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Crypto volatility

Fading Bitcoin Volatility Versus NASDAQ May Signal Bull Market Is Here

Tony "The Bull" by Tony "The Bull"
3 years ago
in Bitcoin
0

Bitcoin and the cryptocurrency asset class has earned itself notoriety for just how volatile price swings can be. Bitcoin’s meteoric rise to $20,000 followed by a fall to $3,200 less than a year later acts as a prime example of this.

However, the asset’s relative volatility compared to the NASDAQ 100 index has never been lower, according to new data. The same data also shows that the last time the metric fell this low, it kick-started the previous bull market.

Bitcoin Sees Lowest Ever Volatility Relative To NASDAQ 100 Stock Index

The first-ever cryptocurrency is gearing up for its next bull market. Most of the asset’s fundamentals are screaming buy, and technicals point to a sustained uptrend as soon as Bitcoin can clear overhead resistance.

Still, the asset struggles with resistance above $10,000.

RELATED READING | MOVE OVER STOCK MARKET: BREAKING DOWN BITCOIN’S UNUSUAL CORRELATION WITH BEYOND MEAT

The leading crypto asset by market cap has been consolidating for weeks now below the key resistance level, causing a drop in volatility.

Volatility in the asset class known almost exclusively for such has been trending down since the February 2020 peak. It’s caused the asset to drop to the lowest level ever in volatility correlation with the NASDAQ 100 stock index, according to date from Bloomberg.

The NASDAQ 100 is a bucket of the largest non-financial United States based companies listed on the Nasdaq stock market.

Last time the #Bitcoin vs. #NASDAQ volatility was this low it marked the beginning of the bull-market?

Credit: Bloomberg @business pic.twitter.com/1dNsQUD9HH

— Double-U (@DoubleU_theory) June 4, 2020

The Last Dip To This Level Kicked Off The Crypto Bubble

According to a chart from the business giant’s terminal, volatility peaked when Bitcoin reached its all-time high price record of $20,000 in late December 2017. During this time, cryptocurrencies were relatively unheard of, and the shiny new technology led to a blitz of retail investor FOMO.

Bitcoin later dropped to $3,200, causing volatility overall to trend down. The June 2019 “echo bubble” caused another short-lived spike in volatility, which the Black Thursday market collapse put an abrupt end to.

RELATED READING |‘NOT AN ASSET CLASS’ BITCOIN SPIKED BY 100,000,000% SINCE 2011

Following that drop, however, volatility also fell to an extreme low – to the lowest point ever compared to the NASDAQ 100.

The last time Bitcoin dipped below this level, it kicked off a year-long uptrend and rise in volatility that only ended once the asset’s bubble burst and parabola were broken.

From the start of 2017 to the December peak, the asset rose over 5,000% in value. The stock market also enjoyed plenty of upside during the same timeframe, but few assets ever have performed like the first-ever cryptocurrency has.

The asset has gone from virtually worthless, to over 100,000,000% growth since 2011. With another possible bull market ahead, Bitcoin will only add to these already incredible numbers, and shock the world once again when it sets a new all-time high.

Featured image from Shutterstock.
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Tony "The Bull"

Tony "The Bull"

Tony "The Bull" is a level 3 CMT student (passed level 1 & 2), technical analyst, Bitcoin supporter, and avid speculator. Tony is deeply fascinated by core market principles such as Elliott Wave Theory as they tie into mathematics like Fibonacci ratios. Market timing though DeMark indicators, Ichimoku, Gann tools, or Hurst Cycle Theory are also of key interest. Tony provides completely original content driven by exclusive, independent research. For more insights and education from Tony, check him out on Twitter or in his free TonyTradesBTC Telegram channel. Follow @TonyTheBullBTC on Twitter and search CoinChartist on YouTube.

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