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Bitcoin Coinbase Spot Price Lags Despite Large BTC Purchases – Is US Demand Weakening?

Bitcoin Coinbase Spot Price Lags Despite Large BTC Purchases – Is US Demand Weakening?

Sebastian Villafuerte
by Sebastian Villafuerte
2 months ago
·
Posted in Bitcoin News
Trusted Editorial content, reviewed by leading industry experts and seasoned editors. Ad Disclosure

Bitcoin experienced intense volatility yesterday, surging above $88,000 before plunging below $82,000 within hours. The massive swing came as U.S. President Donald Trump announced new tariffs on what he declared “Liberation Day,” sparking fresh fear across global markets. The announcement jolted investor sentiment, sending risk assets—including Bitcoin—into sharp intraday moves. Bulls, who had been hoping for a sustained breakout, are now panicking as selling pressure appears to be building again.

Related Reading: Ethereum Whale Activity Fades Since Late February – Details

The sudden reversal has rattled confidence and raised concerns that more downside may be ahead. Despite the bearish momentum, there are still glimmers of optimism among some analysts and traders. According to crypto analyst Daan, the market is showing mixed signals. Even with Michael Saylor’s recent $2 billion Bitcoin purchase and additional large buyers stepping in, a slight Coinbase Spot Discount remains in play—a sign that U.S. investor demand has yet to catch up.

Meanwhile, ETF inflows have been relatively flat in recent weeks, offering little additional momentum to the market. While the broader trend remains fragile, some believe that once institutional demand returns in force, Bitcoin could stabilize and rebound. Until then, traders remain on edge, watching for the next move in an increasingly unstable market.

Bitcoin Faces Crucial Test Between $80K and $89K

Bitcoin is currently at a critical crossroads, caught in a tight range as bulls struggle to reclaim higher ground above $89,000 while bears fail to push the price below the key $80,000 support. This standoff comes amid rising macroeconomic uncertainty and growing trade war fears, with U.S. President Donald Trump’s recent tariff announcements continuing to rattle global markets. As a high-risk and volatile asset, Bitcoin remains especially vulnerable to these developments, amplifying investor caution.

Despite this uncertainty, there are signs of resilience. Bulls have managed to defend crucial support zones, and selling pressure appears to be weakening. Many traders are closely watching for confirmation of a shift in momentum that could support a broader recovery.

Top crypto analyst Daan shared insights that paint a mixed picture. He noted that despite Michael Saylor’s recent $2 billion BTC purchase and several other large buys, a slight Coinbase Spot Discount still persists. This discount reflects softer demand from U.S.-based investors and institutions, which is also supported by relatively flat ETF flows in recent weeks.

Bitcoin Coinbase Premium Index | Source: Daan on X
Bitcoin Coinbase Premium Index | Source: Daan on X

According to Daan, a strong bullish signal would be for Coinbase’s spot price to lead again—a sign of renewed interest from U.S. buyers and ETF participants. While this is generally a lagging indicator, it can offer meaningful insight when the market starts trending. If the discount closes and spot prices rise, it could mark the return of strong demand and signal the start of a new bullish phase.

Related Reading: Bitcoin Enters Accumulation Phase – Spot Selling Fades And Funding Rates Turn Negative

Until then, Bitcoin remains range-bound, with both bulls and bears awaiting a catalyst to break the deadlock. The next move could determine whether BTC rebounds toward new highs—or continues its slide amid mounting economic uncertainty.

Price Tests Key Support After Volatile Rejection from $88K Level

Bitcoin is trading at $83,600 after a highly volatile Wednesday, during which the price briefly surged toward $88,000 before sharply reversing. Bulls failed to hold the breakout, and BTC dropped over 8% in just a few hours, reinforcing the current consolidation range below key resistance levels. The sudden rejection highlighted the market’s fragility and the continued struggle to regain bullish momentum.

BTC Trading below the 200-day MA & EMA | Source: BTCUSDT chart on TradingView
BTC Trading below the 200-day MA & EMA | Source: BTCUSDT chart on TradingView

To confirm a recovery phase, Bitcoin must reclaim the 200-day moving average (MA) and exponential moving average (EMA), both of which are currently around the $86,500 level. A decisive move above this zone would be a strong signal that bulls are regaining control and could push BTC toward retesting the $90,000 mark.

Related Reading: Bitcoin Market Enters Asymmetric Demand Zone – Calm Before The Next Surge?

However, if BTC fails to reclaim these levels soon, the risk of further downside remains high. A break below the $81,000 support level would likely trigger increased selling pressure and potentially open the door to a deeper correction. With macroeconomic uncertainty and ongoing trade war fears still weighing on investor sentiment, Bitcoin’s next move remains highly uncertain — and critical in defining the direction for the weeks ahead. Bulls must act quickly to prevent a deeper slide and restore confidence in the market.

Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView 

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Sebastian Villafuerte

Sebastian Villafuerte

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Sebastian's journey into the world of crypto began four years ago, driven by a fascination with the potential of blockchain technology to revolutionize financial systems. His initial exploration focused on understanding the intricacies of various crypto projects, particularly those focused on building innovative financial solutions. Through countless hours of research and learning, Sebastian developed a deep understanding of the underlying technologies, market dynamics, and potential applications of cryptocurrencies. As his knowledge grew, Sebastian felt compelled to share his insights with others. He began actively contributing to online discussions on platforms like X and LinkedIn, focusing on fintech and crypto-related content. His goal was to expose valuable trends and insights to a wider audience, fostering a deeper understanding of the rapidly evolving crypto landscape. Sebastian's contributions quickly gained recognition, and he became a trusted voice in the online crypto community. To further enhance his expertise, Sebastian pursued a UC Berkeley Fintech: Frameworks, Applications, and Strategies certification. This rigorous program equipped him with valuable skills and knowledge regarding Financial Technology, bridging the gap between traditional finance (TradFi) and decentralized finance (DeFi). The certification deepened his understanding of the broader financial landscape and its intersection with blockchain technology. Sebastian's passion for finance and writing is evident in his work. He enjoys delving into financial research, analyzing market trends, and exploring the latest developments in the crypto space. In his spare time, Sebastian can often be found immersed in charts, studying 10-K forms, or engaging in thought-provoking discussions about the future of finance. Sebastian's journey as a crypto analyst and investor has been marked by a relentless pursuit of knowledge and a dedication to sharing his insights. His ability to navigate the complex world of crypto, combined with his passion for financial research and communication, makes him a valuable asset to the industry. As the crypto landscape continues to evolve, Sebastian remains at the forefront, providing valuable insights and contributing to the growth of this revolutionary technology.

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