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Bitcoin

Bitcoin Short-Term Holder Behavior Continues To Show Divergence From Price

Keshav Verma
by Keshav Verma
2 years ago
·
Posted in Bitcoin
Trusted Editorial content, reviewed by leading industry experts and seasoned editors. Ad Disclosure

On-chain data shows the Bitcoin short-term holder behavior has continued to display divergence from the price in recent weeks.

Bitcoin Short-Term Holder SOPR Continues To Move Mostly Sideways

As pointed out by an analyst in a CryptoQuant post, while the price has gone down recently, short-term holders have instead made more profits.

The relevant indicator here is the “Spent Output Profit Ratio” (SOPR), which tells us whether the average Bitcoin investor is currently selling at a profit or at a loss.

When the value of this metric is greater than 1, it means the holders as a whole are moving coins at some profit right now. On the other hand, the SOPR being below the threshold suggests the overall market is realizing an amount of loss at the moment.

Naturally, the indicator having values exactly equal to 1 implies the market participants are just breaking-even on their selling currently.

Related Reading: Global Energy Consumption From Bitcoin Mining Is Just Over 0.10%

Now, there is a cohort in the BTC market called the “short-term holders” (STHs), which includes all investors who have been holding their coins since less than 155 days ago.

Here is a chart that shows the trend in the 7-day moving average SOPR specifically for this Bitcoin holder group:

Bitcoin Short-Term Holder SOPR

Looks like the value of the metric bounced off the 1 mark recently | Source: CryptoQuant

As you can see in the above graph, the Bitcoin short-term holder SOPR is in the region below 1 right now, meaning that these investors have been selling at a loss recently.

The metric has in fact been trapped in this zone for several months now, as the 1 level has been providing resistance to it in this period.

Related Reading: Made In The USA: WhatsMiner Will Produce Bitcoin Miners In American Soil

During the May and June crashes, the indicator’s value spiked down as STHs capitulated and sold at heavy losses. However, in recent months, while the price has gone down (albeit steadily), the STH SOPR hasn’t shown any signs of similar capitulation.

The quant has marked this divergence in the chart. Rather than STHs going into deeper losses as a result of the price declining, they have actually been selling at fewer losses in recent weeks as their SOPR has been climbing up to values close to 1.

BTC Price

At the time of writing, Bitcoin’s price floats around $19.1k, up 1% in the last week. Over the past month, the crypto has gained 4% in value.

The below chart shows the trend in the price of the coin over the last five days.

Bitcoin Price Chart

The value of the crypto seems to have been continuing its endless consolidation in the last few days | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView
Featured image from Michael Förtsch on Unsplash.com, charts from TradingView.com, CryptoQuant.com
Editorial Process for bitcoinist is centered on delivering thoroughly researched, accurate, and unbiased content. We uphold strict sourcing standards, and each page undergoes diligent review by our team of top technology experts and seasoned editors. This process ensures the integrity, relevance, and value of our content for our readers.
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Keshav Verma

Keshav Verma

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Keshav is a Physics graduate who has been employed as a writer with Bitcoinist since June 2021. He is passionate about writing and through the years, he has gained experience working in a variety of niches. Keshav holds an active interest in the cryptocurrency market, with on-chain analysis being an area he particularly likes to research and write about.

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