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Metrics Reveal Bitcoin (BTC) Rally Could Last 100 Days – Analyst Shares Cycle Predictions

Is Bitcoin (BTC) On Track For A 100-Day Rally? Analyst Unveils Cycle Forecast

Sebastian Villafuerte
by Sebastian Villafuerte
11 months ago
·
Posted in Bitcoin News
Trusted Editorial content, reviewed by leading industry experts and seasoned editors. Ad Disclosure

Bitcoin has experienced a bullish week, surging 6% since Wednesday, igniting excitement among analysts and investors who believe this could be the beginning of the next major rally. 

The last significant rally, from January to March, propelled Bitcoin’s price up by 91%, nearing all-time highs. Now, market participants are optimistic that a similar trend could unfold in the coming weeks, potentially driving the price to unprecedented levels.

Related Reading: Bitcoin Investors Net $456 Million In Daily Profits As BTC Prepares For Major Rally

CryptoQuant on-chain analyst Axel Adler has shared insightful data, suggesting that BTC’s current momentum is more than just a temporary boost. According to Adler, key on-chain metrics point to a strong accumulation phase, which historically precedes significant price appreciation. 

With this renewed bullish sentiment, the market is closely watching how BTC performs in the coming days. If the price can sustain its upward trajectory and break through key resistance levels, it could mark the start of a new, powerful rally. Investors are eager to see whether BTC can replicate its past performance and reach new heights.

Analyst Expects ‘Longer’ Bitcoin Rally 

Bitcoin has experienced a remarkable 25% price surge over the past three weeks, fueled by the Federal Reserve’s recent interest rate cuts. This significant price movement has reignited optimism among analysts and traders, many of whom are predicting a new Bitcoin rally. The daily price action currently supports this outlook, confirming an uptrend as Bitcoin continues to climb.

Prominent crypto analyst Axel Adler recently shared his analysis on X, noting that the average Bitcoin rally this year has lasted around 25 days, compared to an average of 35 days over the past 15 years. 

Bitcoin higher price performance showing rally duration.
Bitcoin higher price performance showing rally duration. | Source: Axel Adler on X CrytpoQuant

According to Adler, this shorter duration is the minimum expectation for the current market cycle. However, with favorable macroeconomic conditions, he believes that a 100-day rally is entirely possible. He clarified that this forecast is based on his intuition rather than concrete data, highlighting the unpredictable nature of the crypto market.

As Bitcoin’s price approaches higher levels of supply around $70,000, investors are watching closely. This key resistance level hasn’t been tested since late July. A successful push past $70,000 would not only validate the current rally but also set the stage for a potential challenge to all-time highs. 

Related Reading: Bitcoin Dominance ‘Hinting At Possible Dip To 47%’ – Altseason On The Horizon?

The recent surge has sparked excitement, but many are still cautious, waiting to see if Bitcoin can maintain its momentum and break through this crucial threshold. If Bitcoin can sustain its upward trend and break past these levels, it could signal the start of a powerful and extended rally, bringing renewed attention and capital into the cryptocurrency market.

BTC Price Testing Crucial Supply 

Bitcoin is currently trading at $66,065, having broken past the daily 200 moving average (MA) at $63,797 and closed above it for two consecutive days. This decisive move indicates strong bullish momentum and has brought renewed optimism to the market. 

BTC trading above the 1D 200 MA. | Source: BTCUSDT chart on TradingView
BTC trading above the 1D 200 MA. | Source: BTCUSDT chart on TradingView

The price is now flirting with higher supply levels, and a surge past the $70,000 mark could trigger a wave of demand, potentially leading to fear of missing out (FOMO) among traders and investors. Such a breakout would likely attract more capital into the market, further fueling the rally.

However, caution is warranted as Bitcoin must sustain its position above the daily 200 MA to maintain this bullish outlook. A failure to hold above this critical level could lead to a retracement, testing lower demand zones around $60,000. This would provide an opportunity for bulls to accumulate before the next leg up, but it could also introduce uncertainty and hesitation in the market. 

Related Reading: Dogecoin Eyes $0.11 Breakout As RSI Signals A Shift – Can DOGE Target New Highs?

For now, all eyes are on Bitcoin’s ability to continue its upward momentum and break past the $70,000 resistance, which would solidify its position in` a confirmed uptrend and potentially set the stage for a new all-time high in the coming weeks.

Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView

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Sebastian Villafuerte

Sebastian Villafuerte

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Sebastian's journey into the world of crypto began four years ago, driven by a fascination with the potential of blockchain technology to revolutionize financial systems. His initial exploration focused on understanding the intricacies of various crypto projects, particularly those focused on building innovative financial solutions. Through countless hours of research and learning, Sebastian developed a deep understanding of the underlying technologies, market dynamics, and potential applications of cryptocurrencies. As his knowledge grew, Sebastian felt compelled to share his insights with others. He began actively contributing to online discussions on platforms like X and LinkedIn, focusing on fintech and crypto-related content. His goal was to expose valuable trends and insights to a wider audience, fostering a deeper understanding of the rapidly evolving crypto landscape. Sebastian's contributions quickly gained recognition, and he became a trusted voice in the online crypto community. To further enhance his expertise, Sebastian pursued a UC Berkeley Fintech: Frameworks, Applications, and Strategies certification. This rigorous program equipped him with valuable skills and knowledge regarding Financial Technology, bridging the gap between traditional finance (TradFi) and decentralized finance (DeFi). The certification deepened his understanding of the broader financial landscape and its intersection with blockchain technology. Sebastian's passion for finance and writing is evident in his work. He enjoys delving into financial research, analyzing market trends, and exploring the latest developments in the crypto space. In his spare time, Sebastian can often be found immersed in charts, studying 10-K forms, or engaging in thought-provoking discussions about the future of finance. Sebastian's journey as a crypto analyst and investor has been marked by a relentless pursuit of knowledge and a dedication to sharing his insights. His ability to navigate the complex world of crypto, combined with his passion for financial research and communication, makes him a valuable asset to the industry. As the crypto landscape continues to evolve, Sebastian remains at the forefront, providing valuable insights and contributing to the growth of this revolutionary technology.

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