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bitcoin

Bitcoin Price Volatility Ahead: Will BTC Crash Or Rally? Analysts Weigh In

Ash Tiwari
by Ash Tiwari
4 months ago
·
Posted in Bitcoin News
Trusted Editorial content, reviewed by leading industry experts and seasoned editors. Ad Disclosure

Although Bitcoin (BTC) continues to hold steady in the mid-$80,000 range, analysts are forecasting that significant volatility may be imminent for the leading cryptocurrency. That said, most analysts predict a potential price rally for the apex digital asset.

Bitcoin Ready To Experience Significant Volatility

In a CryptoQuant Quicktake post, contributor Mignolet highlighted that approximately 170,000 BTC has recently moved from the 3–6 month holder cohort. Historically, such large movements from this group have often preceded notable price swings.

Related Reading: Bitcoin Whales Aren’t Buying The Trade Tariff Panic, Analyst Claims

Mignolet shared the following chart, noting how spikes in BTC movement from the 3–6 month cohort have frequently led to heightened price volatility. Notably, green boxes denote upward price movement, while red boxes indicate price declines.

cq1
Source: CryptoQuant

Several crypto analysts have shared their insights on recent BTC price action based on both on-chain metrics and technical chart patterns. For example, seasoned crypto analyst Master of Crypto made an observation about the realized price of short-term holders (STH) versus long-term holders (LTH).

According to the analyst, STH are currently mostly in the red, with a realized price of around $92,700, while LTH have a realized price of $26,500, meaning they’re sitting on gains of over 200%.

Master of Crypto added that whenever such a wide gap exists between STH and LTH realized prices, it often paves the way for severe price volatility. They concluded by saying “either the weak hands fold, or we rip higher.”

Seasoned crypto analyst Ali Martinez provided an optimistic take on potential BTC price action based on on-chain analytics. The analyst noted that more than 15,000 BTC have been withdrawn from crypto exchanges over the past week.

ali
Source: ali_charts on X

Low exchange reserves are typically bullish for BTC, as they suggest investors prefer to hold rather than sell at current prices. Additionally, reduced exchange balances reinforce the supply scarcity narrative for the asset.

Analysts Forecast BTC Reversal In Near-Term

Another analyst, Ted, drew attention to BTC’s correlation with the global M2 money supply. According to Ted, Bitcoin is tracking the growth in global M2 with a 108-day lag, suggesting a potential trend reversal as early as May. The analyst further added:

I think for the next few weeks, BTC could consolidate between $75K-$90K. During this timeframe, retail will most likely panic sell while smart money will accumulate.

Related Reading: Bitcoin Approaches Key Inflection Point Amid Growing Optimism – $95,000 In Sight?

Meanwhile, noted analyst Titan of Crypto recently stated that BTC’s consolidation around the $83,000 level could be laying the groundwork for a rally toward $135,000. At press time, BTC trades at $84,553, up 0.5% in the past 24 hours.

bitcoin
BTC trades at $84,553 on the daily chart | Source: BTCUSDT on TradingView.com
Featured Image from Unsplash.com, charts from CryptoQuant, X, and TradingView.com
Editorial Process for bitcoinist is centered on delivering thoroughly researched, accurate, and unbiased content. We uphold strict sourcing standards, and each page undergoes diligent review by our team of top technology experts and seasoned editors. This process ensures the integrity, relevance, and value of our content for our readers.
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Ash Tiwari

Ash Tiwari

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Ash is a seasoned freelance editor and writer with extensive experience in the blockchain and cryptocurrency industry. Over the course of his career, he has contributed to major publications, playing a key role in shaping informative, timely content related to decentralized finance (DeFi), cryptocurrency trends, and blockchain innovation. His ability to break down complex topics has allowed both seasoned professionals and newcomers to the industry to benefit from his work. Beyond these specific roles, Ash's writing expertise spans a wide array of content, including news updates, long-form analysis, and thought leadership pieces. He has helped multiple platforms maintain high editorial standards, ensuring that articles not only inform but also engage readers through clarity and in-depth research. His work reflects a deep understanding of the rapidly evolving blockchain ecosystem, making him a valuable contributor in a field where staying current is essential. In addition to his writing work, Ash has developed a strong skill set in managing content teams. He has led diverse groups of writers and researchers, overseeing the editorial process from topic selection, approval, editing, to final publication. His leadership ensured that content production was timely, accurate, and aligned with the strategic goals of the platforms he worked with. This has not only strengthened his expertise in content strategy but also honed his project management and team coordination skills. Ash's ability to combine technical expertise with editorial oversight is further bolstered by his knowledge of blockchain analysis tools such as Etherscan, Dune Analytics, and Santiment. These tools have provided him with the data necessary to create well-researched, insightful articles that offer deeper market perspectives. Whether it’s tracking the movement of digital assets or analyzing blockchain transactions, his analytical approach adds value to the content he produces, ensuring readers receive accurate and actionable information. In the realm of content creation, Ash is not limited to just cryptocurrency markets. He has demonstrated versatility in covering other emerging technologies, market trends, and digital transformation across various industries. His in-depth research, coupled with a sharp editorial eye, has made him a sought-after professional in the freelance writing community. From developing editorial calendars to managing content delivery schedules, he has honed a meticulous approach to project management that ensures timely, high-quality work delivery. Throughout his freelance career, Ash has consistently focused on improving audience engagement through well-researched, insightful, and relevant content. His ability to adapt to the evolving needs of clients, whether it's enhancing the visibility of digital platforms or producing thought-provoking pieces for a wide range of audiences, sets him apart as a dynamic force in the field of digital content creation. His contributions have helped to shape a well-rounded portfolio that showcases his versatility, technical expertise, and dedication to elevating the standards of journalism in blockchain and related sectors.

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