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Current Bitcoin Correction Remains Within Historical Limits – The Impact Of An 11.7% Market Drawdown

Current Bitcoin Correction Remains Within Historical Limits – The Impact Of An 11.7% Market Drawdown

Sebastian Villafuerte
by Sebastian Villafuerte
8 months ago
·
Posted in Bitcoin News
Trusted Editorial content, reviewed by leading industry experts and seasoned editors. Ad Disclosure

Bitcoin is showing remarkable resilience as it holds strong above the $92,000 demand level, reflecting a bullish structure in the face of recent volatility. Yesterday, the leading cryptocurrency surged to $99,400, signaling renewed momentum and increasing optimism among investors. This surge reaffirms Bitcoin’s ability to bounce back from local lows, maintaining its upward trajectory.

Related Reading: Bitcoin Dominance Breakdown Confirmed – The Next Altseason Is Right Around The Corner

Top analyst Axel Adler shared valuable insights on X, highlighting that the current macro correction remains well within the acceptable range of historical price drawdowns. According to Adler, the local maximum drawdown sits at 11.7%, a figure that aligns with previous healthy corrections during bullish cycles. This suggests that Bitcoin’s price action continues to follow a predictable pattern, further strengthening the case for its sustained growth.

As BTC hovers near the critical $100,000 psychological level, market participants are closely monitoring its next moves. A decisive breakout above this threshold could mark the beginning of a new phase of price discovery while maintaining support at $92,000 underscores strong demand and confidence in the asset. 

With macroeconomic conditions and on-chain metrics aligning favorably, BTC appears poised for further gains, keeping investors and analysts attentive to its evolving price dynamics.

Price Remains Strong

Bitcoin has shown remarkable resilience despite experiencing a recent 15% correction from its all-time high (ATH) of $108,364 to a local low of $92,100. While the correction sparked some uncertainty in the market, Bitcoin’s price remains strong and continues to hold crucial support levels. Analysts and investors are now closely monitoring the market for signs of where BTC could go next.

CryptoQuant analyst Axel Adler recently shared key insights, revealing that the current macro correction is well within the typical range of price drawdowns observed in Bitcoin’s previous cycles. According to Adler, the local maximum drawdown stands at 11.7%, which aligns with healthy correction patterns typically seen during bull markets. 

Bitcoin Price Drawdown Analysis
Bitcoin Price Drawdown Analysis | Source: Axel Adler on X

In contrast, the most significant drawdown during this cycle occurred in August of this year, when Bitcoin’s price dropped by 26.4%. This comparison suggests that the current correction is relatively mild and doesn’t signal any significant market weakness.

Related Reading: BTC Average Trading Volume On CEX Stands At $31B – Still Far From The Record Highs In March

Given the historical context and the fact that Bitcoin’s recent correction remains within an acceptable range, everything appears to be on track for continued bullish momentum. Analysts are optimistic that BTC will soon regain its upward trajectory as demand remains strong. 

Investors are waiting for a decisive breakout, particularly above key resistance levels, to confirm the next phase of growth. As the market stabilizes, Bitcoin is well-positioned for further gains in the long term.

Technical Levels: Strong Demand Holding

Bitcoin’s demand remains strong as it continues to hold above the $92K mark, a critical level that has supported the price during recent volatility. The recent price action shows BTC is now pushing above $98,000, a key level that must be reclaimed for the bullish momentum to continue. 

BTC testing supply below $100K
BTC testing supply below $100K | Source: BTCUSDT chart on TradingView

If the bulls manage to push above and hold this level, a rapid surge above $100K could follow, setting Bitcoin on a path toward price discovery. The market sentiment would likely turn even more positive, fueling a potential rally.

However, the scenario could shift quickly if BTC fails to maintain its strength above $95,500. A drop below this level would suggest weakening demand and could lead to a retest of lower support levels. This could potentially send BTC into a consolidation phase or trigger further price declines, depending on the market’s response. 

Related Reading: Record-Breaking $1.24 Billion USDC Inflow Hits Spot Exchanges – What This Means For BTC

Traders and investors are closely watching the $95,500 mark as a critical support level to gauge the short-term direction. If Bitcoin stays above this level, the bullish outlook remains intact, but losing it would signal that the market is losing steam.

Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView 

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Sebastian Villafuerte

Sebastian Villafuerte

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Sebastian's journey into the world of crypto began four years ago, driven by a fascination with the potential of blockchain technology to revolutionize financial systems. His initial exploration focused on understanding the intricacies of various crypto projects, particularly those focused on building innovative financial solutions. Through countless hours of research and learning, Sebastian developed a deep understanding of the underlying technologies, market dynamics, and potential applications of cryptocurrencies. As his knowledge grew, Sebastian felt compelled to share his insights with others. He began actively contributing to online discussions on platforms like X and LinkedIn, focusing on fintech and crypto-related content. His goal was to expose valuable trends and insights to a wider audience, fostering a deeper understanding of the rapidly evolving crypto landscape. Sebastian's contributions quickly gained recognition, and he became a trusted voice in the online crypto community. To further enhance his expertise, Sebastian pursued a UC Berkeley Fintech: Frameworks, Applications, and Strategies certification. This rigorous program equipped him with valuable skills and knowledge regarding Financial Technology, bridging the gap between traditional finance (TradFi) and decentralized finance (DeFi). The certification deepened his understanding of the broader financial landscape and its intersection with blockchain technology. Sebastian's passion for finance and writing is evident in his work. He enjoys delving into financial research, analyzing market trends, and exploring the latest developments in the crypto space. In his spare time, Sebastian can often be found immersed in charts, studying 10-K forms, or engaging in thought-provoking discussions about the future of finance. Sebastian's journey as a crypto analyst and investor has been marked by a relentless pursuit of knowledge and a dedication to sharing his insights. His ability to navigate the complex world of crypto, combined with his passion for financial research and communication, makes him a valuable asset to the industry. As the crypto landscape continues to evolve, Sebastian remains at the forefront, providing valuable insights and contributing to the growth of this revolutionary technology.

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