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Bitcoin (BTC) Stumbles Below $60,000 As Data Shows Slowing Net Capital Inflows

Bitcoin (BTC) Stumbles Below $60,000 As Data Shows Slowing Net Capital Inflows

Sebastian Villafuerte
by Sebastian Villafuerte
1 year ago
·
Posted in Bitcoin
Trusted Editorial content, reviewed by leading industry experts and seasoned editors. Ad Disclosure

Bitcoin (BTC) is currently trading below $60,000 after experiencing a volatile period and a notable 11% correction from last Sunday’s peak of $65,103. This sharp decline reflects the heightened uncertainty and fear permeating the market. 

Related Reading: Bitcoin on Path To Replicate Nasdaq’s 2014 Rally Says Analyst, BTC Price Eyes $120,000 Amount

Recent key data from Glassnode reveals a concerning slowdown in net capital inflows for BTC, signaling a potential shift in investor sentiment. The decrease in inflows underscores the market’s current fragility and the growing caution among traders. Coupled with the recent price swings and market turbulence, this data suggests that Bitcoin’s journey through this volatile phase is far from over. 

As BTC continues to navigate these challenging conditions, the risk of further fluctuations remains significant, leaving investors to brace for more potential upheaval in the short term.

Bitcoin Market Equilibrium is Reached 

Crucial data from Glassnode indicates a slowdown in net capital inflows into Bitcoin, suggesting that a degree of equilibrium has been reached between investors taking profits and those facing losses. 

Historically, capital inflows into the Bitcoin market are rarely as subdued as they are now; 89% of days typically see higher inflows than those observed today, except during periods dominated by significant losses in bear markets. This current phase of inactivity is noteworthy as it often precedes substantial increases in market volatility.

The Realized Cap, a key metric for understanding Bitcoin’s market value, remains at an all-time high (ATH) of $619 billion, bolstered by a substantial net inflow of $217 billion since Bitcoin’s low of $15,000 in December 2022. 

BTC Realized Cap remains at an ATH.
BTC Realized Cap remains at an ATH. | Source: BTC Realize Cap Net Position Change (%) by Glassnode

Despite the prevailing negative sentiment and recent market turbulence, these indicators reveal that there is still potential for growth. The impressive Realized Cap and robust net inflows suggest that, while the market is experiencing a quietude phase, this may set the stage for an upcoming uptrend. 

Related Reading: Bitcoin Difficulty Jumps 3% As Hashrate Slowly Recovers

As Bitcoin continues to navigate through this period of reduced inflows and investor hesitation, the groundwork for a potential resurgence and increased volatility appears to be forming, offering hope for a positive shift in the market’s trajectory as the year progresses.

BTC Trading At Crucial Level 

Bitcoin (BTC) trades at $59,541 when writing, following three days of intense price volatility. On the 4-hour chart, BTC has faced a clear rejection from the 4-hour 200 exponential moving average (EMA), a crucial resistance level that has consistently hindered price progress in recent weeks. Since the decline observed on Tuesday, Bitcoin’s price has been oscillating between $57,866 and $61,182, creating a range that could build liquidity for a significant move.

BTC Trading below its 4H 200 EMA.
BTC is Trading below its 4H 200 EMA. | Source: BTCUSD 4H chart on TradingView

If BTC successfully breaks above the 4-hour 200 EMA, it could pave the way for a rally toward $65,000. This breakout would signal a bullish shift, potentially leading to a substantial upward momentum. 

However, if Bitcoin fails to overcome this resistance, it may test the next support level at $56,138. This level could become critical in determining whether the current range-bound phase will continue or if a deeper correction is imminent. 

Related Reading: SOL Set For ATH? Analyst Predicts It Will Happen This Year

Monitoring BTC’s ability to navigate these key technical levels will be essential in forecasting its near-term price direction and potential for future movement.

Cover image from Dall-E, Charts from Tradingview

Editorial Process for bitcoinist is centered on delivering thoroughly researched, accurate, and unbiased content. We uphold strict sourcing standards, and each page undergoes diligent review by our team of top technology experts and seasoned editors. This process ensures the integrity, relevance, and value of our content for our readers.
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Sebastian Villafuerte

Sebastian Villafuerte

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Sebastian's journey into the world of crypto began four years ago, driven by a fascination with the potential of blockchain technology to revolutionize financial systems. His initial exploration focused on understanding the intricacies of various crypto projects, particularly those focused on building innovative financial solutions. Through countless hours of research and learning, Sebastian developed a deep understanding of the underlying technologies, market dynamics, and potential applications of cryptocurrencies. As his knowledge grew, Sebastian felt compelled to share his insights with others. He began actively contributing to online discussions on platforms like X and LinkedIn, focusing on fintech and crypto-related content. His goal was to expose valuable trends and insights to a wider audience, fostering a deeper understanding of the rapidly evolving crypto landscape. Sebastian's contributions quickly gained recognition, and he became a trusted voice in the online crypto community. To further enhance his expertise, Sebastian pursued a UC Berkeley Fintech: Frameworks, Applications, and Strategies certification. This rigorous program equipped him with valuable skills and knowledge regarding Financial Technology, bridging the gap between traditional finance (TradFi) and decentralized finance (DeFi). The certification deepened his understanding of the broader financial landscape and its intersection with blockchain technology. Sebastian's passion for finance and writing is evident in his work. He enjoys delving into financial research, analyzing market trends, and exploring the latest developments in the crypto space. In his spare time, Sebastian can often be found immersed in charts, studying 10-K forms, or engaging in thought-provoking discussions about the future of finance. Sebastian's journey as a crypto analyst and investor has been marked by a relentless pursuit of knowledge and a dedication to sharing his insights. His ability to navigate the complex world of crypto, combined with his passion for financial research and communication, makes him a valuable asset to the industry. As the crypto landscape continues to evolve, Sebastian remains at the forefront, providing valuable insights and contributing to the growth of this revolutionary technology.

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