• Press Releases
    • Submit a press release
    • Read All
  • Contact us
Advertise
Bitcoinist.com
No Result
View All Result
  • Bitcoin
    • News
    • Price
    • Businesses
    • Acceptance
    • Technology
    • Investment
    • Regulation
    • Reviews
    • All Bitcoin News
  • Altcoins
    • News
    • Price
    • Ethereum
    • Ripple
    • Litecoin
    • EOS
    • NAGA
    • All Altcoin News
  • Tech
    • Blockchain
    • Security
    • FinTech
    • Price
      • Bitcoin Price
      • Ethereum Price
      • Binance Coin Price
      • Litecoin Price
  • Industry
    • Industry News
    • Press Releases
  • How to
    • Buy gift cards/mobile Top Ups with Cryptos
    • What Is Bitcoin?
    • Best Bitcoin Wallet
    • Bitcoin vs Ethereum
    • Why Use Blockchain Technology?
    • Bitcoin Cash ABC vs. Bitcoin Cash SV
    • How to Buy Cryptocurrency
    • How to do Crypto Gambling
      • Crypto Casinos
        • Ethereum Casinos
        • Solana Casinos
        • LiteCoin Casinos
        • DogeCoin Casinos
        • Live Crypto Casinos
        • New Casinos
        • Instant Withdrawal Casinos
        • Cash App Casinos
        • No KYC Casinos
        • VPN Casinos
        • Offshore Casinos
          • Crypto Casinos IT
          • Crypto Casinos ES
            • All Guides
          • Crypto Casinos JP
          • Crypto Casinos SG
          • Crypto Casinos MY
          • Crypto Casinos KR
          • No GAMSTOP Casinos in UK
          • No Cruks Casinos NL
      • Crypto Betting
        • No ID sportsbooks
    • Play Crypto Games
      • Crypto Poker
      • Crypto Slots
      • Crypto Blackjack
      • Crypto Crash Gambling
        • Aviator Sites
      • Plinko
    • Bitcoin Mining
    • Best Bitcoin Brokers
    • Best Bitcoin Forex Brokers
    • How To Earn Bitcoin
    • What is Facebook Libra?
    • Ripple and XRP: The Complete Guide
  • Events
  • Play Games
Breaking News: BREAKING: Saylor's Strategy Misses S&P 500 Inclusion, Robinhood Takes Spotlight
  • Bitcoin
    • News
    • Price
    • Businesses
    • Acceptance
    • Technology
    • Investment
    • Regulation
    • Reviews
    • All Bitcoin News
  • Altcoins
    • News
    • Price
    • Ethereum
    • Ripple
    • Litecoin
    • EOS
    • NAGA
    • All Altcoin News
  • Tech
    • Blockchain
    • Security
    • FinTech
    • Price
      • Bitcoin Price
      • Ethereum Price
      • Binance Coin Price
      • Litecoin Price
  • Industry
    • Industry News
    • Press Releases
  • How to
    • Buy gift cards/mobile Top Ups with Cryptos
    • What Is Bitcoin?
    • Best Bitcoin Wallet
    • Bitcoin vs Ethereum
    • Why Use Blockchain Technology?
    • Bitcoin Cash ABC vs. Bitcoin Cash SV
    • How to Buy Cryptocurrency
    • How to do Crypto Gambling
      • Crypto Casinos
        • Ethereum Casinos
        • Solana Casinos
        • LiteCoin Casinos
        • DogeCoin Casinos
        • Live Crypto Casinos
        • New Casinos
        • Instant Withdrawal Casinos
        • Cash App Casinos
        • No KYC Casinos
        • VPN Casinos
        • Offshore Casinos
          • Crypto Casinos IT
          • Crypto Casinos ES
            • All Guides
          • Crypto Casinos JP
          • Crypto Casinos SG
          • Crypto Casinos MY
          • Crypto Casinos KR
          • No GAMSTOP Casinos in UK
          • No Cruks Casinos NL
      • Crypto Betting
        • No ID sportsbooks
    • Play Crypto Games
      • Crypto Poker
      • Crypto Slots
      • Crypto Blackjack
      • Crypto Crash Gambling
        • Aviator Sites
      • Plinko
    • Bitcoin Mining
    • Best Bitcoin Brokers
    • Best Bitcoin Forex Brokers
    • How To Earn Bitcoin
    • What is Facebook Libra?
    • Ripple and XRP: The Complete Guide
  • Events
  • Play Games
Bitcoinist.com
No Result
View All Result
Breaking News: BREAKING: Saylor's Strategy Misses S&P 500 Inclusion, Robinhood Takes Spotlight
Bitcoin Market In Equilibrium: No Major Flow Between Old and Young Coins

Bitcoin Market In Equilibrium: No Major Flow Between Old and Young Coins

Sebastian Villafuerte
by Sebastian Villafuerte
2 weeks ago
·
Posted in Bitcoin News
Trusted Editorial content, reviewed by leading industry experts and seasoned editors. Ad Disclosure

Bitcoin is once again facing a crucial test after slipping below the $120,000 level, with selling pressure weighing on price action. The market has entered a clear consolidation phase, with BTC moving within a well-defined range between strong resistance above $120K and key supports below. Traders are closely watching these levels, as momentum appears to be fading following the recent rejection at cycle highs.

