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Bitcoin Nears End Of Post-Halving Consolidation Phase – Cycle Peak In Sight?

Bitcoin Nears End Of Post-Halving Consolidation Phase – Cycle Peak In Sight?

Sebastian Villafuerte
by Sebastian Villafuerte
3 months ago
·
Posted in Bitcoin News
Trusted Editorial content, reviewed by leading industry experts and seasoned editors. Ad Disclosure

It’s been just over a year since the latest Bitcoin halving, and the price is now hovering near all-time highs after reaching $112,000 earlier this week. BTC is holding strong at current levels, consolidating just below peak resistance, and momentum is quietly building. Many traders and analysts believe a massive breakout could be on the horizon in the coming weeks.

Related Reading: BTC Sets New Highs But Altcoins Struggle 30% Below ATH – Details

According to insights from Sentora (formerly IntoTheBlock), this cycle is unfolding with some familiar patterns—and a few notable differences. Historically, Bitcoin tends to spend the first year after a halving in a prolonged consolidation phase before entering its strongest rally. However, this time around, BTC spiked earlier than expected but then paused for several months as high interest rates and tighter macro conditions weighed on risk appetite.

Despite the delayed continuation, current price action suggests Bitcoin may be ready to break that consolidation range and enter the next leg of the cycle. With BTC firmly above $100K and institutional demand rising, the stage may be set. While macro risks remain, sentiment has shifted. Bitcoin isn’t just surviving the post-halving year—it may be setting up for its most powerful breakout yet.

Bitcoin Sets The Stage For Uptrend Continuation Despite Uncertainty

Bitcoin is holding steady near its all-time highs, and the market is beginning to show signs of renewed bullish momentum. As uncertainty grows in global markets, Bitcoin appears to be positioning itself for a continuation of its uptrend. Analysts with high conviction are now calling for major price surges, citing both technical strength and improving on-chain signals.

According to insights from Sentora, Bitcoin’s current behavior aligns closely with historic cycle patterns. In past cycles, BTC typically spends the first post-halving year consolidating before entering a decisive breakout phase. While this cycle defied expectations by spiking early, momentum quickly slowed as high interest rates and tighter financial conditions weighed on investor sentiment.

Bitcoin price performance by halving | Source: Sentora on X
Bitcoin price performance by halving | Source: Sentora on X

Still, the broader pattern remains intact. Sentora notes that in most cycles, Bitcoin peaks tend to emerge 1.5 to 2 years after the halving—a timeline that shifts the spotlight to 2025. This suggests that current consolidation, while frustrating to some, could be part of a healthy and structured market setup before the next explosive move.

With price action stabilizing above $100K and key on-chain metrics remaining strong, the long-term outlook remains bullish. If BTC can maintain current support and break through resistance in the coming weeks, the groundwork for a much larger rally could soon be in place. For now, the market is watching closely—but conviction among seasoned analysts is building. Bitcoin may be entering the quiet before the storm.

Related Reading: BTC Whale Activity Remains Neutral As It Enters Price Discovery – Bullish Signal?

BTC Flirts With Highest Weekly Close Ever

Bitcoin is closing the week near $108,000 after reaching a new all-time high, marking what could become the strongest weekly close in its history. The weekly chart shows clear breakout strength above the previous resistance zone around $103,600, now flipped into support. This level had capped price action for months, but the latest surge confirms bulls are firmly in control.

BTC about to close the week above $105K | Source: BTCUSDT chart on TradingView
BTC about to close the week above $105K | Source: BTCUSDT chart on TradingView

BTC has posted four consecutive green weekly candles, with increasing body size and strong closes, indicative of a sustained trend. The 34-week EMA sits at $87,966, far below current levels, underscoring the strength of this move and how extended BTC is from mid-range averages. Importantly, volume has remained relatively stable during the breakout, showing that the move is being supported, not exhausted.

Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Temperature Rises Fast – Still Room Before This Cycle Peaks?

As long as Bitcoin remains above the $103,600–$105,000 zone, the uptrend is intact. If the price consolidates around current levels without significant sell pressure, it could form the base for a push toward $120,000 and beyond. However, failure to hold $103K could invite deeper retracements.

Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView

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Sebastian Villafuerte

Sebastian Villafuerte

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Sebastian's journey into the world of crypto began four years ago, driven by a fascination with the potential of blockchain technology to revolutionize financial systems. His initial exploration focused on understanding the intricacies of various crypto projects, particularly those focused on building innovative financial solutions. Through countless hours of research and learning, Sebastian developed a deep understanding of the underlying technologies, market dynamics, and potential applications of cryptocurrencies. As his knowledge grew, Sebastian felt compelled to share his insights with others. He began actively contributing to online discussions on platforms like X and LinkedIn, focusing on fintech and crypto-related content. His goal was to expose valuable trends and insights to a wider audience, fostering a deeper understanding of the rapidly evolving crypto landscape. Sebastian's contributions quickly gained recognition, and he became a trusted voice in the online crypto community. To further enhance his expertise, Sebastian pursued a UC Berkeley Fintech: Frameworks, Applications, and Strategies certification. This rigorous program equipped him with valuable skills and knowledge regarding Financial Technology, bridging the gap between traditional finance (TradFi) and decentralized finance (DeFi). The certification deepened his understanding of the broader financial landscape and its intersection with blockchain technology. Sebastian's passion for finance and writing is evident in his work. He enjoys delving into financial research, analyzing market trends, and exploring the latest developments in the crypto space. In his spare time, Sebastian can often be found immersed in charts, studying 10-K forms, or engaging in thought-provoking discussions about the future of finance. Sebastian's journey as a crypto analyst and investor has been marked by a relentless pursuit of knowledge and a dedication to sharing his insights. His ability to navigate the complex world of crypto, combined with his passion for financial research and communication, makes him a valuable asset to the industry. As the crypto landscape continues to evolve, Sebastian remains at the forefront, providing valuable insights and contributing to the growth of this revolutionary technology.

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