- Bitcoin is trading up 0.2% while the S&P 500’s futures are trading down 0.4%, as of this article’s writing.
- Despite the slight drop, the index remains in a textbook bull pattern primed to end in a strong upwards breakout.
- BTC may benefit from this breakout in the S&P 500 due to the strong correlation that has formed between the two markets.
Unlike Bitcoin, the S&P 500 is starting its week with a slight move to the downside. As of the time of this article’s writing, the leading U.S. stock index’s futures have printed a -0.4% candle during the pre-market session.
While this is not a move not welcomed by bulls, the index purportedly remains in a textbook bull pattern primed to push stocks higher. This is bullish for Bitcoin due to the correlation that has formed between the markets.
Bitcoin Could See a Strong Rally as S&P 500 Prints Bull Sign
Despite the slight drop seen in the pre-market session, an analyst noted on July 19th that the S&P 500 remains in a macro ascending triangle.
An ascending triangle is often seen as a textbook bull pattern as they often break to the upside. These patterns are formed when an asset sees a series of higher lows but runs into the same resistance high multiple times.
Should the S&P 500 break above the highs of the triangle, it will likely be primed to move to a new all-time high.
Bitcoin is poised to benefit from this potential breakout as it has become increasingly correlated with stocks over recent months. Take Charles Edwards’ tweet below as an example: the digital asset manager’s chart shows that the two markets have traded in tandem on multiple trading sessions over the past four months.
Bitcoin & stock correlation in 2020.
We have (sadly) "re-coupled" as of 10 June. Correlations at all time highs.
Notice the trend?
High levels of fear and uncertainty (eg. VIX) = high levels of correlation. pic.twitter.com/rKPjXpdz73
— Charles Edwards (@caprioleio) June 21, 2020
Should this continue, Bitcoin will break higher as the S&P 500 does.
One trader, in fact, has suggested that should the S&P 500 make a new all-time high in the near future, BTC is likely to cross $10,500 for the first time in around a year.
The Correlation Has a Silver Lining
While some have seen Bitcoin’s correlation with the stock market as a bad signal for adoption and the asset’s narrative, this may not be the case.
Qiao Wang, a prominent cryptocurrency trader, recently said that the correlation may boost the value proposition of BTC. This may seem counter-intuitive, but let him explain:
“The stock-crypto correlation is the most annoying thing from a portfolio PoV. Diminishes the marginal benefit of owning stocks. Maybe should dump stocks and just hold gold+BTC.”
The stonk-crypto correlation is the most annoying thing from a portfolio PoV. Diminishes the marginal benefit of owning stonks. Maybe should dump stonks and just hold gold+BTC. One is risk-on other is risk-off but both are anti-fiat-debasement which is the only certainty in life.
— Qiao Wang (@QWQiao) July 10, 2020
He added that in a world where there is extremely high inflation, stocks will only make it to a point before their value is decimated.
Featured Image from Deposit Photos Price tags: xbtusd, btcusd, btcusdt Charts from TradingView.com S&P 500 Just Printed a Textbook Bull Signal: Here's Why Bitcoin Can Benefit