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Spot Bitcoin ETF Is Coming, MicroStrategy May Suffer: Here’s Why

Dalmas Ngetich
by Dalmas Ngetich
1 year ago
·
Posted in Bitcoin News
Trusted Editorial content, reviewed by leading industry experts and seasoned editors. Ad Disclosure

A value investor, Mike Alfred, predicts that MicroStrategy, the public business intelligence company, will suffer once a spot in the Bitcoin ETF is approved in the United States. In a post on X, Alfred also noted that MicroStrategy is down 5% and is trading as “if the market expects the spot ETFs to be approved soon.”

MicroStrategy’s Premium Will Fall, MSTR Prices Will Drop

Despite the expected reduction in MicroStrategy’s premium, Alfred believes its stock price, currently trading at around $600, may recover steadily in the next bull run. 

Related Reading: Shiba Inu Ready For Upward Movement, Crypto Analyst Says

Looking at the MSTR stock in the daily chart, prices appear to be topping out. Share prices rose to as high as $717 in the first week of January before dropping 16% to spot rates. The sell-off continues when writing with critical primary support at the $475 and $500 zone.

MSTR share price trending downward on the daily chart| Source: MSTR on NASDAQ, TradingView
MSTR share price trending downward on the daily chart| Source: MSTR on NASDAQ, TradingView

Analysts now say a regulated spot Bitcoin ETF will see more institutions opting for this product instead of shadowing Bitcoin via the MSTR stock.  As a result, the demand for MSTR shares will likely contract.

For this reason, the MSTR sell-off might continue in the short term. However, as Alfred predicts, share prices will recover in later stages and rally to $1,500.

Will A Spot Bitcoin ETF Lift BTC To $100,000?

Alfred continued that the MSTR recovery will come as Bitcoin floats to set record highs above $100,000. So far, as the community closely monitors the United States Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and whether it will approve the first spot Bitcoin ETF, BTC prices are firm, reaching $47,200 on January 8. 

Bitcoin bulls believe prices may rally to as high as $69,000, last registered in November 2021, once the coveted derivative product hits the market.

Related Reading: Ripple Vs. SEC: All Quiet On The Battle Front, Legal Expert Explains Why

Despite the MSTR price falling, some are confident that buying the stock is a better alternative to a spot Bitcoin ETF. MicroStrategy has indirectly and actively increased shareholders’ exposure to Bitcoin through its accumulation strategy. All this is without charging a management fee, benefiting clients, including institutions, who considered the MSTR stock a “shadow spot Bitcoin ETF.” 

Bitcoin held by MicroStrategy | Source: Bitcoin Treasuries
Bitcoin held by MicroStrategy | Source: Bitcoin Treasuries

To illustrate, Bitcoin Treasuries data on January 9 reveals that MicroStrategy holds 189,150 BTC worth over $8.8 billion at spot rates in its balance sheet. This figure means it leads public companies who own Bitcoin. 

Feature image from Canva, chart from TradingView
Editorial Process for bitcoinist is centered on delivering thoroughly researched, accurate, and unbiased content. We uphold strict sourcing standards, and each page undergoes diligent review by our team of top technology experts and seasoned editors. This process ensures the integrity, relevance, and value of our content for our readers.
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Dalmas Ngetich

Dalmas Ngetich

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Dalmas is an experienced journalist with over a decade in Forex, general finance, technology, and blockchain developments. He is currently a crypto reporter for Bitcoinist, where he covers DeFi, blockchain, DeFi, and latest industry news. His work and that of his partners have been featured in top news outlets, including Forbes, investing.com, CoinTelegraph, and Entrepreneur, among others. He is passionate about technology and politics and is always on the lookout for the latest trends in these fields. He also loves spending time with his family and friends, exploring nature, and traveling to new places. Connect on X: @Dalmas_Ngetich, or message him directly on Telegram here: @Dalmas_Ngetich.

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