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The Bitcoin Cycle Top ‘Could Hit In October 2025’ – Analyst Explains Why

The Bitcoin Cycle Top ‘Could Hit In October 2025’ – Analyst Explains Why

Sebastian Villafuerte
by Sebastian Villafuerte
9 months ago
·
Posted in Bitcoin News
Trusted Editorial content, reviewed by leading industry experts and seasoned editors. Ad Disclosure

Bitcoin has closed above the $100,000 mark for two consecutive days, reinforcing its strong bullish momentum as it eyes a push toward new all-time highs. This milestone has reignited optimism in the crypto market, with investors anticipating a sustained breakout. BTC’s ability to hold above this key psychological level suggests that further upward momentum could be in store as it approaches its previous peak at $103,600.

Related Reading: Ethereum To Hit 5 Figures Once It Breaks Yearly Highs – Details

Top analyst Ali Martinez recently shared compelling insights on X, suggesting that BTC may still have significant room to grow before reaching the current bull cycle’s top. Drawing parallels with the 2015 and 2018 market cycles, Martinez predicts that the next major market peak could materialize in October 2025. If history repeats, Bitcoin’s recent performance is just the beginning of a longer bullish phase.

While the short-term outlook for BTC is promising, this perspective places the current rally within the broader context of a multiyear growth trajectory. As BTC continues to capture attention with its resilience and institutional support, market participants are closely watching for confirmation of the next leg up. The coming weeks could be pivotal in determining whether Bitcoin’s next chapter will redefine its all-time high and reaffirm its dominance.

Bitcoin Compared To Past Cycles

Bitcoin has officially entered its bull run phase, with the rally that began on November 5 sparking significant momentum. Since then, the price has surged over 50%, showcasing weeks of positive price action that have consistently set new highs. This remarkable performance has reignited enthusiasm across the crypto market, with many analysts and investors now speculating on when this cycle’s market top might occur.

Top analyst Ali Martinez recently shared compelling insights on X, offering a broader perspective on Bitcoin’s trajectory. According to Martinez, Bitcoin’s price movement could follow one of two key historical patterns. 

Bitcoin price performance in each cycle since its low
Bitcoin price performance in each cycle since its low | Source: Ali Martinez on X

If it aligns with the 2015 and 2018 cycles, the next major market top could materialize in October 2025. However, if BTC mirrors the shorter, more explosive 2011 cycle, the current high may already represent the bull run’s peak. Martinez backed his analysis with a chart comparing every cycle since Bitcoin’s cycle lows, illustrating how these patterns provide valuable context for predicting outcomes.

Related Reading: Ethereum Breaks Multi-Year Bullish Pennant – Strong Move Ahead?

While some analysts call for caution, others emphasize Bitcoin’s long-term potential, arguing that the growing institutional adoption and strong fundamentals could extend this bull run further than previous cycles. As Bitcoin’s price continues to climb, market participants remain focused on key resistance levels and long-term trends to confirm the path forward.

BTC Testing Supply Above $100K

Bitcoin is currently trading at $101,790, holding strong after reclaiming the critical $100,000 mark two days ago. However, the price remains confined within a narrow range between $99,000 and $102,000, reflecting market indecision. Traders and investors are closely watching for a breakout, which could determine Bitcoin’s next major move.

BTC holding above $100K
BTC holding above $100K | Source: BTCUSDT chart on TradingView

If BTC manages to sustain momentum above $100,000 and push beyond the key resistance level at $103,600, a bullish rally could ensue, potentially setting new all-time highs. This scenario would reinforce the ongoing bullish sentiment in the market and attract further participation from institutional and retail investors alike.

On the flip side, failure to hold the $100,000 level could shift momentum in favor of the bears. A significant breach below this psychological threshold would likely trigger a retracement toward lower demand zones. Analysts point to $92,000 as a key support level, where buyers could step in to stabilize the price.

Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Temperature At Medium Levels – Indicator Sets BTC Top Price At $178K

With BTC’s range-bound movement continuing, the market awaits a decisive signal. Whether the price breaks out to the upside or corrects downward, the next move will likely set the tone for Bitcoin’s trajectory in the weeks ahead. For now, the $100,000 level remains a pivotal battleground.

 Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView

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Sebastian Villafuerte

Sebastian Villafuerte

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Sebastian's journey into the world of crypto began four years ago, driven by a fascination with the potential of blockchain technology to revolutionize financial systems. His initial exploration focused on understanding the intricacies of various crypto projects, particularly those focused on building innovative financial solutions. Through countless hours of research and learning, Sebastian developed a deep understanding of the underlying technologies, market dynamics, and potential applications of cryptocurrencies. As his knowledge grew, Sebastian felt compelled to share his insights with others. He began actively contributing to online discussions on platforms like X and LinkedIn, focusing on fintech and crypto-related content. His goal was to expose valuable trends and insights to a wider audience, fostering a deeper understanding of the rapidly evolving crypto landscape. Sebastian's contributions quickly gained recognition, and he became a trusted voice in the online crypto community. To further enhance his expertise, Sebastian pursued a UC Berkeley Fintech: Frameworks, Applications, and Strategies certification. This rigorous program equipped him with valuable skills and knowledge regarding Financial Technology, bridging the gap between traditional finance (TradFi) and decentralized finance (DeFi). The certification deepened his understanding of the broader financial landscape and its intersection with blockchain technology. Sebastian's passion for finance and writing is evident in his work. He enjoys delving into financial research, analyzing market trends, and exploring the latest developments in the crypto space. In his spare time, Sebastian can often be found immersed in charts, studying 10-K forms, or engaging in thought-provoking discussions about the future of finance. Sebastian's journey as a crypto analyst and investor has been marked by a relentless pursuit of knowledge and a dedication to sharing his insights. His ability to navigate the complex world of crypto, combined with his passion for financial research and communication, makes him a valuable asset to the industry. As the crypto landscape continues to evolve, Sebastian remains at the forefront, providing valuable insights and contributing to the growth of this revolutionary technology.

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