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Bitcoin Market Remains Bullish: Net Realized Profit/Loss Signals End Of Consolidation Phase Is Near

Bitcoin Market Remains Bullish: Net Realized Profit/Loss Signals End Of Consolidation Phase Is Near

Sebastian Villafuerte
by Sebastian Villafuerte
6 months ago
·
Posted in Bitcoin News
Trusted Editorial content, reviewed by leading industry experts and seasoned editors. Ad Disclosure

Bitcoin is currently in consolidation mode, trading below its all-time high (ATH) of $109K, as volatility, uncertainty, and speculation dominate the market. The price has been ranging between ATH and the $90K level, creating fear and hesitation among investors who suspect that the bull cycle top may already be in.

Related Reading: BTC Funding Rate Turns Negative For The 7th Time in a Year – Every Previous Drop Led To Gains

However, on-chain data suggests otherwise. Key metrics from CryptoQuant shared by Axel Adler reveal that the BTC market remains bullish, and the current consolidation phase is not necessarily a sign of weakness. According to Net Realized Profit/Loss [USD] 7DMA, Bitcoin’s consolidation could end when this metric approaches zero or turns negative. Historically, such shifts indicate that most profit-taking has been exhausted, paving the way for renewed upward momentum.

For now, Bitcoin’s ability to maintain support above key levels will determine whether it can break out into new highs or continue consolidating in this range. While some investors remain cautious, others see this as an opportunity to accumulate before the next leg up. As BTC holds below ATH, all eyes are on market signals to determine when the next move will unfold.

Bitcoin Faces Continued Volatility – But Market Remains Bullish

Bitcoin has been on a wild ride since the weekend, experiencing massive price swings that have kept traders on edge. The price plummeted to $91K, then surged above $100K, and now sits around $98K as uncertainty grips the market. Trade war fears have fueled much of this volatility, and analysts predict this trend will persist in the coming weeks.

Despite the turbulence, on-chain data suggests that Bitcoin remains in a bullish phase. Key metrics and an analysis shared by Axel Adler on X reveal the current state of network profitability. Average realized profit currently stands at $911 million, while the net average realized profit, also known as Net Realized Profit/Loss, is at $653 million. Meanwhile, average realized losses total $258 million.

Bitcoin Net Realized Profit/Loss [USD] | Source: Axel Adler on X
Bitcoin Net Realized Profit/Loss [USD] | Source: Axel Adler on X
The data indicates that BTC holders are still in profit, and long-term investors remain confident. Adler points out that the end of this consolidation phase can be expected when Net Realized Profit/Loss [USD] 7DMA approaches zero or turns negative. Historically, such shifts signal that most sellers have already exited, leaving behind mainly panic-driven selling, which is typical in the final stage of a correction before Bitcoin resumes its uptrend.

Related Reading: BTC Data Reveals Whales Are Buying And Retail Selling – Market Reset Or Correction?

For now, Bitcoin’s ability to hold above key demand levels will be crucial in determining its next move. If history repeats itself, this period of uncertainty could soon give way to a massive rally.

Bitcoin Struggles for Direction Amid Volatility

Bitcoin is currently trading at $98,500 after days of intense volatility and uncertainty. The market remains in a state of indecision as bulls struggle to push BTC above the critical $100K mark, while bears have failed to drive the price toward lower demand levels. The lack of clear direction has created a choppy trading environment, with investors closely watching key price levels to determine the next move.

BTC testing crucial liquidity | Source: BTCUSDT chart on TradingView
BTC testing crucial liquidity | Source: BTCUSDT chart on TradingView

Holding above $98K is crucial for maintaining bullish momentum. If BTC stays above this level, it could build enough strength for a breakout above $100K, a move that would likely trigger a rally into new all-time highs. On the other hand, if BTC fails to hold $98K, it risks dropping into lower demand zones. A breakdown could take the price toward $95K, and if selling pressure intensifies, BTC might even test the $92K level.

Related Reading: BTC Faces Pressure As Trade War Tensions Rise – Is A Bigger Drawdown Coming?

With trade war fears and global uncertainty affecting market sentiment, Bitcoin remains highly reactive to macroeconomic developments. Bulls need to step up and reclaim $100K quickly to regain market confidence. A strong move above this psychological barrier would reinforce the bullish trend and set the stage for a surge past ATH.

Editorial Process for bitcoinist is centered on delivering thoroughly researched, accurate, and unbiased content. We uphold strict sourcing standards, and each page undergoes diligent review by our team of top technology experts and seasoned editors. This process ensures the integrity, relevance, and value of our content for our readers.
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Sebastian Villafuerte

Sebastian Villafuerte

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Sebastian's journey into the world of crypto began four years ago, driven by a fascination with the potential of blockchain technology to revolutionize financial systems. His initial exploration focused on understanding the intricacies of various crypto projects, particularly those focused on building innovative financial solutions. Through countless hours of research and learning, Sebastian developed a deep understanding of the underlying technologies, market dynamics, and potential applications of cryptocurrencies. As his knowledge grew, Sebastian felt compelled to share his insights with others. He began actively contributing to online discussions on platforms like X and LinkedIn, focusing on fintech and crypto-related content. His goal was to expose valuable trends and insights to a wider audience, fostering a deeper understanding of the rapidly evolving crypto landscape. Sebastian's contributions quickly gained recognition, and he became a trusted voice in the online crypto community. To further enhance his expertise, Sebastian pursued a UC Berkeley Fintech: Frameworks, Applications, and Strategies certification. This rigorous program equipped him with valuable skills and knowledge regarding Financial Technology, bridging the gap between traditional finance (TradFi) and decentralized finance (DeFi). The certification deepened his understanding of the broader financial landscape and its intersection with blockchain technology. Sebastian's passion for finance and writing is evident in his work. He enjoys delving into financial research, analyzing market trends, and exploring the latest developments in the crypto space. In his spare time, Sebastian can often be found immersed in charts, studying 10-K forms, or engaging in thought-provoking discussions about the future of finance. Sebastian's journey as a crypto analyst and investor has been marked by a relentless pursuit of knowledge and a dedication to sharing his insights. His ability to navigate the complex world of crypto, combined with his passion for financial research and communication, makes him a valuable asset to the industry. As the crypto landscape continues to evolve, Sebastian remains at the forefront, providing valuable insights and contributing to the growth of this revolutionary technology.

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