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Bitcoin Miners

Bitcoin Miners’ Role In BTC’s Valuation Is Declining: Glassnode

Keshav Verma
by Keshav Verma
Last Updated: September 14, 2023 11:40 am
·
Posted in Bitcoin News
Trusted Editorial content, reviewed by leading industry experts and seasoned editors. Ad Disclosure

On-chain data from Glassnode suggests the role of Bitcoin miners in the asset’s valuation has been going down over the years.

Bitcoin Miners’ Issuance Now Only Makes A Small Part Of Daily Realized Value

In a new report, the on-chain analytics firm Glassnode has studied the different components that contribute to Bitcoin’s “realized cap.” The realized cap is a capitalization model for the asset that assumes that the real value of any coin in circulation is the price at which it was last transacted on the blockchain.

This is different from the normal market cap, which simply takes every token’s value to be the same: the current spot price. Since the last transaction price of a coin is essentially its “buying price,” the realized cap serves as a measure of the aggregate value stored inside the cryptocurrency.

Related Reading: Litecoin To Drop Below $60? Whale Deposits To Exchange

Another way to look at the realized cap is through the three metrics it essentially represents: the realized profit, realized loss, and issuance. The realized profit and loss metrics are self-explanatory: they keep track of the profits and losses that the investors have been harvesting through their selling.

Since the act of loss-taking or profit-taking reprices the tokens being sold at a lower or higher price, it naturally affects the realized cap. The third indicator of interest here, the issuance, represents the fresh supply that the miners are minting.

These chain validators “issue” supply in the form of the block rewards that they receive for solving blocks on the network. Any coins freshly minted are priced the same as the spot price at the time their block was found.

Now, here is a chart that shows how the aggregate issuance (called the “thermocap” here) has compared against the net profit/loss that the holders have been realizing (the “investor cap”) and the realized cap over the years:

Bitcoin Miner Role In Realized Cap

The trend in the realized, investor, and thermo caps | Source: Glassnode

From the graph, it’s visible that the thermocap didn’t have as much of a gap from the others in the early years of the cryptocurrency, but lately, the metric has significantly diverged.

“In modern times, the Thermocap accounts for just 8.7% of the total value stored within the Realized Cap,” explains Glassnode. To better see how the role of the miners has changed, the analytics firm has shared another chart; this time for the issuance’s daily contribution.

Bitcoin Issuance

Looks like the issuance doesn't make up too much of the metric | Source: Glassnode

Up until Bitcoin’s second halving in 2016, the Bitcoin miners were responsible for 20% to 40% of the net value entering or exiting BTC every day. As the market has matured further and the miners’ block rewards have been cut down in the halvings, the indicator’s contribution has observed a notable decline.

In recent years, the issuance’s contribution towards the daily realized value has often been as low as 1-2% and has only reached a high of 10% during specific periods.

Related Reading: 83.7% Of Bitcoin Short-Term Holders Are Now In Loss: Glassnode

“The influence of miners and new issuance can therefore be argued to be most meaningful during periods of exceptionally light liquidity and minimal trade volume,” notes Glassnode. “This is often pro-cyclical, with miner distribution pressures reaching a relative maxima during late stage bear markets when investor attention/demand is at its weakest.”

BTC Price

Bitcoin has steadily been climbing during the past few days as the asset has now recovered back towards the $26,400 level.

Bitcoin Price Chart

BTC has been slowly, but surely, rising recently | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView
Featured image from Brian Wangenheim on Unsplash.com, charts from TradingView.com, Glassnode.com
Editorial Process for bitcoinist is centered on delivering thoroughly researched, accurate, and unbiased content. We uphold strict sourcing standards, and each page undergoes diligent review by our team of top technology experts and seasoned editors. This process ensures the integrity, relevance, and value of our content for our readers.
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Keshav Verma

Keshav Verma

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Keshav is a Physics graduate who has been employed as a writer with Bitcoinist since June 2021. He is passionate about writing and through the years, he has gained experience working in a variety of niches. Keshav holds an active interest in the cryptocurrency market, with on-chain analysis being an area he particularly likes to research and write about.

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