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Bitcoin Sell-Side Risk Declines Significantly – Reduced Market Activity Signals Potential Volatility

Bitcoin Sell-Side Risk Declines Significantly – Reduced Market Activity Signals Potential Volatility

Sebastian Villafuerte
by Sebastian Villafuerte
Last Updated: January 24, 2025 5:00 am
·
Posted in Uncategorized
Trusted Editorial content, reviewed by leading industry experts and seasoned editors. Ad Disclosure

Bitcoin is at a critical juncture after pulling back from its newly established all-time high (ATH) on Monday to test key demand levels. The cryptocurrency’s ability to hold these levels will determine whether it confirms a breakout and resumes its bullish momentum or enters a correction phase that could push it below the psychological $100,000 mark. As the market watches closely, Bitcoin faces a crucial test that could shape its trajectory in the coming weeks.

Related Reading: Is Bitcoin Bull Cycle Nearing Its Conclusion? – Expert Shares Key Insights

Key metrics from CryptoQuant provide insights into the current market dynamics, revealing a notable reduction in selling activity over recent weeks. This trend has led to a sharp decline in the Sell-Side Risk Ratio, a metric used to gauge the pressure from sellers relative to buyers. A lower Sell-Side Risk Ratio suggests that selling pressure has eased significantly, creating a more favorable environment for a potential bullish continuation.

While sentiment remains cautiously optimistic, Bitcoin’s ability to hold these critical demand levels will be the defining factor in the short term. A successful defense could spark renewed buying interest and set the stage for another push toward uncharted territory. Conversely, losing these levels may lead to a prolonged consolidation or correction phase, testing investor confidence.

Bitcoin Activity Suggests A Strong Move Ahead 

Bitcoin is currently navigating a phase of heightened volatility, with market sentiment fluctuating amid widespread uncertainty. While the price remains above critical levels, analysts are anticipating a consolidation phase—a common precursor to significant market moves. This period of stabilization could help Bitcoin build a stronger foundation for its next potential rally or, conversely, signal a deeper correction.

Top analyst Axel Adler has provided valuable insights into the current market dynamics, sharing data from CryptoQuant on X. According to Adler, there has been a notable reduction in selling activity over recent weeks, resulting in a sharp decline in the Sell-Side Risk Ratio. This metric measures the pressure from investors selling their holdings relative to those buying, and its decline indicates that much of the planned profit and loss realization by market participants has already occurred.

Bitcoin Sell-Side Risk Ratio | Source: Axel Adler on X
Bitcoin Sell-Side Risk Ratio | Source: Axel Adler on X

Although the current Sell-Side Risk Ratio remains slightly above its long-term averages, its downward trend suggests reduced market activity and a potential buildup for the next phase of volatility. In essence, the market appears to be in a transitional state, waiting for new catalysts to drive a decisive move.

Related Reading: Bitcoin Bounces To ATH For The First Time Since December – Analyst Expects $130K Price Breakout

As Bitcoin holds above key support levels, its ability to consolidate and stabilize will be crucial in setting the tone for the coming weeks. Whether the next move is upward or downward, the reduced selling pressure and overall market dynamics hint at a significant shift ahead. Investors are closely watching for signs of renewed momentum as Bitcoin prepares for what could be another defining phase in its cycle.

BTC Testing Liquidity Below ATH

Bitcoin (BTC) is trading at $101,800 following a weekend and start to the week marked by intense volatility. While BTC has managed to stay above the critical $100,000 mark, this level remains a key line of defense for bulls aiming to maintain upward momentum. To solidify a bullish structure, BTC must hold above $100K and push through key resistance levels that are currently capping its price.

BTC testing crucial demand | Source: BTCUSDT chart on TradingView
BTC testing crucial demand | Source: BTCUSDT chart on TradingView

The first target for a bullish breakout is $103,600, a level that has acted as a significant barrier in recent trading sessions. Clearing this resistance could pave the way for BTC to challenge its all-time high (ATH) of $109,900. Achieving this would likely attract fresh buying interest, fueling further upward momentum and potentially pushing BTC into a new phase of price discovery.

However, the risk of a deeper correction looms if BTC fails to reclaim these levels in the coming days. Losing the $100K mark could trigger increased selling pressure, leading to a drop into lower support zones and prolonging the consolidation phase.

Related Reading: Bitcoin Investor Activity Is Low At The Moment – Expert Reveals Why

The next few days will be critical for Bitcoin as it attempts to regain strength and sustain its position above $100K. Investors are closely monitoring these levels, awaiting BTC’s next major move.

Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView

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Sebastian Villafuerte

Sebastian Villafuerte

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Sebastian's journey into the world of crypto began four years ago, driven by a fascination with the potential of blockchain technology to revolutionize financial systems. His initial exploration focused on understanding the intricacies of various crypto projects, particularly those focused on building innovative financial solutions. Through countless hours of research and learning, Sebastian developed a deep understanding of the underlying technologies, market dynamics, and potential applications of cryptocurrencies. As his knowledge grew, Sebastian felt compelled to share his insights with others. He began actively contributing to online discussions on platforms like X and LinkedIn, focusing on fintech and crypto-related content. His goal was to expose valuable trends and insights to a wider audience, fostering a deeper understanding of the rapidly evolving crypto landscape. Sebastian's contributions quickly gained recognition, and he became a trusted voice in the online crypto community. To further enhance his expertise, Sebastian pursued a UC Berkeley Fintech: Frameworks, Applications, and Strategies certification. This rigorous program equipped him with valuable skills and knowledge regarding Financial Technology, bridging the gap between traditional finance (TradFi) and decentralized finance (DeFi). The certification deepened his understanding of the broader financial landscape and its intersection with blockchain technology. Sebastian's passion for finance and writing is evident in his work. He enjoys delving into financial research, analyzing market trends, and exploring the latest developments in the crypto space. In his spare time, Sebastian can often be found immersed in charts, studying 10-K forms, or engaging in thought-provoking discussions about the future of finance. Sebastian's journey as a crypto analyst and investor has been marked by a relentless pursuit of knowledge and a dedication to sharing his insights. His ability to navigate the complex world of crypto, combined with his passion for financial research and communication, makes him a valuable asset to the industry. As the crypto landscape continues to evolve, Sebastian remains at the forefront, providing valuable insights and contributing to the growth of this revolutionary technology.

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