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Bitcoin Bear

Ethereum Bearish Signal: Network Demand Remains Low

Keshav Verma
by Keshav Verma
2 years ago
·
Posted in Ethereum
Trusted Editorial content, reviewed by leading industry experts and seasoned editors. Ad Disclosure

On-chain data shows the demand on the Ethereum network has continued to drop recently, a sign that could be bearish for the asset’s value.

Ethereum Total Transaction Count Continues To Go Down

As pointed out by an analyst in a CryptoQuant post, the ETH transaction count has observed a significant plunge recently. The “transaction count (total)” is an indicator that measures the total number of transfers taking place on the Ethereum blockchain on any given day.

When the value of this metric is high, it means traders are active on the network right now. On the other hand, low values imply the chain is seeing low activity at the moment. Now, here is a chart that shows the trend in the 30-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) version of this indicator over the last couple of years:

Ethereum Transaction Count

The 30-day EMA value of the metric seems to have been constantly going down in recent months | Source: CryptoQuant

As shown in the above graph, the 30-day EMA Ethereum transaction count has been in a state of overall decline since May 2021, when ETH set its then all-time high. The indicator has, however, seen some periods of respite where the trend would temporarily reverse, and the metric would climb up before continuing back on the downward trajectory.

Related Reading: Bitcoin 7-Day Hashrate Down To September Levels As US Storm Disrupts Miners

These bursts of activity coincided with local tops in the price of the crypto, a trend that makes sense as rallies usually require a large number of traders to be sustainable. Though, just like uptrends in the metric accompanied bullish momentum in the price of Ethereum, downtrends usually resulted in the crypto’s value also observing a bearish fate.

Related Reading: A Christmas Gift From Peter Schiff, ‘Sell Your Bitcoin’

Most recently, the 30-day EMA transaction count has once again seen a plummet, showing that the demand for the crypto is still absent from the market. And if recent patterns are anything to go by, this decline may lead to Ethereum plunging down soon as well.

ETH Price

At the time of writing, Ethereum’s price floats around $1,200, up 1% in the last week. Over the past month, the crypto has gained 1% in value.

Below is a chart that shows the trend in the price of the coin over the last five days.

Ethereum Price Chart

Looks like ETH has been at a standstill in the last few days | Source: ETHUSD on TradingView

Ethereum has been locked in sideways movement for a while now, but it’s unclear when the crypto may escape from this consolidation. If the transaction count metric is anything to consider, then the break might be coming soon and in a direction that ETH investors wouldn’t like.

Featured image from Becca on Unsplash.com, charts from TradingView, CryptoQuant.com
Editorial Process for bitcoinist is centered on delivering thoroughly researched, accurate, and unbiased content. We uphold strict sourcing standards, and each page undergoes diligent review by our team of top technology experts and seasoned editors. This process ensures the integrity, relevance, and value of our content for our readers.
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Keshav Verma

Keshav Verma

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Keshav is a Physics graduate who has been employed as a writer with Bitcoinist since June 2021. He is passionate about writing and through the years, he has gained experience working in a variety of niches. Keshav holds an active interest in the cryptocurrency market, with on-chain analysis being an area he particularly likes to research and write about.

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