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Breaking News: Is The Approval Of Crypto ETFs At Risk? SEC Operations Frozen By Gov. Shutdown
crypto

Crypto May See ‘Harrowing Dump’ Around Trump’s Inauguration, Warns Arthur Hayes

Ash Tiwari
by Ash Tiwari
9 months ago
·
Posted in Crypto News
Trusted Editorial content, reviewed by leading industry experts and seasoned editors. Ad Disclosure

Prominent crypto market commentator and former BitMEX CEO Arthur Hayes predicts a “harrowing dump” in the digital assets market around President-elect Donald Trump’s inauguration. However, Hayes adds that the anticipated market crash will likely be followed by a strong bullish trend reversal.

Hayes Warns Against Overblown Expectations From Trump

Renowned crypto market analyst Hayes shared a new blog post outlining his views on the crypto market’s trajectory for the coming year. According to Hayes, the disconnect between the crypto market’s high expectations for Trump’s incoming administration and the political reality will likely spook investors, triggering a significant market sell-off.

Related Reading: Bitcoin Stays Above $100K With Futures Basis Below 15% – Is Another Surge Coming?

Hayes points to the market’s unrealistic expectations from Trump, saying that it is “almost impossible for Trump to appease his base sufficiently to prevent the Democrats from retaking both legislative bodies in 2026.” As a result, Trump will have, at best, one year to enact any policy changes.

The crypto entrepreneur warned that the market’s realization of these limitations will trigger a “vicious sell-off” in digital assets. He revealed that his investment fund, Maelstrom, plans to book profits ahead of the anticipated sell-off and re-enter the market at lower prices during the first half of 2025. However, Hayes noted that he is open to “admitting defeat” if no market correction occurs by January 20.

Trump’s victory in the US presidential election has sparked fresh hope in the crypto market, resulting in BTC rising past $100,000 price level for the first time ever. At the time of writing, the total crypto market cap stands at $3.81 trillion.

total crypto market cap
Total crypto market cap sits at $3.81 trillion | Source: CoinGecko

Trump’s victory has also fuelled speculation about the creation of a potential national strategic Bitcoin reserve, a move that could spur competitive sovereign purchases by other nations. However, Hayes does not expect such a reserve to materialize anytime soon. He explained:

While I don’t believe the US government will purchase Bitcoin, it doesn’t affect my positive price outlook. At the end of the day, a gold devaluation creates dollars which must find a home in real goods/services and financial assets.

Contrasting Projections For BTC Price Action

While Hayes foresees an impending crypto market dump in early 2025, crypto financial services firm Matrixport predicts otherwise. According to a recent X post, the firm expects a “strong start” for BTC going into 2025.

Related Reading: Bitcoin To $200,000 By 2025 End Is ‘Conservative’ Target, Analyst Predicts

Similarly, Standard Chartered bank estimates that BTC may climb up to $200,000 by 2025 as more institutions continue to accumulate the top digital asset. A recent report by crypto exchange Bitfinex also predicts further upside potential in BTC after its consolidation around the $100,000 price level.

Even more ambitious price targets were shared by Bitwise’s Matt Hougan, who said that buying BTC before it reaches $500,000 would still be considered “early.” At press time, BTC trades at $104,002, down 2.8% in the past 24 hours.

crypto
BTC trades at $104,002 on the daily chart | Source: BTCUSDT on TradingView.com
Featured Image from Unsplash.com, Charts from CoinGecko and TradingView.com
Editorial Process for bitcoinist is centered on delivering thoroughly researched, accurate, and unbiased content. We uphold strict sourcing standards, and each page undergoes diligent review by our team of top technology experts and seasoned editors. This process ensures the integrity, relevance, and value of our content for our readers.
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Ash Tiwari

Ash Tiwari

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Ash is a seasoned freelance editor and writer with extensive experience in the blockchain and cryptocurrency industry. Over the course of his career, he has contributed to major publications, playing a key role in shaping informative, timely content related to decentralized finance (DeFi), cryptocurrency trends, and blockchain innovation. His ability to break down complex topics has allowed both seasoned professionals and newcomers to the industry to benefit from his work. Beyond these specific roles, Ash's writing expertise spans a wide array of content, including news updates, long-form analysis, and thought leadership pieces. He has helped multiple platforms maintain high editorial standards, ensuring that articles not only inform but also engage readers through clarity and in-depth research. His work reflects a deep understanding of the rapidly evolving blockchain ecosystem, making him a valuable contributor in a field where staying current is essential. In addition to his writing work, Ash has developed a strong skill set in managing content teams. He has led diverse groups of writers and researchers, overseeing the editorial process from topic selection, approval, editing, to final publication. His leadership ensured that content production was timely, accurate, and aligned with the strategic goals of the platforms he worked with. This has not only strengthened his expertise in content strategy but also honed his project management and team coordination skills. Ash's ability to combine technical expertise with editorial oversight is further bolstered by his knowledge of blockchain analysis tools such as Etherscan, Dune Analytics, and Santiment. These tools have provided him with the data necessary to create well-researched, insightful articles that offer deeper market perspectives. Whether it’s tracking the movement of digital assets or analyzing blockchain transactions, his analytical approach adds value to the content he produces, ensuring readers receive accurate and actionable information. In the realm of content creation, Ash is not limited to just cryptocurrency markets. He has demonstrated versatility in covering other emerging technologies, market trends, and digital transformation across various industries. His in-depth research, coupled with a sharp editorial eye, has made him a sought-after professional in the freelance writing community. From developing editorial calendars to managing content delivery schedules, he has honed a meticulous approach to project management that ensures timely, high-quality work delivery. Throughout his freelance career, Ash has consistently focused on improving audience engagement through well-researched, insightful, and relevant content. His ability to adapt to the evolving needs of clients, whether it's enhancing the visibility of digital platforms or producing thought-provoking pieces for a wide range of audiences, sets him apart as a dynamic force in the field of digital content creation. His contributions have helped to shape a well-rounded portfolio that showcases his versatility, technical expertise, and dedication to elevating the standards of journalism in blockchain and related sectors.

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