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Is Bitcoin's Demand Drying Up? Top Analyst Shares Details

Is Bitcoin (BTC) Demand Drying Up? Top Analyst Shares Details

Sebastian Villafuerte
by Sebastian Villafuerte
1 year ago
·
Posted in Bitcoin
Trusted Editorial content, reviewed by leading industry experts and seasoned editors. Ad Disclosure

Bitcoin (BTC) is at a crucial level after a sharp 15% retrace from recent local highs. While traders and enthusiasts speculate about the causes of this downturn, the consensus is clear: demand is weakening. 

Related Reading: Bitcoin (BTC) Short-Term Holders At Risk As Unrealized Losses Remain High

CryptoQuant’s head of research, Julio Moreno, has provided an in-depth analysis of the situation, relying on key market indicators and data to explain the ongoing shift.

His analysis suggests that falling demand is a driving factor behind BTC’s recent price action. As the crypto market navigates this turbulent period, uncertainty is growing, making it difficult for investors to anticipate the next big move. 

With indecision spreading among market participants, the upcoming days could prove pivotal for Bitcoin’s price trajectory as bulls and bears battle over critical levels. Will BTC recover, or is there further downside ahead? Investors are watching closely for signs of what’s to come.

Bitcoin Demand Is Declining Right Now

Bitcoin (BTC) is currently facing significant selling pressure, primarily due to a noticeable decline in demand growth. According to CryptoQuant’s head of research, Julio Moreno, this demand issue is reflected across various valuation metrics, which have been stuck in bearish territory.

One of the most telling indicators is the apparent demand for BTC (30-day sum), which has entered a negative zone, highlighting weak buying interest. Moreno has shared his analysis on X, noting that the most severe signals have been flashing since July, when BTC’s demand began its steep decline.

BTC Apparent Demand (30-day sum) turning negative.
BTC Apparent Demand (30-day sum) turning negative. | Source: CryptoQuant Metrics

This sluggish demand growth is the core reason Bitcoin’s price has been struggling to recover and start a fresh uptrend. While BTC managed to rally earlier in the year, the absence of new demand has kept it from sustaining higher levels.

Related Reading: Is Bitcoin Destined for a 2016-Style Breakout? Charts Suggest A Q4 Target of $100K

Moreno also pointed out that $55,500 is a key level to watch, representing traders’ on-chain lower realized price. The market may remain weak without reclaiming this level, as it signals broader challenges in attracting new buyers. Investors closely monitor these metrics to determine if the market can regain its footing or if further downside is ahead.

BTC Trader On-chain realized lower price bands at $55,5K.
BTC Trader On-chain realized lower price bands at $55,5K. | Source: CryptoQuant Metrics

BTC Price Action

Bitcoin (BTC) is trading at $56,087, barely holding above the critical $55,000 level after several days of slow decline and lackluster price action. The recent BTC price stagnation suggests that it may test the lower demand zone at $54,500.

BTC trding below the 4H-200 MA.
BTC is trading below the 4H-200 MA. | Source: BTCUSD chart on TradingView

If Bitcoin manages to sustain its position above $55,000, bulls will need to reclaim the 4-hour 200 moving average, currently at $59,373, and push the price above the significant psychological barrier of $60,000. This level is crucial for establishing a renewed bullish trend and gaining momentum.

Related Reading: Bitcoin (BTC) Data Reveals Less Sensitivity To Equities Volatility: A Sign Of Strength?

Conversely, if BTC fails to hold the $54,500 support, a more substantial decline could be on the horizon, potentially driving the price down to $49,000 or even lower. This would signal a bearish shift, challenging the current market sentiment and testing the resilience of Bitcoin’s recent gains.

Traders should watch these key levels closely, as a break below $54,500 could exacerbate the current downturn, while a recovery above $60,000 could reignite bullish enthusiasm.

Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView

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Sebastian Villafuerte

Sebastian Villafuerte

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Sebastian's journey into the world of crypto began four years ago, driven by a fascination with the potential of blockchain technology to revolutionize financial systems. His initial exploration focused on understanding the intricacies of various crypto projects, particularly those focused on building innovative financial solutions. Through countless hours of research and learning, Sebastian developed a deep understanding of the underlying technologies, market dynamics, and potential applications of cryptocurrencies. As his knowledge grew, Sebastian felt compelled to share his insights with others. He began actively contributing to online discussions on platforms like X and LinkedIn, focusing on fintech and crypto-related content. His goal was to expose valuable trends and insights to a wider audience, fostering a deeper understanding of the rapidly evolving crypto landscape. Sebastian's contributions quickly gained recognition, and he became a trusted voice in the online crypto community. To further enhance his expertise, Sebastian pursued a UC Berkeley Fintech: Frameworks, Applications, and Strategies certification. This rigorous program equipped him with valuable skills and knowledge regarding Financial Technology, bridging the gap between traditional finance (TradFi) and decentralized finance (DeFi). The certification deepened his understanding of the broader financial landscape and its intersection with blockchain technology. Sebastian's passion for finance and writing is evident in his work. He enjoys delving into financial research, analyzing market trends, and exploring the latest developments in the crypto space. In his spare time, Sebastian can often be found immersed in charts, studying 10-K forms, or engaging in thought-provoking discussions about the future of finance. Sebastian's journey as a crypto analyst and investor has been marked by a relentless pursuit of knowledge and a dedication to sharing his insights. His ability to navigate the complex world of crypto, combined with his passion for financial research and communication, makes him a valuable asset to the industry. As the crypto landscape continues to evolve, Sebastian remains at the forefront, providing valuable insights and contributing to the growth of this revolutionary technology.

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