chart on TradingView

If BTC stays above $85K, a gradual recovery could take shape, allowing buyers to regain control and push prices higher. However, failure to hold this level could open the door for further declines. A drop below $85K would expose BTC to more downside risk, with $80K acting as the next key support level. If this area fails to hold, Bitcoin could experience a deeper correction, leading to even lower demand zones.

Related Reading: Bitcoin Insights Reveal 80% Correlation With The S&P500 – Analyst Prepares For Another Drop

Traders and analysts are closely watching the $85K–$90K range, as BTC remains at a critical inflection point. The coming days will be crucial in determining whether Bitcoin can regain momentum or if bears will continue to dominate the market. Breaking back above $90K could signal the end of the recent downtrend, while further losses could extend the correction even deeper.

Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView

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Sebastian Villafuerte

Sebastian Villafuerte

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Sebastian's journey into the world of crypto began four years ago, driven by a fascination with the potential of blockchain technology to revolutionize financial systems. His initial exploration focused on understanding the intricacies of various crypto projects, particularly those focused on building innovative financial solutions. Through countless hours of research and learning, Sebastian developed a deep understanding of the underlying technologies, market dynamics, and potential applications of cryptocurrencies. As his knowledge grew, Sebastian felt compelled to share his insights with others. He began actively contributing to online discussions on platforms like X and LinkedIn, focusing on fintech and crypto-related content. His goal was to expose valuable trends and insights to a wider audience, fostering a deeper understanding of the rapidly evolving crypto landscape. Sebastian's contributions quickly gained recognition, and he became a trusted voice in the online crypto community. To further enhance his expertise, Sebastian pursued a UC Berkeley Fintech: Frameworks, Applications, and Strategies certification. This rigorous program equipped him with valuable skills and knowledge regarding Financial Technology, bridging the gap between traditional finance (TradFi) and decentralized finance (DeFi). The certification deepened his understanding of the broader financial landscape and its intersection with blockchain technology. Sebastian's passion for finance and writing is evident in his work. He enjoys delving into financial research, analyzing market trends, and exploring the latest developments in the crypto space. In his spare time, Sebastian can often be found immersed in charts, studying 10-K forms, or engaging in thought-provoking discussions about the future of finance. Sebastian's journey as a crypto analyst and investor has been marked by a relentless pursuit of knowledge and a dedication to sharing his insights. His ability to navigate the complex world of crypto, combined with his passion for financial research and communication, makes him a valuable asset to the industry. As the crypto landscape continues to evolve, Sebastian remains at the forefront, providing valuable insights and contributing to the growth of this revolutionary technology.

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