Related Reading: Ethereum Foundation Wallet Sells Over 7,000 ETH: Smart Money Taking Profits?

Some analysts warn that if Bitcoin loses its current range lows, further downside could follow as short-term holders (STH) begin to feel the pressure. Historically, such breakdowns have triggered volatility spikes, shaking out weaker hands before the next major trend emerges.

Supporting this outlook, the Bitcoin HODL Structure & 30-Day Flows chart reveals critical insights. The data highlights the balance between younger coins (STH) and long-term holders (LTH), showing that the share of STH has stabilized, pointing to a phase of consolidation. In this regime, market participants appear less eager to rotate coins, suggesting reduced short-term conviction and a waiting game for stronger directional cues.

Bitcoin HODL Structure Signals Equilibrium

According to top analyst Axel Adler, the Bitcoin HODL Structure and 30-day flows provide a clear picture of the current market regime. The chart tracks the share of short-term holders (STH, coins held for less than 6 months) in realized cap, shown as the orange line, alongside its 30-day change (STH 30d Δ), shown as the blue line.

Bitcoin HODL Structure & 30-Day Flows | Source: Axel Adler
Bitcoin HODL Structure & 30-Day Flows | Source: Axel Adler

The blue curve highlights the net migration of value between younger and older coins. When the curve rises, it signals accelerating turnover and distribution from long-term holders (LTH) to STH, often marking overheated phases. Conversely, when the curve declines, it points to coin aging and the strengthening of “diamond hands,” typically observed during capitulation and recovery periods.

Currently, Bitcoin trades at all-time highs, with STH share at 47% and STH 30d Δ sitting at 0. This means there has been no notable flow between young and old cohorts over the past month. Adler explains that such conditions reflect an equilibrium regime, where neither new speculative demand nor heavy long-term distribution dominates.

Historically, spikes in the Δ above 10 percentage points (red markers) coincided with local tops and overheating phases, while deep drops below -10 (green markers) marked capitulation and rebound zones. With zero Δ at ATH, Adler suggests the base case scenario is consolidation, with neutral short-term pressure. This equilibrium hints that Bitcoin may stabilize at high levels before its next decisive move.

Related Reading: Ethereum Whale Activity Surges: $280M Purchased In 24 Hours

Price Action Details: Key Levels To Watch

Bitcoin’s 4-hour chart shows increased volatility following the rejection at the $123,217 resistance level. After testing this zone twice in August, BTC failed to sustain momentum, leading to a sharp reversal. The latest decline has pushed the price back toward $115,121, with the market now trading below key short-term moving averages.

BTC 4-hour price structure | Source: BTCUSDT chart on TradingView
BTC 4-hour price structure | Source: BTCUSDT chart on TradingView

The 50 SMA ($118,927) and 100 SMA ($116,982) acted as resistance during the retracement, while the 200 SMA ($117,514) was also breached, signaling weakening short-term momentum. The loss of these levels confirms sellers’ control, as BTC now trades below all major moving averages on this timeframe.

Related Reading: Bitmine Buys 28,650 Ethereum Valued At $130 Million – Details

The consolidation between $114K and $118K highlights a critical decision zone. If BTC loses $114K decisively, downside targets could extend toward $110K–$112K, aligning with previous support levels and reinforcing a deeper correction scenario. On the flip side, reclaiming $118K would be an important signal of renewed strength, potentially opening another test of the $123K resistance.

Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView

Editorial Process for bitcoinist is centered on delivering thoroughly researched, accurate, and unbiased content. We uphold strict sourcing standards, and each page undergoes diligent review by our team of top technology experts and seasoned editors. This process ensures the integrity, relevance, and value of our content for our readers.
ShareTweetShareShare

Sign Up for Our Newsletter!

For updates and exclusive offers enter your email.

