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Bitcoin Resists Macro Pressure As It Diverges From Stock Market Downturn – Insights

Bitcoin Resists Macro Pressure As It Diverges From Stock Market Downturn – Insights

Sebastian Villafuerte
by Sebastian Villafuerte
6 months ago
·
Posted in Bitcoin News
Trusted Editorial content, reviewed by leading industry experts and seasoned editors. Ad Disclosure

Bitcoin is trading below a crucial demand zone as bears regain control of the market, ending a brief period of optimism and minor upward movement. Selling pressure has resumed after several days of calm, highlighting the ongoing uncertainty surrounding risk assets. Despite this renewed downside, Bitcoin has shown subtle signs of strength compared to traditional financial markets, which continue to struggle under the weight of macroeconomic instability.

According to insights from Santiment, the S&P 500 and global stock markets have been hit hard by persistent tariff tensions and rising inflation concerns. The S&P 500, in particular, ended the week with a sharp decline, falling to $5,580 — its lowest level since mid-March. In contrast, Bitcoin managed to close the week with a modest gain of +0.4%, holding a market value of approximately $84,300 at the time of writing.

What’s especially notable is Bitcoin’s mild rebound on the 4-hour chart following the stock market’s weekly close. This subtle divergence suggests that, despite macroeconomic headwinds, Bitcoin may be showing early signs of decoupling from traditional equities. As market volatility continues, Bitcoin’s relative stability could signal growing confidence in its long-term value.

Related Reading: Bitcoin Faces Stacked Resistance At $89K-$90K Range – Insights

Bitcoin Shows Strength As Price Diverges From Falling Equities

Bitcoin’s recent price action has revealed signs of weakness, with bulls struggling to maintain upward momentum. The failure to reclaim key levels has left BTC vulnerable to further downside unless buying pressure returns soon. A recovery phase is urgently needed, especially as broader financial markets continue to reel from persistent trade war fears and rising global tensions. Among risk assets, the crypto market remains one of the most impacted, with sentiment fluctuating in response to ongoing macroeconomic instability.

Despite these challenges, Bitcoin has quietly shown relative strength. At the time of writing, BTC is up about +0.4% for the week, holding a market value of approximately $84,300. In contrast, the S&P 500 experienced a sharp downturn, falling to $5,580 — near its lowest level since March 13. This divergence highlights a potential shift in market behavior.

Bitcoin Correlation with Gold and S&P500 | Source: Santiment on X
Bitcoin Correlation with Gold and S&P500 | Source: Santiment on X

A key signal of crypto’s subtle strength is Bitcoin’s mild 4-hour rebound following the stock market’s weekly close. This decoupling from equities, while still early, could point to growing trust in digital assets as independent stores of value. In past cycles, especially in 2022, Bitcoin closely mirrored stock market movements. Now, that correlation may be weakening.

Related Reading: BTC Realized Volatility Hits Alert Level – Compression Signals Imminent Price Move

These price patterns offer a cautiously bullish sign. When digital assets begin to show strength during periods of global instability — particularly outside traditional trading hours — it suggests growing confidence in their long-term utility. If global markets begin to stabilize or recover, Bitcoin may already be positioned for a stronger move upward, supported by institutional investors who see the current weakness as a long-term accumulation opportunity. For now, bulls must step up to reclaim key levels and confirm the start of a recovery trend.

Price Action Details: Levels To Hold

Bitcoin is currently trading at $83,800 after several days of consolidation below the key $90,000 resistance level. Despite holding above short-term support, bulls have yet to regain meaningful control of the trend. Momentum has faded, and the longer BTC remains below $85,500 — the 200-day moving average (MA) — the more vulnerable the market becomes.

BTC struggling to reclaim the 200-day MA and EMA | Source: BTCUSDT chart on TradingView
BTC struggling to reclaim the 200-day MA and EMA | Source: BTCUSDT chart on TradingView

Reclaiming the 200-day MA is now critical. A move back above this level would signal renewed strength and could ignite a recovery rally toward the $89K–$91K resistance zone. Without it, the current consolidation risks turning into a continuation of the broader downtrend.

Meanwhile, downside pressure continues to build. If BTC fails to hold the $82,000 support zone, a dramatic drop could follow. Losing that level would likely trigger stop-losses and panic selling, pushing Bitcoin toward lower demand zones and potentially below the $80,000 mark.

Related Reading: BTC Short-Term Holder Capitulation Nears End As Realized Losses Drop Tenfold On Exchanges. As the market remains under macroeconomic stress, with trade tensions and inflation concerns still dominating headlines, Bitcoin’s price action over the coming days will be crucial. Bulls must act quickly to reclaim key technical levels or risk further breakdown as bears test the strength of current support.

Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView 

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Sebastian Villafuerte

Sebastian Villafuerte

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Sebastian's journey into the world of crypto began four years ago, driven by a fascination with the potential of blockchain technology to revolutionize financial systems. His initial exploration focused on understanding the intricacies of various crypto projects, particularly those focused on building innovative financial solutions. Through countless hours of research and learning, Sebastian developed a deep understanding of the underlying technologies, market dynamics, and potential applications of cryptocurrencies. As his knowledge grew, Sebastian felt compelled to share his insights with others. He began actively contributing to online discussions on platforms like X and LinkedIn, focusing on fintech and crypto-related content. His goal was to expose valuable trends and insights to a wider audience, fostering a deeper understanding of the rapidly evolving crypto landscape. Sebastian's contributions quickly gained recognition, and he became a trusted voice in the online crypto community. To further enhance his expertise, Sebastian pursued a UC Berkeley Fintech: Frameworks, Applications, and Strategies certification. This rigorous program equipped him with valuable skills and knowledge regarding Financial Technology, bridging the gap between traditional finance (TradFi) and decentralized finance (DeFi). The certification deepened his understanding of the broader financial landscape and its intersection with blockchain technology. Sebastian's passion for finance and writing is evident in his work. He enjoys delving into financial research, analyzing market trends, and exploring the latest developments in the crypto space. In his spare time, Sebastian can often be found immersed in charts, studying 10-K forms, or engaging in thought-provoking discussions about the future of finance. Sebastian's journey as a crypto analyst and investor has been marked by a relentless pursuit of knowledge and a dedication to sharing his insights. His ability to navigate the complex world of crypto, combined with his passion for financial research and communication, makes him a valuable asset to the industry. As the crypto landscape continues to evolve, Sebastian remains at the forefront, providing valuable insights and contributing to the growth of this revolutionary technology.

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