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Bitcoin Supply Limited In Spot Market – Analyst Shares Details

Bitcoin Supply Limited In Spot Market – Analyst Shares Details

Sebastian Villafuerte
by Sebastian Villafuerte
7 months ago
·
Posted in Bitcoin News
Trusted Editorial content, reviewed by leading industry experts and seasoned editors. Ad Disclosure

Bitcoin has faced significant selling pressure and underwhelming price action since late December, leading many investors to question its short-term trajectory. Despite these challenges, BTC continues to hold above key demand levels, maintaining a long-term bullish outlook. This resilience underscores the broader market’s confidence in BTC as a robust store of value and a leading asset in the crypto space.

Related Reading: New Investors Hold 50% Of BTC Wealth – Data Shows Strong Demand Absorbing Sell-Side Pressure

Top analyst Axel Adler shared insightful data on X, highlighting an important trend among short-term holders. According to Adler, these investors are, on average, selling their Bitcoin holdings at a loss. This behavior is often indicative of panic selling or capitulation, as newer market participants exit positions during periods of heightened volatility and uncertainty. While such trends can temporarily weigh on price performance, they also suggest a potential bottom as weaker hands exit the market, paving the way for stronger, more confident buyers to step in.

Bitcoin’s ability to hold key demand amid these conditions signals underlying strength, and many analysts believe this phase could set the stage for a major rally. As the market continues to evolve, the coming weeks will be critical in determining whether BTC can reclaim its bullish momentum and push toward new highs.

Short-Term Holders Selling at a Loss

Bitcoin is currently navigating a pivotal consolidation phase, marked by heightened fear and uncertainty among market participants. This phase has primarily targeted short-term holders, whose behavior often amplifies market volatility. Top analyst Axel Adler recently shared compelling data on X, shedding light on this dynamic. He revealed that the 7-day average Short-Term Holders SOPR (Spent Output Profit Ratio, SMA7D) has fallen below 1, a critical threshold.

When the SOPR metric dips below 1, it signals that short-term holders are selling their Bitcoin holdings at a loss. Such behavior typically occurs during periods of market stress, as these holders exit positions to minimize further losses. While this adds short-term selling pressure, it can also limit the available supply on the spot market, creating a potential buffer for demand to catch up. This dynamic often paves the way for a more balanced market and eventual recovery.

Bitcoin Short-Term Holders SOPR | Source: Axel Adler on X
Bitcoin Short-Term Holders SOPR | Source: Axel Adler on X

However, the current consolidation remains precarious. If BTC continues to decline, short-term holders may intensify their selling, further testing market resilience. The silver lining, as Adler notes, is that the coins held by this cohort are finite. Once this supply is exhausted, the market could stabilize, setting the stage for stronger hands to accumulate and support a more sustainable uptrend.

Related Reading: Stablecoin Transfer Volume Declines But Remains High Enough To Sustain Demand For Bitcoin – Details

As BTC hovers at key levels, the behavior of short-term holders and broader market demand will play a crucial role in determining the next major move. The coming weeks will be instrumental in shaping Bitcoin’s trajectory for the year, with many analysts still optimistic about a long-term bullish outlook.

Bitcoin Price Update: Testing Key Levels Amid Volatility

Bitcoin is currently trading at $91,300, following a sharp decline from the $95,700 level earlier this week. The recent drop has intensified market uncertainty, with bulls under pressure to reclaim critical levels. To reestablish momentum, BTC must close above the $92K mark in the coming days, signaling renewed strength and a potential path toward recovery. A subsequent push to reclaim $95,000 would be essential to confirm a bullish reversal.

BTC testing fresh demand | Source: BTCUSDT chart on TradingView
BTC testing fresh demand | Source: BTCUSDT chart on TradingView

However, the market is not without its risks. If BTC fails to hold the $90K support level, a further breakdown could trigger a deeper correction. Analysts are eyeing the $87K mark as the next significant support level, which could serve as a potential base for buyers to step in. This level will be crucial to monitor, as a failure to hold it could lead to even more bearish sentiment in the short term.

Related Reading: Ethereum Leads Bitcoin in Long-Term Holder Ratios – 74.7% Of ETH Addresses Hold Strong

The coming days will be pivotal for Bitcoin’s short-term trajectory. Traders and investors alike are closely watching whether bulls can regain control and stabilize the price above $92K. Meanwhile, downside risks highlight the importance of maintaining key support levels to avoid a more significant pullback in this volatile market.

Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView

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Sebastian Villafuerte

Sebastian Villafuerte

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Sebastian's journey into the world of crypto began four years ago, driven by a fascination with the potential of blockchain technology to revolutionize financial systems. His initial exploration focused on understanding the intricacies of various crypto projects, particularly those focused on building innovative financial solutions. Through countless hours of research and learning, Sebastian developed a deep understanding of the underlying technologies, market dynamics, and potential applications of cryptocurrencies. As his knowledge grew, Sebastian felt compelled to share his insights with others. He began actively contributing to online discussions on platforms like X and LinkedIn, focusing on fintech and crypto-related content. His goal was to expose valuable trends and insights to a wider audience, fostering a deeper understanding of the rapidly evolving crypto landscape. Sebastian's contributions quickly gained recognition, and he became a trusted voice in the online crypto community. To further enhance his expertise, Sebastian pursued a UC Berkeley Fintech: Frameworks, Applications, and Strategies certification. This rigorous program equipped him with valuable skills and knowledge regarding Financial Technology, bridging the gap between traditional finance (TradFi) and decentralized finance (DeFi). The certification deepened his understanding of the broader financial landscape and its intersection with blockchain technology. Sebastian's passion for finance and writing is evident in his work. He enjoys delving into financial research, analyzing market trends, and exploring the latest developments in the crypto space. In his spare time, Sebastian can often be found immersed in charts, studying 10-K forms, or engaging in thought-provoking discussions about the future of finance. Sebastian's journey as a crypto analyst and investor has been marked by a relentless pursuit of knowledge and a dedication to sharing his insights. His ability to navigate the complex world of crypto, combined with his passion for financial research and communication, makes him a valuable asset to the industry. As the crypto landscape continues to evolve, Sebastian remains at the forefront, providing valuable insights and contributing to the growth of this revolutionary technology.

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