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Bitcoin Struggles In Early October: Bullish Rebound Ahead For BTC?

Ash Tiwari
by Ash Tiwari
11 months ago
·
Posted in Bitcoin News
Trusted Editorial content, reviewed by leading industry experts and seasoned editors. Ad Disclosure

Bitcoin (BTC) has faced a rough start to the historically bullish month of October, impacted by escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. Despite this, bulls remain hopeful for a turnaround later in the month.

Bitcoin’s “Uptober” Off To A Patchy Start

The leading digital asset by reported market cap had a tumultuous beginning to its most bullish month since 2013. The chart below depicts how October has historically been the most bullish month for Bitcoin, giving a median return of 21.2%.

btc monthly returns
Source: CoinGlass.com

Yesterday, BTC briefly plunged below the critical $60,000 level before rebounding to $61,179 at press time. During this see-sawing price movement, BTC witnessed liquidations worth over $32 million, while ETH liquidations stood slightly above $18 million.

Related Reading: Crypto Market Cap Shrinks By 6%, With Liquidations Surpassing $550 Million
crypto liquidations
Source: CoinGlass.com

Over the past seven days, Bitcoin has tumbled by 6.9%, while major altcoins have experienced even greater losses. Ethereum (ETH) is down 11.2%, Solana (SOL) has dropped 10.9%, and BNB has declined by 9.9%.

According to data from CoinGlass, most of BTC’s price appreciation typically occurs in the latter part of October. The chart below illustrates that the initial days of October have historically been less favorable for BTC prices.

btc october returns
Source: CoinGlass.com

Notably, October 1 has been positive for Bitcoin only once since 2013, while October 2 has shown gains five times out of eleven. In contrast, later dates, such as October 28, have delivered positive returns nine times out of eleven, followed by October 20, which has had eight positive days out of eleven.

It’s worth noting that Bitcoin’s most bearish month, September, closed with gains of 7.29% this year, clocking in its best performance since 2013.

Multiple Factors Weighing On Bitcoin Price Action

Bitcoin underwent its fourth halving in April 2024, followed by the US Federal Reserve’s (Fed) interest rate cuts in September, two events typically considered bullish for BTC’s price outlook. 

However, rising geopolitical escalations have overshadowed these positive developments and the uncertainty surrounding the results of the closely-contested US presidential elections in November 2024.

That said, some crypto analysts are confident about Bitcoin’s bounce back later in the year. For instance, an analyst from Standard Chartered sees BTC’s slump below $60,000 as a tremendous buying opportunity.

Related Reading: Consistent Bitcoin ETF Inflows May Counteract Slowdown In Spot BTC Buying: Bitfinex Report

Similarly, 10x Research’s Markus Thielen foresees “exceptionally high” chances of a crypto rally in Q4 2024. Some of the factors for this prediction are the declining Bitcoin dominance and the rise in Ethereum gas fees.

In contrast, BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes opines that interest rate cuts might lead to a short-term market crash. BTC trades at $61,179 at press time, up 2.2% in the last 24 hours.

bitcoin
Bitcoin trades at slightly above $60,000 level on the daily chart | Source: BTCUSDT on TradingView.com
Featured Image from Unsplash.com, Charts from Coinglass.com and TradingView.com
Editorial Process for bitcoinist is centered on delivering thoroughly researched, accurate, and unbiased content. We uphold strict sourcing standards, and each page undergoes diligent review by our team of top technology experts and seasoned editors. This process ensures the integrity, relevance, and value of our content for our readers.
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Ash Tiwari

Ash Tiwari

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Ash is a seasoned freelance editor and writer with extensive experience in the blockchain and cryptocurrency industry. Over the course of his career, he has contributed to major publications, playing a key role in shaping informative, timely content related to decentralized finance (DeFi), cryptocurrency trends, and blockchain innovation. His ability to break down complex topics has allowed both seasoned professionals and newcomers to the industry to benefit from his work. Beyond these specific roles, Ash's writing expertise spans a wide array of content, including news updates, long-form analysis, and thought leadership pieces. He has helped multiple platforms maintain high editorial standards, ensuring that articles not only inform but also engage readers through clarity and in-depth research. His work reflects a deep understanding of the rapidly evolving blockchain ecosystem, making him a valuable contributor in a field where staying current is essential. In addition to his writing work, Ash has developed a strong skill set in managing content teams. He has led diverse groups of writers and researchers, overseeing the editorial process from topic selection, approval, editing, to final publication. His leadership ensured that content production was timely, accurate, and aligned with the strategic goals of the platforms he worked with. This has not only strengthened his expertise in content strategy but also honed his project management and team coordination skills. Ash's ability to combine technical expertise with editorial oversight is further bolstered by his knowledge of blockchain analysis tools such as Etherscan, Dune Analytics, and Santiment. These tools have provided him with the data necessary to create well-researched, insightful articles that offer deeper market perspectives. Whether it’s tracking the movement of digital assets or analyzing blockchain transactions, his analytical approach adds value to the content he produces, ensuring readers receive accurate and actionable information. In the realm of content creation, Ash is not limited to just cryptocurrency markets. He has demonstrated versatility in covering other emerging technologies, market trends, and digital transformation across various industries. His in-depth research, coupled with a sharp editorial eye, has made him a sought-after professional in the freelance writing community. From developing editorial calendars to managing content delivery schedules, he has honed a meticulous approach to project management that ensures timely, high-quality work delivery. Throughout his freelance career, Ash has consistently focused on improving audience engagement through well-researched, insightful, and relevant content. His ability to adapt to the evolving needs of clients, whether it's enhancing the visibility of digital platforms or producing thought-provoking pieces for a wide range of audiences, sets him apart as a dynamic force in the field of digital content creation. His contributions have helped to shape a well-rounded portfolio that showcases his versatility, technical expertise, and dedication to elevating the standards of journalism in blockchain and related sectors.

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