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Bitcoin BTC BTCUSD

Can Bitcoin Benefit From A $100 Oil Barrel? Why This Analyst Thinks So

Reynaldo Marquez
by Reynaldo Marquez
3 years ago
·
Posted in Bitcoin
Trusted Editorial content, reviewed by leading industry experts and seasoned editors. Ad Disclosure

Bitcoin continues on its decline after rejection at the mid area of its current levels. The first crypto by market cap saw a short live rally on lower timeframes and has now moved back into the lows of $40,000.

Related Reading | The Russia-Ukraine War Is Becoming A War On Crypto

At the time of writing, Bitcoin trades at $40,652 with a 4.7% loss in the last 24 hours.

Bitcoin BTC BTCUSD
BTC with moderate losses on the daily chart. Source: BTCUSD Tradingview

Bitcoin To See More Blood In The Short Term?

Current price action seems to be dominated by large investors. According to Material Indicators (MI), Bitcoin has been moving into pre-rally resistance/support levels and could continue to see more losses per their Trend Precognition Indicator which signaled bearish momentum on the daily chart.

Based on this indicator and the lack of bid orders below current levels, MI expects a potential retest of lower levels. In combination with these factors, large investors are “selling into the liquidity to minimize slippage”.

Bulls could make a sudden appearance and save Bitcoin at these levels, but further data provided by Material Indicators show the opposite. As the price fell below $41,000, at $11 million in asks orders came at the above price.

Bitcoin BTC BTCUSD MI sellers
Source: Material Indicators

If the price is to recover to higher levels, bulls need to push the price above those orders. Material Indicators said:

As mentioned previously, Bitcoin is due for a retest of prior R/S levels. The levels seen on the chart have confluence with where liquidity is currently concentrated in the order book. If the 50 DMA doesn’t hold, expecting a trip to the blue box.

How The Old World Will Push The New World To Embrace Bitcoin

Over the long term, Senior Commodity Strategist for Bloomberg Intelligence Mike McGlone expects Bitcoin to benefit from macro-factors, particularly the rise of fossil fuels and crude prices.

McGlone believes the current spike in the price of these commodities, together with the Russia-Ukraine conflict, will push the world to embrace new technologies and assets with fixed supplies, such as Bitcoin. McGlone wrote:

Russia’s invasion of Ukraine may mark an apex of the old-world dependent on fossil fuels from dicey sources vs. the new world embracing technology, notably crypto assets. Spiking commodities are fuel for global recession and face elasticity, and the higher-price cure. Bitcoin and Ethereum supply is inelastic and appear in early adoption days, along with the proliferation of crypto dollars

In that sense, the expert believes the current conflict between Russia and Ukraine could mark an inflection point for BTC and a move towards it becoming the “global digital collateral”. The cryptocurrency could face obstacles as it keeps correlated with traditional markets.

Related Reading | Paying Netflix With Bitcoin? Here Is How It Could Happen

However, McGlone is optimistic as BTC’s price has been showing signs of “divergent strength” and better performance than stock indexes in 2022. Over the long run, BTC could come out on top of potential downside risks in the legacy financial system.

#Bitcoin $40,000 or #Nasdaq 14,000? Digital #Gold Set to Prevail – Bitcoin faces deflationary forces after 2021 excesses, but the crypto shows divergent strength. With 2002 losses less than half those for the Nasdaq 100, Bitcoin may be maturing toward global digital collateral pic.twitter.com/Yt8Q5q5qjt

— Mike McGlone (@mikemcglone11) March 4, 2022

Editorial Process for bitcoinist is centered on delivering thoroughly researched, accurate, and unbiased content. We uphold strict sourcing standards, and each page undergoes diligent review by our team of top technology experts and seasoned editors. This process ensures the integrity, relevance, and value of our content for our readers.
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Reynaldo Marquez

Reynaldo Marquez

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As an editor at NewsBTC, Reynaldo is an experienced journalist passionate about all things crypto. Reynaldo has interviewed key industry leaders, and created unique pieces analyzing the promise of crypto as the next frontier for an economic and social transformation of humanity. Since 2018, he has been at the forefront of the industry, closely following every major development and analyzing critical events at the heart of the crypto industry. With a keen eye for detail and an unwavering commitment to excellence, Reynaldo has been instrumental in bringing the latest news and insights to the crypto community. Outside of work, Reynaldo enjoys lifting weights and literature, which he believes gives him a unique perspective into the world of crypto. As an aspiring trader, he is always looking for new opportunities to explore and believes that crypto holds the key to unlocking the future of finance.

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