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Altcoins

Altcoin Season Index Points To Possible Bottom Despite Bitcoin Dominance

Scott Matherson
by Scott Matherson
1 month ago
·
Posted in Altcoins
Trusted Editorial content, reviewed by leading industry experts and seasoned editors. Ad Disclosure

Altcoin season has remained elusive despite expectations that it would have begun early in 2025. This has led to calls that there has been a change in the cycle and perhaps the concept of an altcoin season no longer applies. The Bitcoin dominance has also remained quite high during this time, with altcoins falling rapidly with each decline. However, the Altcoin Season Index is currently pointing to a possible bottom for altcoins.

Altcoin Season Index Bounces From Low Score Of 11

The Altcoin Season Index is an index which ranks the performance of the top 50 altcoins against the performance of Bitcoin on a scale of 1-100. In the case where the top 50 coins are performing better than Bitcoin on a 90-day period, it is considered altcoin season. Whereas in the case where the Bitcoin price is still outperforming the top 50 altcoins, excluding stablecoins and asset-backed tokens, then it is considered a Bitcoin season.

Related Reading: Ethereum ETF Inflows Remain Green Despite Price Struggles – Here Are The Numbers

Presently, the Bitcoin price is still well ahead of the top 50 altcoins, as shown by its dominance still ranging above 65%. This has significantly reduced the chances of an alt season as the focus is still heavily on Bitcoin during this time. Even more concerning is the fact that the Bitcoin price has continued to outperform Ethereum, which is often the leader of the altcoin season.

According to data from Blockchain Center, the Altcoin Season Index is currently sitting at a low score of 27 at the time of this writing. This remains quite low but has been a major step-up from the low score of 11 that was recorded back in June following the market crash.

Altcoin Season Index
Source: Blockchain Center

Usually, when the index is this low, it often signals that the end of the downtrend is close and the bottom could be in. However, there could still be some ways to go, given that historically, the index has bottomed below 10 before the alt season begins.

Related Reading: Analyst Who Predicted 600% XRP Price Rally In 2024 Says Next Leg Up Will Be ‘Parabolic’

This is seen throughout the history of the market, where the altcoin index had fallen below 8 back in 2020 before the legendary altcoin season of 2021. Then again, bottoming at a score of 4 back in 2023 before the 2024 rally.

Nevertheless, the index being this low does suggest that the bottom is either in or will be in soon. The next step would be a decline in the Bitcoin dominance, likely toward the 40% territory, and Ethereum outperforming the Bitcoin price to fully signal the entrance of the altcoin season.

Altcoins market chart from TradingView.com
Altcoins view for another recovery | Source: Crypto Total Market Cap Excluding BTC on TradingView.com
Featured image from Dall.E, chart from TradingView.com
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Scott Matherson

Scott Matherson

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Scott Matherson is a leading crypto writer at Bitcoinist, who possesses a sharp analytical mind and a deep understanding of the digital currency landscape. Scott has earned a reputation for delivering thought-provoking and well-researched articles that resonate with both newcomers and seasoned crypto enthusiasts. Outside of his writing, Scott is passionate about promoting crypto literacy and often works to educate the public on the potential of blockchain.

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