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Bitcoin Investor Price Model Signals Healthy Growth: BTC Eyes $139K Level

Bitcoin Investor Price Model Signals Healthy Growth: BTC Eyes $139K Level

Sebastian Villafuerte
by Sebastian Villafuerte
1 month ago
·
Posted in Bitcoin News
Trusted Editorial content, reviewed by leading industry experts and seasoned editors. Ad Disclosure

Bitcoin continues to trade in a tight range, hovering just above the $117,000 mark as market participants brace for its next major move. This prolonged consolidation has stirred speculation among traders and analysts, with expectations building around an aggressive breakout once volatility returns. Despite the lack of momentum, bulls are firmly holding the $117K level, keeping Bitcoin within a favorable zone for continued accumulation.

Related Reading: Ethereum ETF Inflows Surge $2.18B In A Week – ‘FOMO Just Getting Started’

Top analyst Axel Adler recently highlighted that Bitcoin, at its current price, remains in the “growth zone” of the Bitcoin Investor Price Model. According to Adler, BTC is trading between the Investor Price Median at $92K and the Hype Alert threshold at $139K—two key psychological and technical levels that historically define healthy market phases. This range suggests that the market is still fueled by measured optimism, not euphoria, leaving room for further upside without overheating.

While some traders remain cautious amid declining volume and tighter price action, others believe that this calm is the precursor to a larger directional move. The coming days will be critical in determining whether Bitcoin can break above resistance and continue its upward trajectory—or if a short-term pullback is needed before the next leg higher.

Bitcoin Growth Zone Signals Supportive Market Conditions

Bitcoin’s current price of $117,000 places it in a favorable market environment according to analyst Axel Adler, who emphasizes its position between two key thresholds in the Bitcoin Investor Price Model: the Investor Price Median at $92,000 and the Hype Alert level at $139,000. This area is typically associated with strong holder conviction and healthy, sustainable market interest.

Bitcoin Investor Price Model | Source: Axel Adler on X
Bitcoin Investor Price Model | Source: Axel Adler on X

Adler points out that Bitcoin’s ability to stay above critical demand zones reflects confidence among long-term investors, who have shown little inclination to sell. On-chain metrics confirm this, with low exchange inflows and increasing dormant supply indicating reduced sell-side pressure. Meanwhile, order books remain well stacked with bids near $115,000, reinforcing technical support levels and suggesting buyers are ready to defend key territory.

Despite the consolidation seen in recent days, volatility compression often precedes large moves. Analysts are closely monitoring the $123,000 resistance area—breaking above it could trigger a wave of momentum-driven buying and shift sentiment decisively bullish. Conversely, a breakdown below $115,000 would expose BTC to deeper pullbacks.

Related Reading: BTC Indicator Signals Buying Bias: Analyst Warns ‘Bulls Lack Aggression’

Bitcoin Consolidates Between Key Levels as Market Awaits Breakout

Bitcoin is currently trading around $118,473, moving within a tight range between $115,724 and $122,077, as shown in the 12-hour chart. This consolidation comes after a strong move from early July, where BTC surged from below $110,000 to its recent local top. Despite some volatility, bulls continue to defend the $115,724 support level, which has now been tested multiple times.

BTC consolidates in a tight range | Source: BTCUSDT chart on TradingView
BTC consolidates in a tight range | Source: BTCUSDT chart on TradingView

The 50, 100, and 200-period simple moving averages are all trending upward, indicating that the broader structure remains bullish. Notably, the 50 SMA is holding well above the 100 and 200, which reflects strong momentum over the past month. However, the declining volume profile suggests weakening buying pressure, adding weight to the current sideways movement.

Related Reading: Bitcoin Growth Rate Indicator Signals Bullish Continuation – Analyst

For a bullish continuation, Bitcoin must break above the $122,077 resistance, which has rejected price several times since July 15. A breakout above this level could trigger aggressive upside, especially as market participants anticipate a high-volatility move. On the downside, if BTC loses $115,724 support, the next major level lies near $113,000.

Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView

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Sebastian Villafuerte

Sebastian Villafuerte

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Sebastian's journey into the world of crypto began four years ago, driven by a fascination with the potential of blockchain technology to revolutionize financial systems. His initial exploration focused on understanding the intricacies of various crypto projects, particularly those focused on building innovative financial solutions. Through countless hours of research and learning, Sebastian developed a deep understanding of the underlying technologies, market dynamics, and potential applications of cryptocurrencies. As his knowledge grew, Sebastian felt compelled to share his insights with others. He began actively contributing to online discussions on platforms like X and LinkedIn, focusing on fintech and crypto-related content. His goal was to expose valuable trends and insights to a wider audience, fostering a deeper understanding of the rapidly evolving crypto landscape. Sebastian's contributions quickly gained recognition, and he became a trusted voice in the online crypto community. To further enhance his expertise, Sebastian pursued a UC Berkeley Fintech: Frameworks, Applications, and Strategies certification. This rigorous program equipped him with valuable skills and knowledge regarding Financial Technology, bridging the gap between traditional finance (TradFi) and decentralized finance (DeFi). The certification deepened his understanding of the broader financial landscape and its intersection with blockchain technology. Sebastian's passion for finance and writing is evident in his work. He enjoys delving into financial research, analyzing market trends, and exploring the latest developments in the crypto space. In his spare time, Sebastian can often be found immersed in charts, studying 10-K forms, or engaging in thought-provoking discussions about the future of finance. Sebastian's journey as a crypto analyst and investor has been marked by a relentless pursuit of knowledge and a dedication to sharing his insights. His ability to navigate the complex world of crypto, combined with his passion for financial research and communication, makes him a valuable asset to the industry. As the crypto landscape continues to evolve, Sebastian remains at the forefront, providing valuable insights and contributing to the growth of this revolutionary technology.

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