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Is Bitcoin Bull Cycle Nearing Its Conclusion? – Expert Shares Key Insights

Is Bitcoin Bull Cycle Nearing Its Conclusion? – Expert Shares Key Insights

Sebastian Villafuerte
by Sebastian Villafuerte
Last Updated: January 21, 2025 6:00 pm
·
Posted in Bitcoin News
Trusted Editorial content, reviewed by leading industry experts and seasoned editors. Ad Disclosure

Bitcoin had an exciting weekend filled with sharp volatility and historic price movements, leaving the market buzzing with anticipation. The cryptocurrency pushed above the $108,000 mark, reaching a new all-time high (ATH) of $109,350. However, the rally was met with resistance, and Bitcoin quickly retraced to as low as $99,400 before recovering. The dramatic swings created a mix of optimism and uncertainty as the weekend closed.

Related Reading: Bitcoin Bounces To ATH For The First Time Since December – Analyst Expects $130K Price Breakout

Analyst Axel Adler provided valuable insights into Bitcoin’s current state, focusing on the Net Unrealized Profit/Loss (NUPL) metric among miners. According to CryptoQuant data, the NUPL is currently at 0.5, a level that historically signals room for further growth. This metric measures the unrealized profits and losses in the market, offering a glimpse into whether a cycle top is near. Adler’s analysis suggests that Bitcoin has not yet reached its peak, reinforcing the belief that the current cycle still has significant upside potential.

As Bitcoin trades near key levels, investors are closely monitoring its next moves. With NUPL data indicating room for growth and the market continuing to show strength, many believe the cryptocurrency could be on the brink of another major rally, pushing the boundaries of this bullish cycle even further.

Bitcoin Miners Holding Strong 

Bitcoin is entering the final phase of its 4-year cycle, historically the most prolific and explosive period in terms of price appreciation. This phase often sees massive rallies fueled by heightened market activity and increasing investor optimism. With a pro-crypto U.S. administration led by President Donald Trump taking charge, the market sentiment for Bitcoin has turned overwhelmingly bullish. Many analysts believe this favorable environment could propel BTC to unprecedented levels in the coming months.

Top analyst Axel Adler recently shared key data from CryptoQuant, shedding light on Bitcoin’s current position in the cycle. Adler highlighted the Net Unrealized Profit/Loss (NUPL) metric among miners, which currently sits at 0.5.

Bitcoin Miners NUPL | Source: Axel Adler on X
Bitcoin Miners NUPL | Source: Axel Adler on X

This level suggests that miners and other market participants still have unrealized profits, leaving significant room for further growth. Historically, when NUPL climbs above 0.75, the market begins to show signs of overheating, often signaling the bull cycle’s conclusion.

For now, BTC remains well-positioned for continued upside as both technical and fundamental indicators align. The combination of a supportive regulatory landscape, strong on-chain metrics, and bullish sentiment creates an ideal setup for BTC to thrive in the final phase of this 4-year cycle.

Related Reading: 100% Of BTC Holders Back in Profit For The First Time Since November 2024 – Explosive Rally Ahead?

As Bitcoin approaches critical levels, investors are closely monitoring its trajectory. If the NUPL metric continues to rise without breaching the 0.75 threshold, Bitcoin’s current rally could have substantial room to grow, reinforcing its role as the leading asset in the cryptocurrency market.

BTC Price Analysis: Strong Demand Pushing 

Bitcoin (BTC) is currently trading at $103,700, holding strong above the critical $100,000 mark despite a volatile start to the week. This level has proven to be a key psychological and technical support, reinforcing bullish sentiment as BTC continues its attempt to build on recent gains. However, the market remains highly uncertain, and volatility appears to be an ongoing trend as traders navigate the current conditions.

BTC testing liquidity belos ATH | Source: BTCUSDT chart on TradingView
BTC testing liquidity below ATH | Source: BTCUSDT chart on TradingView

For Bitcoin to confirm its bullish trajectory, bulls need to regain control and push the price above its previous all-time high (ATH). A decisive breakout above the $110,000 resistance level would signal renewed momentum, potentially triggering another leg up into price discovery. Such a move could attract fresh buying interest and propel BTC toward its next targets in the ongoing bull cycle.

On the downside, losing the $100,000 support would likely shift sentiment and lead to a period of extended consolidation. This could test the patience of investors and delay further upside as the market seeks to stabilize.

Related Reading: BTC Funding Rate Remains Bullish As Buyers Dominate Futures Market – Details

As Bitcoin hovers near these pivotal levels, the coming days will be critical in determining its next direction. Traders and investors are watching closely for signs of strength or weakness as BTC navigates this crucial phase.

Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView.

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Sebastian Villafuerte

Sebastian Villafuerte

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Sebastian's journey into the world of crypto began four years ago, driven by a fascination with the potential of blockchain technology to revolutionize financial systems. His initial exploration focused on understanding the intricacies of various crypto projects, particularly those focused on building innovative financial solutions. Through countless hours of research and learning, Sebastian developed a deep understanding of the underlying technologies, market dynamics, and potential applications of cryptocurrencies. As his knowledge grew, Sebastian felt compelled to share his insights with others. He began actively contributing to online discussions on platforms like X and LinkedIn, focusing on fintech and crypto-related content. His goal was to expose valuable trends and insights to a wider audience, fostering a deeper understanding of the rapidly evolving crypto landscape. Sebastian's contributions quickly gained recognition, and he became a trusted voice in the online crypto community. To further enhance his expertise, Sebastian pursued a UC Berkeley Fintech: Frameworks, Applications, and Strategies certification. This rigorous program equipped him with valuable skills and knowledge regarding Financial Technology, bridging the gap between traditional finance (TradFi) and decentralized finance (DeFi). The certification deepened his understanding of the broader financial landscape and its intersection with blockchain technology. Sebastian's passion for finance and writing is evident in his work. He enjoys delving into financial research, analyzing market trends, and exploring the latest developments in the crypto space. In his spare time, Sebastian can often be found immersed in charts, studying 10-K forms, or engaging in thought-provoking discussions about the future of finance. Sebastian's journey as a crypto analyst and investor has been marked by a relentless pursuit of knowledge and a dedication to sharing his insights. His ability to navigate the complex world of crypto, combined with his passion for financial research and communication, makes him a valuable asset to the industry. As the crypto landscape continues to evolve, Sebastian remains at the forefront, providing valuable insights and contributing to the growth of this revolutionary technology.

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