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Bitcoin

Bitcoin Supply Dynamics Paints A Clear Picture of The Current Phase Of The Market

Godspower Owie
by Godspower Owie
2 weeks ago
·
Posted in Bitcoin News
Trusted Editorial content, reviewed by leading industry experts and seasoned editors. Ad Disclosure

The broader cryptocurrency market has shifted into a heightened bearish phase, causing Bitcoin to drop from its current all-time high of $124,000 to the $117,000 threshold. While bearish pressure is building, indicators such as Bitcoin’s supply dynamics are providing insights about the current state of the market and investors’ sentiment.

What Bitcoin Supply Data Says About The Market

Bitcoin’s price has fallen sharply after reaching a new all-time high on Thursday, which has sparked speculation about the current state of the market. Amidst the growing speculations, Boris, a crypto trader and on-chain expert, has provided a detailed analysis of the current state of BTC’s market, using the supply dynamics.

Related Reading: Bitcoin Demand Still Positive Even As Price Faces Volatility

Bitcoin supply patterns are currently painting a vivid picture of investor behavior, accumulation tendencies, and possible price direction, as well as the market’s health. Boris’ examination of the supply dynamics hinges on the behavior of long-term holders and short-term holders.

As Bitcoin rose to its all-time high, supply dynamics revealed a stark divergence between these different groups of investors. Presently, long-term BTC holders are steadily offloading their holdings while short-term BTC holders are persistently accumulating the asset at a rapid rate.

This divergence in sentiment between the groups indicates that the market is currently in a post-all-time high stress test. A post-all-time high stress test reflects a phase where the boundaries of market resiliency and investor belief are being tested.

Bitcoin
A divergence between short and long-term holder supply | Source: Boris on X

With short-term holders holding strong and long-term traders responding aggressively to price fluctuations, the present phase is determining whether BTC can maintain its value and momentum following the recent high. 

Data shows that long-term holders’ supply saw a drop from 15.50 million BTC to 15.28 million BTC, which is an indication of profit-taking. Meanwhile, the supply of short-term holders rose from 4.38 million BTC to 4.61 million BTC, suggesting that the cohort is capitalizing on recent rallies.

According to the on-chain expert, this change demonstrates that STHs followed the trend and increased risk, while LTHs responded to the rally with sales. After a short period, Bitcoin’s price quickly fell back from about $124,000, putting late buyers through a stress test.

Furthermore, Boris noted that the final wave exhibits a classic market pattern where experienced holders limit their exposure and short-term holders accumulate close to the top. Such a development typically signals a loss of momentum.

Short-Term BTC Holders Are Showing Strength

A recent research from Glassnode, a leading on-chain data analytics firm, has also revealed an underlying strength among short-term BTC holders. The platform’s research is solely focused on the Bitcoin Short-Term Holder SOPR Indicator.

Related Reading: Bitcoin Short-Term Holders See Modest 13% Gains – Here’s What This Means

Specifically, this key metric tracks whether new investors are selling at a profit or loss. As BTC’s price surges, the metric temporarily dipped below neutral levels, but quickly recovered and rose above neutral. This move, according to Glassnode, shows limited realized losses and indicates that new Bitcoin investors are prepared to protect their cost basis, which is currently close to $112,000.

Bitcoin
BTC trading at $118,988 on the 1D chart | Source: BTCUSDT on Tradingview.com
Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com
Editorial Process for bitcoinist is centered on delivering thoroughly researched, accurate, and unbiased content. We uphold strict sourcing standards, and each page undergoes diligent review by our team of top technology experts and seasoned editors. This process ensures the integrity, relevance, and value of our content for our readers.
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Godspower Owie

Godspower Owie

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Godspower Owie is my name, and I work for the news platforms NewsBTC and Bitcoinist. I sometimes like to think of myself as an explorer since I enjoy exploring new places, learning new things, especially valuable ones, and meeting new people who have an impact on my life, no matter how small. I value my family, friends, career, and time. Really, those are most likely the most significant aspects of every person's existence. Not illusions, but dreams are what I pursue.

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