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bitcoin

Bitcoin Rally Lacks Retail Mania – Why This Could Mean More Room To Run

Ash Tiwari
by Ash Tiwari
2 months ago
·
Posted in Bitcoin News
Trusted Editorial content, reviewed by leading industry experts and seasoned editors. Ad Disclosure

After a week of downward price action, Bitcoin (BTC) staged a strong recovery over the weekend, reclaiming much of its recent decline. It is now trading just shy of its all-time high (ATH) of $111,814, recorded in May 2025.

Bitcoin May Have More Room To Run

According to a recent CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor Avocado_onchain, Bitcoin’s current upward momentum – hovering just below its ATH – may still have room to run, potentially leading to a new record “at any moment.”

Related Reading: Bitcoin Moves With Gold And M2 Money Supply – Next Rally Loading?

The analyst noted that the current rally stands apart from previous ones due to its emergence in a “much quieter market environment.” This observation is supported by the ongoing lack of retail investor participation.

For instance, Google Trends data shows that search interest in Bitcoin remains significantly low – around a score of 21 – compared to a peak of 66 in November 2024. For reference, it stood at 100 during the bull market of May 2021.

Similarly, a key on-chain metric called the 30-day Binary Coin Days Destroyed (CDD) has been declining even as BTC’s price rises. This suggests that long-term holders (LTHs) are choosing to hold their Bitcoin rather than sell.

binary CDD
Source: CryptoQuant

For the uninitiated, Bitcoin Binary CDD measures the sum of coin days – coins held multiplied by days held – spent in a transaction, indicating when LTH move their coins. High CDD suggests significant activity from older coins, often signaling potential market shifts as long-term investors sell.

Conversely, declining Binary CDD suggests fewer old coins are being spent, implying reduced selling pressure from LTH. This behavior often reflects rising confidence or accumulation, potentially indicating bullish sentiment as circulating supply tightens.

Another metric underscoring the subdued retail presence is the Premium Index across exchanges. While the Coinbase Premium is nearing levels last seen in April 2024, the Korea Premium Index remains relatively low – pointing to a lack of retail-driven enthusiasm in the current rally.

korea premium
Source: CryptoQuant

Additionally, the Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) ratio has been gradually increasing, but without the sharp spikes usually seen during overheated market conditions.

MVRV
Source: CryptoQuant

BTC May Face Some Hurdles

Despite the absence of market euphoria, some indicators suggest that Bitcoin could encounter headwinds in the weeks ahead. For example, the Bitcoin RCV indicator has recently exited the “buy” zone, raising caution flags.

Related Reading: Bitcoin Supply Squeeze Looms As New Whales Stack 600,000 BTC

There are also signs that selling pressure may increase. Notably, miner-to-exchange transfers have recently surged to historic highs, indicating that BTC miners may be opting to liquidate rather than hold their reserves. At press time, BTC trades at $108,614, up 0.9% in the past 24 hours.

bitcoin
BTC trades at $108,614 on the daily chart | Source: BTCUSDT on TradingView.com
Featured Image from Unsplash.com, charts from CryptoQuant and TradingView.com
Editorial Process for bitcoinist is centered on delivering thoroughly researched, accurate, and unbiased content. We uphold strict sourcing standards, and each page undergoes diligent review by our team of top technology experts and seasoned editors. This process ensures the integrity, relevance, and value of our content for our readers.
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Ash Tiwari

Ash Tiwari

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Ash is a seasoned freelance editor and writer with extensive experience in the blockchain and cryptocurrency industry. Over the course of his career, he has contributed to major publications, playing a key role in shaping informative, timely content related to decentralized finance (DeFi), cryptocurrency trends, and blockchain innovation. His ability to break down complex topics has allowed both seasoned professionals and newcomers to the industry to benefit from his work. Beyond these specific roles, Ash's writing expertise spans a wide array of content, including news updates, long-form analysis, and thought leadership pieces. He has helped multiple platforms maintain high editorial standards, ensuring that articles not only inform but also engage readers through clarity and in-depth research. His work reflects a deep understanding of the rapidly evolving blockchain ecosystem, making him a valuable contributor in a field where staying current is essential. In addition to his writing work, Ash has developed a strong skill set in managing content teams. He has led diverse groups of writers and researchers, overseeing the editorial process from topic selection, approval, editing, to final publication. His leadership ensured that content production was timely, accurate, and aligned with the strategic goals of the platforms he worked with. This has not only strengthened his expertise in content strategy but also honed his project management and team coordination skills. Ash's ability to combine technical expertise with editorial oversight is further bolstered by his knowledge of blockchain analysis tools such as Etherscan, Dune Analytics, and Santiment. These tools have provided him with the data necessary to create well-researched, insightful articles that offer deeper market perspectives. Whether it’s tracking the movement of digital assets or analyzing blockchain transactions, his analytical approach adds value to the content he produces, ensuring readers receive accurate and actionable information. In the realm of content creation, Ash is not limited to just cryptocurrency markets. He has demonstrated versatility in covering other emerging technologies, market trends, and digital transformation across various industries. His in-depth research, coupled with a sharp editorial eye, has made him a sought-after professional in the freelance writing community. From developing editorial calendars to managing content delivery schedules, he has honed a meticulous approach to project management that ensures timely, high-quality work delivery. Throughout his freelance career, Ash has consistently focused on improving audience engagement through well-researched, insightful, and relevant content. His ability to adapt to the evolving needs of clients, whether it's enhancing the visibility of digital platforms or producing thought-provoking pieces for a wide range of audiences, sets him apart as a dynamic force in the field of digital content creation. His contributions have helped to shape a well-rounded portfolio that showcases his versatility, technical expertise, and dedication to elevating the standards of journalism in blockchain and related sectors.

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