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Ethereum Takes Early Q1 Lead Showing Post-Halving Strength – Will History Repeat?

Ethereum Takes Early Q1 Lead Showing Post-Halving Strength – Will History Repeat?

Sebastian Villafuerte
by Sebastian Villafuerte
8 months ago
·
Posted in Ethereum
Trusted Editorial content, reviewed by leading industry experts and seasoned editors. Ad Disclosure

After a lackluster 2024, Ethereum has started 2025 with a bang, surging over 13% since the year began. This impressive performance has reignited optimism among investors who are anticipating a bullish year for ETH and the broader altcoin market. Ethereum’s early strength has raised the critical question: Can it outperform Bitcoin in this post-halving year?

Related Reading: 90% Of Bitcoin Supply In Profit – Could This Cycle Mirror The 2017 Bull Run?

Top analyst Daan recently shared insightful data highlighting ETH’s early lead over BTC, driven by positive sentiment and historical patterns of strong seasonality. In his analysis, Daan pointed out that ETH often performs well during the first quarter, particularly in post-halving years, setting the stage for a potential altseason. This historical trend has many investors eyeing ETH as a promising contender for market dominance in 2025.

While Bitcoin remains the market leader, Ethereum’s early momentum could pave the way for it to challenge BTC’s dominance this year. The combination of favorable market conditions, improving sentiment, and Ethereum’s strong start suggests that the altcoin leader is ready to reclaim its position as a top-performing asset. As the market gears up for what could be a historic year, all eyes are on ETH to see if it can maintain its momentum and outshine Bitcoin.

Ethereum Shows Strength But Faces Key Challenges 

Ethereum has entered the new year on a bullish note, sparking optimism among analysts and investors alike. However, for ETH to confirm a sustained uptrend, it must reclaim and hold last year’s highs. The early signs are promising, with ETH showing a 13% gain since the start of the year. Post-halving years are historically favorable for altcoins, and 2025 appears to be following the trend.

Top analyst Daan shared insightful data on X, highlighting Ethereum’s strong start compared to Bitcoin. He noted that ETH is taking an early lead against BTC, supported by positive sentiment and strong seasonality patterns. Historically, ETH has performed well in the first quarter of post-halving years, setting the stage for a potential altseason. This historical context gives investors confidence that Ethereum could outperform in the months ahead.

Ethereum returns compared to Bitcoin
Ethereum returns compared to Bitcoin | Source: Daan on X

Daan emphasized that while Ethereum is gaining momentum, the race between ETH and BTC will be one to watch closely. He believes both assets will emerge as winners this year, each offering unique opportunities for growth. For ETH, reclaiming key levels and maintaining its early momentum is critical to ensuring it lives up to these high expectations.

Related Reading: Bitcoin Dominance Breakdown Confirmed – Metrics Support A 2025 Altseason

The coming weeks will be crucial as ETH seeks to capitalize on its early lead. With market conditions appearing favorable and a history of strong first-quarter performance, Ethereum is positioned for a potentially groundbreaking 2025. However, it will need to navigate market challenges and prove its resilience to sustain the bullish outlook.

ETH Tests Key Support 

Ethereum is currently trading at $3,636, testing the critical 4-hour 200 moving average as support. This level is crucial for determining the next phase of ETH’s price action. If the price holds above this moving average in the coming hours, it could signal a strong foundation for a rebound toward higher supply zones, setting the stage for further bullish momentum.

ETH testing the 4H 200 MA
ETH testing the 4H 200 MA | Source: ETHUSDT chart on TradingView

However, a brief deviation into lower supply zones could still be a healthy move for ETH. If such a dip occurs, it is essential that the price recovers quickly—ideally within a few days—to maintain the bullish outlook. A sustained decline could introduce uncertainty and test investor confidence in Ethereum’s upward trajectory.

Related Reading: Profit-Taking At $90K–$100K Cools Bitcoin As Block P/L Count Ratio Drops Sharply – Details

For the bullish trend to remain intact, ETH must hold firmly above the $3,500 level. This mark serves as a critical support zone, and losing it would risk deeper corrections. On the other hand, reclaiming the $3,900 level is equally important, as it would reinforce the bullish structure and open the door to a larger rally.

Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView

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Sebastian Villafuerte

Sebastian Villafuerte

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Sebastian's journey into the world of crypto began four years ago, driven by a fascination with the potential of blockchain technology to revolutionize financial systems. His initial exploration focused on understanding the intricacies of various crypto projects, particularly those focused on building innovative financial solutions. Through countless hours of research and learning, Sebastian developed a deep understanding of the underlying technologies, market dynamics, and potential applications of cryptocurrencies. As his knowledge grew, Sebastian felt compelled to share his insights with others. He began actively contributing to online discussions on platforms like X and LinkedIn, focusing on fintech and crypto-related content. His goal was to expose valuable trends and insights to a wider audience, fostering a deeper understanding of the rapidly evolving crypto landscape. Sebastian's contributions quickly gained recognition, and he became a trusted voice in the online crypto community. To further enhance his expertise, Sebastian pursued a UC Berkeley Fintech: Frameworks, Applications, and Strategies certification. This rigorous program equipped him with valuable skills and knowledge regarding Financial Technology, bridging the gap between traditional finance (TradFi) and decentralized finance (DeFi). The certification deepened his understanding of the broader financial landscape and its intersection with blockchain technology. Sebastian's passion for finance and writing is evident in his work. He enjoys delving into financial research, analyzing market trends, and exploring the latest developments in the crypto space. In his spare time, Sebastian can often be found immersed in charts, studying 10-K forms, or engaging in thought-provoking discussions about the future of finance. Sebastian's journey as a crypto analyst and investor has been marked by a relentless pursuit of knowledge and a dedication to sharing his insights. His ability to navigate the complex world of crypto, combined with his passion for financial research and communication, makes him a valuable asset to the industry. As the crypto landscape continues to evolve, Sebastian remains at the forefront, providing valuable insights and contributing to the growth of this revolutionary technology.

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