I consent to my submitted data being collected and stored.
Sebastian Villafuerte

Sebastian Villafuerte

Follow

Sebastian's journey into the world of crypto began four years ago, driven by a fascination with the potential of blockchain technology to revolutionize financial systems. His initial exploration focused on understanding the intricacies of various crypto projects, particularly those focused on building innovative financial solutions. Through countless hours of research and learning, Sebastian developed a deep understanding of the underlying technologies, market dynamics, and potential applications of cryptocurrencies. As his knowledge grew, Sebastian felt compelled to share his insights with others. He began actively contributing to online discussions on platforms like X and LinkedIn, focusing on fintech and crypto-related content. His goal was to expose valuable trends and insights to a wider audience, fostering a deeper understanding of the rapidly evolving crypto landscape. Sebastian's contributions quickly gained recognition, and he became a trusted voice in the online crypto community. To further enhance his expertise, Sebastian pursued a UC Berkeley Fintech: Frameworks, Applications, and Strategies certification. This rigorous program equipped him with valuable skills and knowledge regarding Financial Technology, bridging the gap between traditional finance (TradFi) and decentralized finance (DeFi). The certification deepened his understanding of the broader financial landscape and its intersection with blockchain technology. Sebastian's passion for finance and writing is evident in his work. He enjoys delving into financial research, analyzing market trends, and exploring the latest developments in the crypto space. In his spare time, Sebastian can often be found immersed in charts, studying 10-K forms, or engaging in thought-provoking discussions about the future of finance. Sebastian's journey as a crypto analyst and investor has been marked by a relentless pursuit of knowledge and a dedication to sharing his insights. His ability to navigate the complex world of crypto, combined with his passion for financial research and communication, makes him a valuable asset to the industry. As the crypto landscape continues to evolve, Sebastian remains at the forefront, providing valuable insights and contributing to the growth of this revolutionary technology.

Full Profile

Related Posts

bitcoin

Sora Ventures Unveils Asia’s First Bitcoin Treasury Fund With $1 Billion Buying Plan

2 days ago
Bitcoin

Looking For A Good Bitcoin Entry? Crypto Research Firm Reveals The Best Time To Buy BTC

2 days ago
Bitcoin Buying Frenzy Ahead As Eric Trump Predicts ‘Floodgates Are Opening’

Bitcoin Buying Frenzy Ahead As Eric Trump Predicts ‘Floodgates Are Opening’

2 days ago
Bitcoin Holdings By Public Firms Cross 1 Million BTC As Asset Gains Traction

Bitcoin Holdings By Public Firms Cross 1 Million BTC As Asset Gains Traction

3 days ago
Bitcoin Mining

Bitcoin Miners Brace For 5% Difficulty Spike To Fresh Record

3 days ago
The Bitcoin Liquidity Battle Intensifies: Coinbase vs. Kimchi Premium

The Bitcoin Liquidity Battle Intensifies: Coinbase vs. Kimchi Premium

3 days ago

Premium Sponsors

Press Releases

  • miner

    XRP price battles for key support levels, with holders...

    1 day ago
  • miner

    Global Investors Tap BAY Miner App for BTC and XRP Monthly...

    1 day ago
  • Cloud Mining

    From Holding to Profit: How XRP Earns $27,000 Daily from...

    2 days ago
  • minwer

    XRP Holders Can Earn $10,000 a Day Through COME...

    2 days ago
  • BTC prices hit a two-week high, and holders flocked to GMO...

    2 days ago

Bitcoin news portal providing breaking news, guides, price analysis about decentralized digital money & blockchain technology.

Bitcoin

  • News
  • Price
  • Businesses
  • Acceptance
  • Technology
  • Investment
  • Regulation
  • Reviews

Altcoins

  • News
  • Price
  • Ethereum
  • Ripple
  • Litecoin
  • EOS

Categories

  • Blockchain
  • Security
  • FinTech
  • Technology
  • Trending
  • Breaking News
  • Press Releases
  • How to

About Us

  • Advertise
  • Contact us
  • Editorial Policy
  • Privacy Policy
© 2025 Bitcoinist.com. All Rights Reserved.
  • Bitcoin
    • News
    • Price
    • Businesses
    • Acceptance
    • Technology
    • Investment
    • Regulation
    • Reviews
    • All Bitcoin News
  • Altcoins
    • News
    • Price
    • Ethereum
    • Ripple
    • Litecoin
    • EOS
    • NAGA
    • All Altcoin News
  • Tech
    • Blockchain
    • Security
    • FinTech
    • Price
      • Bitcoin Price
      • Ethereum Price
      • Binance Coin Price
      • Litecoin Price
  • Industry
    • Industry News
    • Press Releases
  • How to
    • Buy gift cards/mobile Top Ups with Cryptos
    • What Is Bitcoin?
    • Best Bitcoin Wallet
    • Bitcoin vs Ethereum
    • Why Use Blockchain Technology?
    • Bitcoin Cash ABC vs. Bitcoin Cash SV
    • How to Buy Cryptocurrency
    • How to do Crypto Gambling
      • Crypto Casinos
      • Crypto Betting
    • Play Crypto Games
      • Crypto Poker
      • Crypto Slots
      • Crypto Blackjack
      • Crypto Crash Gambling
      • Plinko
    • Bitcoin Mining
    • Best Bitcoin Brokers
    • Best Bitcoin Forex Brokers
    • How To Earn Bitcoin
    • What is Facebook Libra?
    • Ripple and XRP: The Complete Guide
  • Events
  • Play Games
Advertise

© 2025 Bitcoinist. All Rights Reserved.

This website uses cookies. By continuing to use this website you are giving consent to cookies being used. Visit our Privacy Center or Cookie Policy.