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Bitcoin ‘Breaks From The Crypto Ecosystem’ – Why This Altseason Will Be Different?

Bitcoin ‘Breaks From The Crypto Ecosystem’ – Why This Altseason Will Be Different?

Sebastian Villafuerte
by Sebastian Villafuerte
8 months ago
·
Posted in Bitcoin News
Trusted Editorial content, reviewed by leading industry experts and seasoned editors. Ad Disclosure

Bitcoin has experienced a few days of ranging price action following its recent drop from $99K to $90K. The price is now holding above the $95K level, and this area is crucial in determining whether BTC will continue its ascent toward the $100K mark or retrace to find liquidity in lower levels. If BTC fails to hold above $95K, a correction could see it test support at $90K or even lower levels.

CryptoQuant CEO Ki Young Ju shared an insightful analysis on X, warning that this alt season won’t be like previous cycles. He describes it as “weird and challenging,” pointing out that while market sentiment remains positive, there isn’t much fresh liquidity to fuel widespread rallies. 

Related Reading: Bitcoin Demand Still Absorbing Sales – However Risk Of Growing Supply Remains High

Ju also highlights that BTC seems to be drifting away from the broader crypto ecosystem, with institutions and retail investors increasingly engaging with BTC through paper-based Layer 2 solutions like ETFs and funds. 

This shift could make it harder for BTC to maintain its historical correlation with altcoins, suggesting that altcoin rallies may be more fragmented and unpredictable this time around. As Bitcoin faces these unique dynamics, the next few days will be crucial in determining its near-term trajectory.

Bitcoin Drifts Away From Crypto?

Over the past few years, Bitcoin has ironically evolved into a global asset that is increasingly being adopted by traditional finance. This shift has led BTC to drift away from the crypto ecosystem that originally nurtured its growth. Instead of being an independent digital asset, BTC is now becoming more integrated into the legacy financial system. 

With vehicles like ETFs, MSTR (MicroStrategy), and other institutional funds, BTC is effectively creating its own paper-based Layer 2 ecosystem. This move into traditional finance has created a disconnect between Bitcoin and the rest of the crypto market, making it more difficult for altcoins to follow Bitcoin’s lead as they once did.

This dynamic is set to change during this Alt season, according to CryptoQuant CEO Ki Young Ju. In a recent analysis, he highlighted that this Alt season won’t follow the familiar patterns of previous cycles. It will be “weird and challenging,” with only a few winners emerging from the market. 

Bitcoin-Altcoins Correlation Matrix
Bitcoin-Altcoins Correlation Matrix | Source: Ki Young Ju on X

Market sentiment remains positive, but a lack of fresh liquidity could stymie widespread growth. While Bitcoin’s integration into traditional finance has provided significant support, it has also made it more detached from altcoins, breaking the correlation that once existed between BTC and the broader crypto ecosystem. 

Related Reading: XRP Experiencing A Leverage-Driven Rally – What This Means To Price

As a result, only a few altcoins are now showing independent trends, driven by new liquidity that could lead to price surges. This shift in dynamics will likely lead to a more fragmented Alt season, where the winners will be few and far between.

What Price Action Tells Us

Bitcoin’s price is showing a calm and measured behavior after weeks of aggressive rallies that consistently set new all-time highs. Currently trading at $94,850, the market seems to be in a phase of indecision, with traders uncertain about the short-term direction of BTC.

BTC consolidation below $100K
BTC consolidation below $100K | Source: BTCUSDT Chart on TradingView

Despite this, the price is holding firm above critical levels, and the next few days will be crucial in determining whether BTC can maintain its momentum. If BTC can stay above the $92,000 mark, the path to a retest of the previous all-time high just below $100,000 becomes more likely. This could signal the continuation of the bullish trend, as buyers remain active in this key demand zone.

Related Reading: Bitcoin Sets Record In Weekly Realized Profits – Data Supports Strong Demand

However, a failure to hold the $92K level might shift sentiment, increasing the likelihood of a correction or a consolidation period. For now, all eyes are on whether BTC can solidify support above $92K and push towards its next price targets, as the market remains in a critical moment of balance. The coming days will likely reveal whether this pause is a temporary consolidation or a precursor to further bullish price action.

Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView

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Sebastian Villafuerte

Sebastian Villafuerte

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Sebastian's journey into the world of crypto began four years ago, driven by a fascination with the potential of blockchain technology to revolutionize financial systems. His initial exploration focused on understanding the intricacies of various crypto projects, particularly those focused on building innovative financial solutions. Through countless hours of research and learning, Sebastian developed a deep understanding of the underlying technologies, market dynamics, and potential applications of cryptocurrencies. As his knowledge grew, Sebastian felt compelled to share his insights with others. He began actively contributing to online discussions on platforms like X and LinkedIn, focusing on fintech and crypto-related content. His goal was to expose valuable trends and insights to a wider audience, fostering a deeper understanding of the rapidly evolving crypto landscape. Sebastian's contributions quickly gained recognition, and he became a trusted voice in the online crypto community. To further enhance his expertise, Sebastian pursued a UC Berkeley Fintech: Frameworks, Applications, and Strategies certification. This rigorous program equipped him with valuable skills and knowledge regarding Financial Technology, bridging the gap between traditional finance (TradFi) and decentralized finance (DeFi). The certification deepened his understanding of the broader financial landscape and its intersection with blockchain technology. Sebastian's passion for finance and writing is evident in his work. He enjoys delving into financial research, analyzing market trends, and exploring the latest developments in the crypto space. In his spare time, Sebastian can often be found immersed in charts, studying 10-K forms, or engaging in thought-provoking discussions about the future of finance. Sebastian's journey as a crypto analyst and investor has been marked by a relentless pursuit of knowledge and a dedication to sharing his insights. His ability to navigate the complex world of crypto, combined with his passion for financial research and communication, makes him a valuable asset to the industry. As the crypto landscape continues to evolve, Sebastian remains at the forefront, providing valuable insights and contributing to the growth of this revolutionary technology.

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