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Bitcoin Is Holding a Pivotal Macro Level, But Don’t Be Bullish Yet

Nick Chong
by Nick Chong
4 years ago
·
Posted in Bitcoin Price
Trusted Editorial content, reviewed by leading industry experts and seasoned editors. Ad Disclosure
  • Bitcoin has entered no man’s land as it fails to pass $11,000 but is holding the low-$10,000s.
  • The coin now trades at $10,900 as of this article’s writing, again below the aoforementioned support.
  • Bitcoin actually may be in a positive spot, though, as it managed to hold a pivotal technical level of macro importance.

Bitcoin Holds Pivotal Macro Support Level

To some market participants, Bitcoin’s price action over recent weeks has been purely bearish. After all, falling $2,000 in about the span of 72 hours can’t be bullish, can it?

According to a recent Bollinger Bands analysis by a crypto trader, Bitcoin remains in a decent position on a macro time frame.

He shared the chart below, which shows that BTC held the middle Bollinger Band on a weekly time frame on two recent retests. This confirms the level as support. Previous bullish retests led to continued rallies.

Similarly, bearish retests on the underside of that same technical level led to extremely violent rejections, such as the one in March 2020.

Image

Chart of BTC's price action over the past year or so with a Bollinger Bands analysis by crypto trader Big Chonis Trading (@BigChonis on Twitter). 
Chart from TradingView.com

First $11,200, Then $12,000

Anlaysts are eyeing the $11,200 resistance as a crucial point for bulls to take to confirm it is in a bullish position from a long-term perspective.

One trader shared the chart below just recently, marking out the importance of $11,200 to Bitcoin over recent weeks and over the past year or so:

“Target / Major resistance finally hit, if you worried about price dropping from here and using leverage then close out your position and wait for this level to be flipped support… $11,200 is a key HTF level for flipping it will not be easy.”

Image

Chart of BTC's price action over the past year or so with a Bollinger Bands analysis by crypto trader Cactus (@TheCryptoCactus on Twitter). 
Chart from TradingView.com

After $11,200, there are some resistances in the high-$11,000s and low-$12,000s that commentators are also eyeing as levels of importance.

Touching on how Bitcoin needs to move above and hold $12,000 to confirm a macro trend shift, an analyst commented:

“Closed-back above resistance. I’ve been saying I’ll close my $12k short if that happens and I’ll do so today. We’re trading in the middle of nowhere ($11.5k resistance, $10.6k support) so I’m happy taking the win (amplified by the fact I already closed half at $10.3).”

Bitcoin’s price action over the coming weeks is likely to be pivotal, especially as it flirts between notable range lows and range highs. Unfortuntaely crypto investors, macroeconomic and geopolitical factors such as the election and the pandemic could skew Bitcoin’s directionality.

Featured Image from Shutterstock
Price tags: xbtusd, btcusd, btcusdt
Charts from TradingView.com
Bitcoin Is Holding a Pivotal Macro Level, But Don't Be Bullish Yet
Editorial Process for bitcoinist is centered on delivering thoroughly researched, accurate, and unbiased content. We uphold strict sourcing standards, and each page undergoes diligent review by our team of top technology experts and seasoned editors. This process ensures the integrity, relevance, and value of our content for our readers.
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Nick Chong

Nick Chong

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I am a writer who has been following Bitcoin for many years now. My pieces and interviews have been featured in leading publications in the industry such as LongHash and Decrypt. I own a small amount of Bitcoin.

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