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Dogecoin

Dogecoin Price Rebound To $14: Why A Rally Hinges On This Support Level

Scott Matherson
by Scott Matherson
6 months ago
·
Posted in Altcoins, Dogecoin
Trusted Editorial content, reviewed by leading industry experts and seasoned editors. Ad Disclosure

Dogecoin is now at an important moment in its market cycle, and according to a recent analysis by crypto analyst Ali Martinez, the next move could make or break it all. In a post on the social media platform X, Martinez explained that Dogecoin’s ability to embark on a rally hinges on whether it can hold above a crucial support zone around $0.16.

His forecast is grounded in a technical study of Dogecoin’s long-term price movement, which shows the meme coin has maintained a consistent uptrend channel since 2015, bouncing between support and resistance levels during each cycle.

Eight-Year Uptrend Channel On Dogecoin’s Weekly Candlestick Chart

Ali Martinez’s bullish outlook is based on his technical analysis of Dogecoin’s weekly candlestick chart. The analyst noted that DOGE has been locked inside an ascending channel since 2015, defined by higher highs and higher lows over the years.

Related Reading: Dogecoin Price Gears Up For 75% Rally As Long As It Stays Inside This Channel

This structure has repeatedly pushed the coin to new all-time highs during bullish periods while also defining the boundaries for corrections in bear markets. The channel itself is split into two halves by an upward-sloping trendline that has served as both support and resistance. 

Dogecoin
A bullish breakout to $14 | Source: Ali Martinez on X

Martinez believes that the same setup may be taking shape again. Dogecoin’s price met resistance near $0.48 in December 2024 and has since corrected downward over the past three months. As it stands, the meme coin is now trading close to the lower trendline of the upward channel, and its reaction here could make or break its price trajectory for the rest of the year.

A Bounce From $0.16 Could Trigger A Surge Toward $14

The lower support trendline has been crucial in Dogecoin price rallies, with the latest being its role in Q4 2024. Back then, DOGE rebounded at the lower trendline, which was situated around the $0.09 mark and went on the ensuing rally that saw its price increase by about 430%. At the time of writing, the lower trendline support, which is supposed to make a higher high, is now situated around the $0.16 price level. 

Related Reading: Dogecoin Price Registers Deviation From Macro Channel, Analyst Sets $6 Target

The optimal move is for Dogecoin to rebound at this lower trendline, and Martinez emphasized that holding above $0.16 could serve as the launchpad for a major rally. If the support level holds, he anticipates that Dogecoin could begin ascending toward the mid-range of the channel, which is estimated to be around $2.5. 

A move to $2.5 would send Dogecoin trading at new all-time highs and turn the mid-range trendline into a support level. Continued strong momentum would then push Dogecoin to ultimately reach the upper boundary of the channel at approximately $14. However, there could be corrections in between these movements.

The downside of failing to hold this support is just as significant. Falling below $0.16 would cause the support trendline to shift downwards. In that case, DOGE could be vulnerable to deeper losses and prolonged consolidation. At the time of writing, Dogecoin is trading at $0.1754, up by 3.5% in the past 24 hours.

Dogecoin
DOGE trading at $0.17 on the 1D chart | Source: DOGEUSDT on Tradingview.com
Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com
Editorial Process for bitcoinist is centered on delivering thoroughly researched, accurate, and unbiased content. We uphold strict sourcing standards, and each page undergoes diligent review by our team of top technology experts and seasoned editors. This process ensures the integrity, relevance, and value of our content for our readers.
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Scott Matherson

Scott Matherson

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Scott Matherson is a leading crypto writer at Bitcoinist, who possesses a sharp analytical mind and a deep understanding of the digital currency landscape. Scott has earned a reputation for delivering thought-provoking and well-researched articles that resonate with both newcomers and seasoned crypto enthusiasts. Outside of his writing, Scott is passionate about promoting crypto literacy and often works to educate the public on the potential of blockchain.

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