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bitcoin metric top
Nexo

This Bitcoin Metric Shows Just How Far Away The Top Could Be

Tony Spilotro by Tony Spilotro
2 months ago
in Bitcoin
0

Bitcoin price is still more than 10% away from the highs set last month, and bulls have been struggling to regain the powerful momentum they had on the way up. However, while price action is feigning signs of being exhausted, blockchain data shows that growth in actual Bitcoin adoption is still on a steady, parabolic incline and is nowhere close to peak levels historically.

According to a top cryptocurrency market researcher, this suggests the current uptrend has nowhere near concluded, and a new record in a key metric will be reached before it is all said and done.

Blockchain Data Shows When Retail Arrived, User Adoption In Action

As Bitcoin price action soars, the cryptocurrency making headlines and becoming the subject of water cooler talk and online chatter once again, has also lured new users to the technology en masse.

RELATED READING | “WONDERFUL” SHARK TANK INVESTOR SHIFTS PORTION OF PORTFOLIO TO BITCOIN AND ETHEREUM

Technically, Bitcoin’s current uptrend has been the most powerful in its history, but fundamentally, as healthy as things are, it hasn’t reached the user growth rates seen at the last major peak.

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bitcoin metric top Willy Woo

On-chain data shows user growth hasn't peaked yet, compared to last cycle | Source: glassnode

According to data shared from glassnode by crypto analyst and Bitcoin researcher Willy Woo, the 365-day net growth moving average of Bitcoin “entities” or users, hasn’t reached the same highs as 2017.

Until user adoption catches up with the former peak set back then, Woo says the top is still a far ways off.

Bitcoin Adoption Rate Suggests Trend Is “Just Warming Up”

Woo not only expects the current cycle to reach that previous growth rate, but exceed it. Which is why he claims the current “bull market is just warming up.”

Retail, as Woo points out as arriving in January, suggests the second-phase of the crypto market uptrend has begun according to Dow Theory. The public participation phase can last for some time, but eventually things get over extended and correct.

bitcoin metric top

How far does the leading cryptocurrency go from here? | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com

Before that happens, however, the leading cryptocurrency by market cap is expected to reach prices of $100,000 or more per coin. If price discovery has already taken each coin to a price of more than $50,000 each and the trend is just “warming up” as Woo claims, how far do things actually go?

RELATED READING | FRACTAL FROM LAST BULL RUN SAYS BITCOIN WILL HIT $100K BY MAY

No one knows for sure, but Woo’s user adoption metric could be a key tool in timing when to exit any positions in the cryptocurrency, or to consider the trend as changed and to start turning strategies toward shorting bounces instead of buying the dip.

Featured image from Deposit Photos, Charts from TradingView.com
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Tony Spilotro

Tony Spilotro

I'm Tony Spilotro. Behind the pseudonym, I'm a digital media executive and global remote work leader with a decade of content experience and excellent. Here, I explore my newfound passions pertaining to privacy, finance, economics, politics, cryptography, property rights, and other libertarian-esque views. I am a Bitcoin evangelist, maximalist, and educator whenever I can be, helping to spread its message of freedom from government control, monetary policy mismanagement, and passing the buck - literally – to future generations. My journey from a curious retail crypto investor to a serious Bitcoin advocate, trader, and technical analyst is an unusual one, but life-changing nonetheless and has become less about money and more about a long-overdue revolution. While a firm believer in the laws governing math and science, I am profoundly fascinated by the impact of astrology and astronomy including moon and solar cycles and planetary alignment and their ability to influence and potentially predict markets. It hasn't yet clicked for me as to how to put anything to use, but I consider it my current rabbit hole I can't yet dig out of. My perspective of growing up alongside the internet, the dot com era, the Great Recession, and roots in video games collecting coins and rare items caused Bitcoin to immediately make sense to me. Through all of these lenses, I seek to produce content that is educational and entertaining, and I thank you sincerely for taking the time to read what I have to say. Please follow me on Twitter and feel free to drop me a line if you would like to work together.

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