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On-Chain Indicator Sets Bitcoin Cycle Top Price At $141K – Details

On-Chain Indicator Sets Bitcoin Cycle Top Price At $141K – Details

Sebastian Villafuerte
by Sebastian Villafuerte
10 months ago
·
Posted in Bitcoin News
Trusted Editorial content, reviewed by leading industry experts and seasoned editors. Ad Disclosure

Bitcoin has experienced a record-breaking bullish breakout, shattering all-time highs almost daily over the past three weeks. After an impressive rally, the price is less than 2% away from the $100,000 mark—a critical psychological level that could become a turning point for the entire crypto market. Investors and analysts alike are closely watching this milestone, as breaking it may fuel a new wave of market momentum and broader adoption.

Related Reading: Bitcoin Poised For A Parabolic Bull Scenario During Price Discovery – Details

On-chain data shared by CryptoQuant CEO Ki Young Ju suggests that Bitcoin’s current rally may still have room to grow. Ju highlights that the market appears too early to call a bubble, as the overall market cap has not risen significantly compared to cumulative on-chain capital inflows. This metric indicates that the price action is supported by real demand rather than speculative hype, reinforcing confidence in Bitcoin’s sustained bullish trajectory.

With Bitcoin leading the charge, its approach to $100,000 could set the tone for the rest of the crypto market. Whether it breaks through or faces resistance, the outcome will likely influence market sentiment, offering a glimpse into what lies ahead for the world’s largest cryptocurrency and the digital asset space as a whole.

Bitcoin Metrics Set High Expectations

Bitcoin has been setting record highs, yet it “struggles” to break the critical $100,000 barrier. Despite this, the overall market sentiment remains bullish, with analysts predicting that the price could continue to rise. CryptoQuant CEO Ki Young Ju has shared valuable insights on X, revealing that the Bitcoin cycle top could potentially exceed $141,000.

According to Ju’s analysis, the current market dynamics suggest that BTC is still in the early stages of its bull market, making it premature to call the rally a bubble. A key piece of data Ju highlights is the realized cap, which has been increasing steadily every day. The realized cap, calculated by summing the value of all BTC at the price at which they were last moved on-chain, serves as an indicator of the total capital inflows into the BTC market.

Bitcoin price prediction based on realized cap
Bitcoin price prediction based on realized cap | Source: Ki Young Ju on X

Ju points out that historically, Bitcoin’s market cap tends to exceed its realized cap during bull markets, with the market cap peaking as retail investors enter. During bear markets, the market cap often falls below the realized cap. 

Related Reading: Bitcoin Bull Market Is Only Starting – Analyst Breaks Down Key Market Drivers

As the realized cap continues to rise, it supports the argument for a continued upward trajectory in BTC’s price, with the potential to reach or even surpass $141,000 before the market peaks. This analysis reinforces that, despite Bitcoin’s near struggle to break $100,000, the market still holds significant room for growth before a potential top is reached.

BTC Growing Demand Pushing Price Up

Bitcoin is on the verge of having its highest weekly close in history as it approaches the $100,000 mark, currently holding strong above $98,000. The price action has confirmed the bullish accumulation pattern, a cup and handle, that started forming in November 2021.

BTC massive cup and handle pattern confirmed
BTC massive cup and handle pattern confirmed | Source: BTCUSDT chart on TradingView

This pattern suggests that BTC is building a strong base, and a confirmed breakout above $98,000 could set the stage for a surge past the psychological $100,000 level as early as Monday. A strong close today could signal a continuation of the bullish trend, with potential for further upward momentum.

However, there is some caution around the potential for a weak breakout. If the price struggles to hold above $100,000 after a breakout, it could trigger a pullback, leading to a correction before the next phase of the rally. 

Related Reading: Ethereum Holders Endure Unrealized Losses – Is ETH Undervalued?

A failure to sustain above $98,000 today would also raise the risk of a short-term retrace, with support levels below this mark becoming key in determining the strength of the current rally. Despite the possibility of a minor correction, the overall market sentiment remains bullish, with many analysts anticipating continued gains if the $100,000 level is broken decisively.

Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView

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Sebastian Villafuerte

Sebastian Villafuerte

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Sebastian's journey into the world of crypto began four years ago, driven by a fascination with the potential of blockchain technology to revolutionize financial systems. His initial exploration focused on understanding the intricacies of various crypto projects, particularly those focused on building innovative financial solutions. Through countless hours of research and learning, Sebastian developed a deep understanding of the underlying technologies, market dynamics, and potential applications of cryptocurrencies. As his knowledge grew, Sebastian felt compelled to share his insights with others. He began actively contributing to online discussions on platforms like X and LinkedIn, focusing on fintech and crypto-related content. His goal was to expose valuable trends and insights to a wider audience, fostering a deeper understanding of the rapidly evolving crypto landscape. Sebastian's contributions quickly gained recognition, and he became a trusted voice in the online crypto community. To further enhance his expertise, Sebastian pursued a UC Berkeley Fintech: Frameworks, Applications, and Strategies certification. This rigorous program equipped him with valuable skills and knowledge regarding Financial Technology, bridging the gap between traditional finance (TradFi) and decentralized finance (DeFi). The certification deepened his understanding of the broader financial landscape and its intersection with blockchain technology. Sebastian's passion for finance and writing is evident in his work. He enjoys delving into financial research, analyzing market trends, and exploring the latest developments in the crypto space. In his spare time, Sebastian can often be found immersed in charts, studying 10-K forms, or engaging in thought-provoking discussions about the future of finance. Sebastian's journey as a crypto analyst and investor has been marked by a relentless pursuit of knowledge and a dedication to sharing his insights. His ability to navigate the complex world of crypto, combined with his passion for financial research and communication, makes him a valuable asset to the industry. As the crypto landscape continues to evolve, Sebastian remains at the forefront, providing valuable insights and contributing to the growth of this revolutionary technology.

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