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Bitcoin Insights Reveal 80% Correlation With The S&P500 – Analyst Prepares For Another Drop

Bitcoin Insights Reveal 80% Correlation With The S&P500 – Analyst Prepares For Another Drop

Sebastian Villafuerte
by Sebastian Villafuerte
6 months ago
·
Posted in Bitcoin News
Trusted Editorial content, reviewed by leading industry experts and seasoned editors. Ad Disclosure

Bitcoin has lost crucial support levels as the market struggles to find demand, allowing bears to gain momentum. Analysts are calling for further corrections, with fear dominating sentiment across the crypto market. Bitcoin has now dropped over 28% from its late January highs, and concerns are mounting that bears could take prices even lower in the coming weeks.

Related Reading: Panic Selling BTC Now Is A Mistake – Crypto Expert Explains Market Dynamics

The broader financial markets are also facing uncertainty, adding to Bitcoin’s struggles. Data from CryptoQuant reveals that BTC currently has an 80% correlation with the S&P 500 index, meaning that movements in traditional markets are heavily influencing Bitcoin’s price action. This suggests that macro factors, such as interest rate expectations and stock market trends, could play a crucial role in Bitcoin’s next move.

While some analysts believe BTC could stabilize around current levels, others warn that the ongoing downtrend could continue, bringing Bitcoin into lower demand zones if bulls fail to reclaim control. The next few days will be critical, as Bitcoin’s ability to hold key levels or break lower could define its short-term and long-term trajectory in this volatile market environment.

Bitcoin Faces Further Risks

Bitcoin has experienced a massive correction, with fear dominating the market as risks of further declines grow. The situation is not just limited to crypto—the U.S. stock market is also struggling, failing to confirm an uptrend amid growing economic uncertainty. Over the past few weeks, volatility and uncertainty have intensified, especially as Trump’s policies come into effect, impacting both traditional and digital asset markets.

Top analyst Axel Adler shared an analysis on X, revealing that the S&P 500 is likely to pull back another 5% based on the macro reports he read. This is significant because Bitcoin currently has an 80% correlation with the index, meaning that any further downside in traditional markets could directly impact BTC’s price action. If Adler’s prediction is accurate, Bitcoin is likely to continue its price drops, with a potential move into lower demand levels.

Bitcoin and S&P500 Correlation | Source: Axel Adler on X
Bitcoin and S&P500 Correlation | Source: Axel Adler on X

The next few weeks will be crucial as Bitcoin struggles to find strong support. With macro uncertainty rising and investors remaining fearful, BTC must hold above key demand zones to avoid an extended bearish phase. If stocks recover, BTC could follow—but if the S&P 500 pulls back further, BTC could see even more downside before finding stability.

Related Reading: Largest BTC Sell-Off Of 2025 – 79.3K BTC Sold At A Loss In 24 Hours

Bitcoin Struggles at $80,200 After Bearish Close

Bitcoin is trading at $80,200 after a very bearish end to the week and month, reinforcing concerns of a continued price decline. The market is in fear mode, with bears maintaining momentum as BTC fails to reclaim key support levels. The recent breakdown has led to speculation about whether the bull cycle is over or if this is just another deep correction before another leg up.

BTC setting fresh weekly lows | Source: BTCUSDT chart opn TradingView
BTC setting fresh weekly lows | Source: BTCUSDT chart on TradingView

However, there is still hope for a recovery if bulls can hold the crucial $80K level. This price has been tested multiple times recently, and a strong defense here could lead to a reversal. If BTC reclaims $85K–$90K in the coming weeks, sentiment could shift, allowing for a potential bounce into higher price levels.

Related Reading: BTC Faces Strongest Bearish Sentiment In A Month As Regulatory Fears Mount – BTC Metrics

Still, failure to hold above $80K could result in another sharp sell-off, potentially driving BTC down toward $75K or lower. The coming days will be critical as Bitcoin approaches a make-or-break moment. Bulls need to step up and push BTC back above resistance levels to prevent further losses, but the overall trend remains bearish until key levels are reclaimed.

Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView

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Sebastian Villafuerte

Sebastian Villafuerte

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Sebastian's journey into the world of crypto began four years ago, driven by a fascination with the potential of blockchain technology to revolutionize financial systems. His initial exploration focused on understanding the intricacies of various crypto projects, particularly those focused on building innovative financial solutions. Through countless hours of research and learning, Sebastian developed a deep understanding of the underlying technologies, market dynamics, and potential applications of cryptocurrencies. As his knowledge grew, Sebastian felt compelled to share his insights with others. He began actively contributing to online discussions on platforms like X and LinkedIn, focusing on fintech and crypto-related content. His goal was to expose valuable trends and insights to a wider audience, fostering a deeper understanding of the rapidly evolving crypto landscape. Sebastian's contributions quickly gained recognition, and he became a trusted voice in the online crypto community. To further enhance his expertise, Sebastian pursued a UC Berkeley Fintech: Frameworks, Applications, and Strategies certification. This rigorous program equipped him with valuable skills and knowledge regarding Financial Technology, bridging the gap between traditional finance (TradFi) and decentralized finance (DeFi). The certification deepened his understanding of the broader financial landscape and its intersection with blockchain technology. Sebastian's passion for finance and writing is evident in his work. He enjoys delving into financial research, analyzing market trends, and exploring the latest developments in the crypto space. In his spare time, Sebastian can often be found immersed in charts, studying 10-K forms, or engaging in thought-provoking discussions about the future of finance. Sebastian's journey as a crypto analyst and investor has been marked by a relentless pursuit of knowledge and a dedication to sharing his insights. His ability to navigate the complex world of crypto, combined with his passion for financial research and communication, makes him a valuable asset to the industry. As the crypto landscape continues to evolve, Sebastian remains at the forefront, providing valuable insights and contributing to the growth of this revolutionary technology.

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