Bitcoin Coinbase Premium Index Sinks Below Zero Again — Impact On Price?

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The price of BTC could be stuck in consolidation for longer than initially anticipated, as the latest on-chain data shows that the Bitcoin Coinbase Premium Index has dropped back beneath zero. What does this dwindling metric signal for the premier cryptocurrency?

Is The Bitcoin Price At Risk Of Downward Movement?

In a recent post on the X platform, prominent crypto pundit Ali Martinez revealed that the Bitcoin Coinbase Premium Index has been declining, dropping back below a critical zone in recent days. The Coinbase Premium Index is an on-chain metric that tracks the difference between the BTC price on Coinbase (USD pair) and Binance (USDT pair).

This indicator can also provide insights into the difference in the buying and selling behaviors of the investors on the two crypto trading platforms. The Bitcoin Coinbase Premium Index reflects the sentiment of the US institutional entities (the major players on Coinbase) and how it differs from those on global exchanges.

Typically, when the Bitcoin price premium on Coinbase rises or is a positive value, it implies increasing demand from US investors, who are willing to spend more than other global investors to purchase the flagship cryptocurrency. On the other hand, the Coinbase Premium Index slipping beneath the zero mark signals that US investors are buying less compared to the global traders.

Source: Ali_charts/X

This low buying activity is highlighted by the drab performance of spot BTC exchange-traded funds in recent weeks. The latest market data shows that the US Bitcoin ETF market registered a total outflow of $559 million in the past week.

With institutional and large US investors not accumulating Bitcoin at current prices, the market leader could struggle to build any real bullish momentum. Historically, a sustained decline of the Coinbase Premium Index metric has been associated with a consolidation period or even potential downside risk for the BTC price in the near term.

BTC Whales Offload Assets

In a separate post on X, Martinez observed that a class of Bitcoin investors has been trimming their holdings in recent weeks. Santiment data shows that whales holding between 10,000 and 100,000 coins have sold 30,000 BTC (worth roughly $2.9 billion) in the past 10 days.

This level of selling activity somewhat explains the sluggish price action of Bitcoin in recent weeks. As of this writing, the price of BTC sits just above the $96,500 mark, reflecting a 0.8% increase in the past 24 hours. The premier cryptocurrency is down by 1.1% in the past week, according to data from CoinGceko.

The price of BTC on the daily timeframe | Source: BTCUSDT chart on TradingView

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