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Bitcoin Coinbase Premium Turns Positive As Binance Liquidity Strengthens: A Shift In The Making

Bitcoin Coinbase Premium Turns Positive As Binance Liquidity Strengthens: A Shift In The Making

Sebastian Villafuerte
by Sebastian Villafuerte
Last Updated: December 3, 2025 5:00 pm
·
Posted in Bitcoin News
Trusted Editorial content, reviewed by leading industry experts and seasoned editors. Ad Disclosure

Bitcoin has reclaimed the $93,000 level after a sharp market-wide rebound, marking a notable shift in sentiment following weeks of bearish pressure and relentless selloffs. Analysts who previously warned of deeper downside are now turning cautiously bullish as fresh data begins to point toward a structural improvement in market conditions.

Related Reading: Old Bitcoin Moves Spike: 3–5 Year Dormant Coins Wake Up Again

One of the clearest signals comes from a new report by Arab Chain on CryptoQuant, which shows that the Coinbase Premium Index has flipped back into positive territory at +0.03. This shift is significant: after a full month of U.S.-led selling in November, a positive premium often reflects renewed demand from US institutions, funds, and large traders, who primarily use Coinbase as their gateway for liquidity.

Bitcoin Coinbase Premium Index | Source: CryptoQuant
Bitcoin Coinbase Premium Index | Source: CryptoQuant

At the same time, Binance-based metrics—particularly spot volumes and perpetual futures activity—show that global liquidity is beginning to respond to the improving US bid. Historically, when Coinbase Premium rises alone, rallies tend to fade quickly. But when Binance liquidity strengthens in tandem, the market usually enters a consolidation phase that can set the stage for a sustained upward move.

Bitcoin Market Convergence Strengthens

Arab Chain notes that the price gap between Binance and Coinbase has narrowed significantly in recent days, a key sign that capital flows across major exchanges are beginning to rebalance. Throughout November, persistent selling from US investors created a disconnect between the two platforms, with Coinbase often pricing lower than Binance.

The recent convergence suggests that both markets are now receiving similar levels of demand, reducing fragmentation and improving overall market stability.

At the same time, Binance liquidity has begun to strengthen, with spot and perpetual markets showing a gradual rise in buying activity. This uptick supports the idea that Bitcoin may be forming a new price base following the sharp correction that pushed the asset into the low $80K range just days ago. Strengthening liquidity on Binance is particularly important because it reflects global participation—not just US-based flows.

The combination of a positive Coinbase Premium and recovering Binance liquidity creates a more constructive market environment. If these conditions persist—premium staying above zero and buy-side volumes increasing—the market could transition into the early stages of a new upward trend.

However, Arab Chain warns that if the premium turns negative again, traders should expect renewed volatility and short-term selling pressure to return.

Related Reading: Bitmine Continues Ethereum Buying Spree With Fresh 7,080 ETH Purchase

BTC Reclaims $93K But Must Overcome Key Resistance Levels

Bitcoin’s 3-day chart shows a notable improvement after reclaiming the $93,000 level, but the broader structure remains in recovery mode rather than full reversal. The bounce from the $82,000–$85,000 demand zone marked a clear reaction from buyers, creating strong lower wicks that signal aggressive dip absorption. However, BTC now faces a critical test as it approaches the cluster of moving averages that served as breakdown points during November’s correction.

BTC consolidates above key SMA | Source: BTCUSDT chart on TradingView
BTC consolidates above key SMA | Source: BTCUSDT chart on TradingView

Price currently sits just below the 50 SMA, which is trending downward and acting as immediate resistance near $95,000–$97,000. The 100 SMA, positioned around the $103,000 region, represents the next major barrier. A decisive break above this zone would signal a potential shift in mid-term momentum. Meanwhile, the 200 SMA at $88,500 now acts as reclaimed support, and Bitcoin holding above it is an early sign of stabilization.

Related Reading: Bitcoin Whales Go Defensive While Retail Remains Passive: A Tale of Two Markets

Volume during the rebound shows healthier buying activity compared to late-November declines, but it remains moderate—suggesting cautious participation rather than full conviction. For BTC to regain trend strength, it must print a strong close above the 50 SMA and attempt to retest the 100 SMA.

Failure to break above $95K–$97K could invite another pullback toward $88K, making this resistance cluster a crucial pivot for Bitcoin’s next major move.

Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com

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Sebastian Villafuerte

Sebastian Villafuerte

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Sebastian's journey into the world of crypto began four years ago, driven by a fascination with the potential of blockchain technology to revolutionize financial systems. His initial exploration focused on understanding the intricacies of various crypto projects, particularly those focused on building innovative financial solutions. Through countless hours of research and learning, Sebastian developed a deep understanding of the underlying technologies, market dynamics, and potential applications of cryptocurrencies. As his knowledge grew, Sebastian felt compelled to share his insights with others. He began actively contributing to online discussions on platforms like X and LinkedIn, focusing on fintech and crypto-related content. His goal was to expose valuable trends and insights to a wider audience, fostering a deeper understanding of the rapidly evolving crypto landscape. Sebastian's contributions quickly gained recognition, and he became a trusted voice in the online crypto community. To further enhance his expertise, Sebastian pursued a UC Berkeley Fintech: Frameworks, Applications, and Strategies certification. This rigorous program equipped him with valuable skills and knowledge regarding Financial Technology, bridging the gap between traditional finance (TradFi) and decentralized finance (DeFi). The certification deepened his understanding of the broader financial landscape and its intersection with blockchain technology. Sebastian's passion for finance and writing is evident in his work. He enjoys delving into financial research, analyzing market trends, and exploring the latest developments in the crypto space. In his spare time, Sebastian can often be found immersed in charts, studying 10-K forms, or engaging in thought-provoking discussions about the future of finance. Sebastian's journey as a crypto analyst and investor has been marked by a relentless pursuit of knowledge and a dedication to sharing his insights. His ability to navigate the complex world of crypto, combined with his passion for financial research and communication, makes him a valuable asset to the industry. As the crypto landscape continues to evolve, Sebastian remains at the forefront, providing valuable insights and contributing to the growth of this revolutionary technology.

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