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Bitcoin Dominance Breakdown Confirmed – Metrics Support A 2025 Altseason

Bitcoin Dominance Breakdown Confirmed – Metrics Support A 2025 Altseason

Sebastian Villafuerte
by Sebastian Villafuerte
7 months ago
·
Posted in Bitcoin News
Trusted Editorial content, reviewed by leading industry experts and seasoned editors. Ad Disclosure

Bitcoin has surged over 7% since the start of the year, leading the crypto market in a promising rebound. While this upward momentum is fueling optimism, many investors are shifting their focus to altcoins, anticipating greater opportunities in the broader crypto space. Historically, BTC rallies often lay the groundwork for altcoins to follow, and current market conditions hint that this pattern might be repeating.

Related Reading: Time Lag In Global Liquidity To Fuel Bitcoin Growth – Details

Top analyst Jelle recently shared a compelling technical analysis on X, pointing to a potential shift in the market dynamics. According to Jelle, TOTAL3—a market cap index that excludes BTC and Ethereum—appears poised to enter price discovery, a phase where assets test new highs due to increased buying pressure. Adding weight to this perspective, Bitcoin dominance, a measure of BTC’s share of the total cryptocurrency market, has just broken down, signaling a weakening of BTC’s market control.

These indicators suggest the onset of an alt season, a period when alternative cryptocurrencies outperform BTC. With BTC stabilizing near crucial levels, the conditions seem favorable for altcoins to capture investor attention. The coming weeks will be pivotal in determining whether this trend gains momentum, potentially reshaping the market landscape for 2025.

Time For An Alt Season

Bitcoin had a stellar 2024, reaching new heights and solidifying its position as the market leader. As 2025 unfolds, BTC continues to show strength, but a shift in market dynamics could be on the horizon. Historically, Bitcoin’s dominance often recedes during periods when altcoins gain traction, and this year could be no exception.

Top analyst Jelle recently provided insights into these shifting dynamics through a detailed technical analysis of TOTAL3 and BTC dominance. TOTAL3, an index tracking the market cap of altcoins excluding BTC and Ethereum, appears poised to enter price discovery—a phase where assets explore new highs driven by heightened demand. Simultaneously, Bitcoin’s market dominance has just experienced a significant breakdown, suggesting that altcoins may soon take the lead in capturing investor interest.

Bitcoin dominance and TOTAL3
Bitcoin Dominance and TOTAL3 | Source: Jelle on X

Jelle’s analysis highlights that as Bitcoin stabilizes near key levels, liquidity often flows into altcoins, triggering what is popularly known as an alt season. During these periods, altcoins historically outperform BTC, providing substantial returns for investors willing to diversify.

Related Reading: Who’s Selling Bitcoin? Top Analyst Uncovers Old Whale Activity

The combination of Bitcoin’s strong foundation and the potential for altcoin outperformance sets the stage for 2025 to be a remarkable year for the broader crypto market. As TOTAL3 inches closer to price discovery and BTC dominance weakens, the opportunity for altcoins to shine becomes increasingly evident.

Price Action: Key Levels To Watch 

Bitcoin is currently trading at $97,900, with the price testing the crucial 4-hour 200 Moving Average (MA) at $98,139. This level has become a pivotal point for BTC, as it determines whether the bulls can regain control and drive the price above the $100K mark. Reclaiming and holding above this level would signal renewed bullish momentum and pave the way for a strong breakout.

BTC nears 100K
BTC nears 100K | Source: BTCUSDT chart on TradingView

However, the market remains cautious, and if Bitcoin fails to hold the 4-hour 200 MA, a period of extended consolidation could follow. This sideways movement would likely test the patience of traders and investors alike. The key support to monitor is the 4-hour 200 Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $95,881. Losing this level could signal a deeper correction, raising concerns about a potential retest of lower demand zones.

Related Reading: Bitcoin New Whales Entry Price Reveals Key Support Level – Analyst

For now, Bitcoin’s ability to hold above the 4-hour 200 MA and push higher will define its short-term trajectory. A sustained move above $98,139 and a breakthrough past $100K would confirm bullish strength. Conversely, a break below the 4-hour EMA could delay the next leg of the rally, leaving the market in a state of uncertainty. The coming days will be critical for BTC’s direction.

Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView

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Sebastian Villafuerte

Sebastian Villafuerte

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Sebastian's journey into the world of crypto began four years ago, driven by a fascination with the potential of blockchain technology to revolutionize financial systems. His initial exploration focused on understanding the intricacies of various crypto projects, particularly those focused on building innovative financial solutions. Through countless hours of research and learning, Sebastian developed a deep understanding of the underlying technologies, market dynamics, and potential applications of cryptocurrencies. As his knowledge grew, Sebastian felt compelled to share his insights with others. He began actively contributing to online discussions on platforms like X and LinkedIn, focusing on fintech and crypto-related content. His goal was to expose valuable trends and insights to a wider audience, fostering a deeper understanding of the rapidly evolving crypto landscape. Sebastian's contributions quickly gained recognition, and he became a trusted voice in the online crypto community. To further enhance his expertise, Sebastian pursued a UC Berkeley Fintech: Frameworks, Applications, and Strategies certification. This rigorous program equipped him with valuable skills and knowledge regarding Financial Technology, bridging the gap between traditional finance (TradFi) and decentralized finance (DeFi). The certification deepened his understanding of the broader financial landscape and its intersection with blockchain technology. Sebastian's passion for finance and writing is evident in his work. He enjoys delving into financial research, analyzing market trends, and exploring the latest developments in the crypto space. In his spare time, Sebastian can often be found immersed in charts, studying 10-K forms, or engaging in thought-provoking discussions about the future of finance. Sebastian's journey as a crypto analyst and investor has been marked by a relentless pursuit of knowledge and a dedication to sharing his insights. His ability to navigate the complex world of crypto, combined with his passion for financial research and communication, makes him a valuable asset to the industry. As the crypto landscape continues to evolve, Sebastian remains at the forefront, providing valuable insights and contributing to the growth of this revolutionary technology.

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