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Bitcoin Lost Coin Supply Is Trending Lower – Here’s What To Know

Godspower Owie
by Godspower Owie
Last Updated: January 30, 2026 1:00 pm
·
Posted in Bitcoin News
Trusted Editorial content, reviewed by leading industry experts and seasoned editors. Ad Disclosure

In a sudden move, the Bitcoin price has dropped sharply as volatility in the broader cryptocurrency market experienced a sharp increase, causing the flagship asset to retest the $83,000 level. Amid this waning market performance, a key trend is currently in the spotlight and making waves, which is the steady reduction in BTC Lost Coin supply.

Price Declines, And Lost Bitcoins Are Dropping

While the price of Bitcoin struggles with heightened volatility, the market dynamics are starting to see a critical shift in trend and investors’ activity. Several key metrics are now displaying a cautious signal about the market again, and one of those is the Bitcoin Lost Coins metric.

Related Reading: Bitcoin Shows Rare Confluence In Network Growth And Risk Index – What It Means For BTC

In the research, Joao Wedson, the founder of on-chain data platform Alphractal, disclosed that the BTC lost coin supply is declining, hinting at a subtle but meaningful shift in the network’s long-term dynamics. According to the market expert, this decline is not a coincidence.

This development suggests that many coins that were previously thought to be permanently unreachable are being reclassified as active, lowering the expected proportion of Bitcoin that cannot be recovered. It also essentially increases the usable quantity of BTC, which has an impact on the scarcity assumptions that underlie long-term pricing models.

Wedson highlighted that several analysts attributed the decline solely to the Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs), but the story is beyond the narrative. While the ETF was the structural catalyst, the real trigger was breaking the long-awaited $100,000 price mark. When Bitcoin hits the price range, all economic incentives are altered. 

Bitcoin
BTC lost coins are dropping | Source: Chart from Joao Wedson on X

BTC that had been sitting idle for years in exchange cold wallets have started to move due to custody restructuring, address migrations, and UTXO consolidation. At the same time, OG whales and long-term holders have also moved into distribution mode, as they are actively selling into the market. This is considered a classic behavior during redistribution phases, not market collapse.

The developments coincide with individuals and companies making serious efforts to recover coins once believed to be lost in old backups, forgotten hard drives, abandoned multisigs, legal custodianships, estates, and inheritances. In simple terms, BTC that were economically dead before came back to life.

After his analysis, Wedson believes that the core point is simple. BTC ETFs did not create any new coins, and the $100,000 level did not either. Instead, all they did was reawaken an old supply that had been dormant. However, the Lost Coins are declining due to BTC becoming too valuable to ignore.

What Are BTC Investors Doing In The Market

Despite the ongoing volatile landscape, CW, a market expert, revealed that Bitcoin’s large holders are steadily purchasing low-leveraged long positions. These investors are building long positions rather than chasing aggressive bets, suggesting increasing confidence in the absence of excessive risk.

Related Reading: Bitcoin Big Money Bet: Whales Are Ramping Up Long Positions As Market Sets Up

On the other hand, the high-leveraged long positions of all retail investors have been liquidated. It is worth noting that the majority of high-leverage investors lost their money before the rally even started.

Bitcoin
BTC trading at $82,642 on the 1D chart | Source: BTCUSDT on Tradingview.com
Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com
Editorial Process for bitcoinist is centered on delivering thoroughly researched, accurate, and unbiased content. We uphold strict sourcing standards, and each page undergoes diligent review by our team of top technology experts and seasoned editors. This process ensures the integrity, relevance, and value of our content for our readers.
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Godspower Owie

Godspower Owie

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Godspower Owie is my name, and I work for the news platforms NewsBTC and Bitcoinist. I sometimes like to think of myself as an explorer since I enjoy exploring new places, learning new things, especially valuable ones, and meeting new people who have an impact on my life, no matter how small. I value my family, friends, career, and time. Really, those are most likely the most significant aspects of every person's existence. Not illusions, but dreams are what I pursue.

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