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Breaking News: BREAKING: Historic $109,500 Bitcoin High: Here’s What Analysts Predict Next
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Breaking News: BREAKING: Historic $109,500 Bitcoin High: Here’s What Analysts Predict Next
Bitcoin Cycle Extreme Oscillator Signals Room To Run Before Overheating – Upside Ahead?

Bitcoin Cycle Extreme Oscillator Signals Room To Run Before Overheating – Upside Ahead?

Sebastian Villafuerte
by Sebastian Villafuerte
2 weeks ago
·
Posted in Bitcoin News
Trusted Editorial content, reviewed by leading industry experts and seasoned editors. Ad Disclosure

Bitcoin is holding firm above the $94,000 mark after a slight retrace from its recent peak at $97,900. Despite the pullback, bullish momentum remains intact, and price action continues to show strength. As the market enters a potentially decisive phase, investors and analysts are closely watching key technical and psychological levels that could shape Bitcoin’s next move.

Related Reading: BTC Network Activity Hits 6-Month High – Is Demand Back?

Top analyst Axel Adler shared insights pointing to a compelling cycle-based indicator. According to Adler, this market cycle has seen two extreme points acting as key pivots. He referenced the Bitcoin Cycle Extreme Oscillator that often signals a correction when rising above 3. Right now, the oscillator remains at low levels, implying that BTC could still have room to run before any major cooling-off period.

The coming days will be crucial. With Bitcoin comfortably above $94K and well-positioned technically, traders are looking for a push toward six figures. A strong continuation could trigger broader market confidence, while any sharp rejection near resistance may hint at short-term exhaustion. Either way, all eyes are on Bitcoin as it leads the market into a pivotal week.

Bitcoin Momentum Builds Up As Buyers Target $100K

Bitcoin is now facing a major technical and psychological hurdle: the $100,000 level. After several weeks of sustained upside and sideways consolidation, bulls are preparing for what could be a decisive push. The recent retracement has been shallow, suggesting strong demand and a potential shift toward the next phase of the bull cycle. Despite broader market risks and lingering macroeconomic concerns, sentiment is improving, and the market appears to have weathered the worst of recent volatility.

Several analysts believe BTC is on the verge of a breakout. Adler, who recently shared an analysis on X, highlighted two key extremes in this cycle: $68,000 and $103,000. These levels have acted as significant pivot zones and define the boundaries of Bitcoin’s range in this macro trend. According to Adler, the Bitcoin Cycle Extreme Oscillator tends to flash overbought signals when it rises above 3, often preceding local tops. Currently, that oscillator remains at low levels, suggesting that the market still has ample room to grow before reaching an overheated state.

Bitcoin Cycle Extreme Oscillator | Source: Axel Adler on X
Bitcoin Cycle Extreme Oscillator | Source: Axel Adler on X

For Bitcoin to overheat and enter correction territory, the price would need to surge toward or beyond its all-time highs. Until then, the structure remains bullish, and reclaiming $100K could be the catalyst for a broader rally across the crypto market. As such, the coming days and weeks are shaping up to be critical for momentum traders and long-term investors alike. A clear breakout could confirm a new leg in the bull cycle—potentially sending BTC into uncharted territory above $103K.

Related Reading: BTC Faces Pivotal Level At Short-Term Holder Cost Basis – A Move To $132K?

BTC Price Action: Testing Liquidity

Bitcoin (BTC) is currently trading around $94,094 after a minor retracement from the recent high near $97,900. Despite the short-term dip, the broader trend remains bullish, with BTC holding well above key support levels. The 4-hour chart shows that the price remains significantly above the 200-period SMA at $87,702 and the 200-period EMA at $90,150—highlighting strong medium-term momentum.

BTC testing key support | Source: BTCUSDT chart on TradingView
BTC testing key support | Source: BTCUSDT chart on TradingView

The recent move appears to be a healthy consolidation within an ongoing uptrend, following a sharp breakout that began mid-April. Volume has slightly decreased during this retrace, indicating that selling pressure is not aggressive. As long as Bitcoin holds above the $92,000–$93,000 zone, bulls are likely to maintain control.

The next major resistance sits at the psychological $100,000 level, followed by $103,600—both clearly marked on the chart. A clean breakout above $100K could trigger significant upside momentum and potentially start the next leg of the bull market.

Related Reading: Bitcoin Supply On Exchanges Keeps Trending Down – Time For A Liquidity-Driven Surge?

However, failure to hold above the $94K–$92K support band may lead to a retest of the $90K area and the 200 EMA. For now, the market structure remains intact, and bulls seem poised to make another attempt toward six-figure territory in the days ahead.

Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView

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Sebastian Villafuerte

Sebastian Villafuerte

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Sebastian's journey into the world of crypto began four years ago, driven by a fascination with the potential of blockchain technology to revolutionize financial systems. His initial exploration focused on understanding the intricacies of various crypto projects, particularly those focused on building innovative financial solutions. Through countless hours of research and learning, Sebastian developed a deep understanding of the underlying technologies, market dynamics, and potential applications of cryptocurrencies. As his knowledge grew, Sebastian felt compelled to share his insights with others. He began actively contributing to online discussions on platforms like X and LinkedIn, focusing on fintech and crypto-related content. His goal was to expose valuable trends and insights to a wider audience, fostering a deeper understanding of the rapidly evolving crypto landscape. Sebastian's contributions quickly gained recognition, and he became a trusted voice in the online crypto community. To further enhance his expertise, Sebastian pursued a UC Berkeley Fintech: Frameworks, Applications, and Strategies certification. This rigorous program equipped him with valuable skills and knowledge regarding Financial Technology, bridging the gap between traditional finance (TradFi) and decentralized finance (DeFi). The certification deepened his understanding of the broader financial landscape and its intersection with blockchain technology. Sebastian's passion for finance and writing is evident in his work. He enjoys delving into financial research, analyzing market trends, and exploring the latest developments in the crypto space. In his spare time, Sebastian can often be found immersed in charts, studying 10-K forms, or engaging in thought-provoking discussions about the future of finance. Sebastian's journey as a crypto analyst and investor has been marked by a relentless pursuit of knowledge and a dedication to sharing his insights. His ability to navigate the complex world of crypto, combined with his passion for financial research and communication, makes him a valuable asset to the industry. As the crypto landscape continues to evolve, Sebastian remains at the forefront, providing valuable insights and contributing to the growth of this revolutionary technology.

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